Cai
2026-08-24 156ea25b402479f0abc54c558bbf87f9eaaa0422
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{
  "conclusion": {
    "base_midpoint": "50.1411300830183057369310681",
    "price_label": "当前价格高于基准合理区间",
    "price_position": "ABOVE_BASE_RANGE",
    "safety_margin_to_base_midpoint": "-0.9989577385681159420289855071"
  },
  "engine_version": "1.0.0",
  "holding_period": {
    "cumulative_dividend_per_share": "0",
    "required_exit_price": "161.4214173",
    "required_profit_by_exit_pe": [
      {
        "exit_pe": "50",
        "required_profit": "1332807351.002113272"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "60",
        "required_profit": "1110672792.50176106"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "70",
        "required_profit": "952005250.7157951942857142857"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "80",
        "required_profit": "833004594.376320795"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "90",
        "required_profit": "740448528.3345073733333333333"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "100",
        "required_profit": "666403675.501056636"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "120",
        "required_profit": "555336396.25088053"
      }
    ],
    "required_return": "0.1",
    "years": 5
  },
  "institutions": {
    "coverage_status": "available",
    "detail": [
      {
        "core_assumption": "汇总接口未提供逐家报告日期;估值日仅作为C1汇总快照日期,不替代单家研报。",
        "estimates": {
          "2026": {
            "eps": "0.754571428571",
            "profit": "311513293.4889659"
          },
          "2027": {
            "eps": "1.253857142857",
            "profit": "517635777.5376553"
          },
          "2028": {
            "eps": "1.8282",
            "profit": "754744457.0424"
          }
        },
        "included": true,
        "institution": "东方财富公开一致预期汇总(覆盖池7家)",
        "report_date": "2026-08-03",
        "source_id": "SRC-EM-CONSENSUS-20260803",
        "statuses": [
          "CURRENT"
        ]
      }
    ],
    "summary": {
      "2026": {
        "eps_mean": "0.754571428571",
        "eps_profit_reconciliation_gap": "0.00000000000000008979392078813739324857539927",
        "institution_count": 1,
        "pe_on_mean": "132.8303672851947281526255866",
        "profit_max": "311513293.4889659",
        "profit_mean": "311513293.4889659",
        "profit_median": "311513293.4889659",
        "profit_min": "311513293.4889659"
      },
      "2027": {
        "eps_mean": "1.253857142857",
        "eps_profit_reconciliation_gap": "0.00000000000000001801266528436923524846095310",
        "institution_count": 1,
        "pe_on_mean": "79.93733621967414264259835528",
        "profit_max": "517635777.5376553",
        "profit_mean": "517635777.5376553",
        "profit_median": "517635777.5376553",
        "profit_min": "517635777.5376553"
      },
      "2028": {
        "eps_mean": "1.8282",
        "eps_profit_reconciliation_gap": "0.0",
        "institution_count": 1,
        "pe_on_mean": "54.82441745979652116836232360",
        "profit_max": "754744457.0424",
        "profit_mean": "754744457.0424",
        "profit_median": "754744457.0424",
        "profit_min": "754744457.0424"
      }
    }
  },
  "meta": {
    "as_of_date": "2026-08-03",
    "code": "688322.SH",
    "company": "奥比中光",
    "currency": "CNY",
    "latest_operating_info_date": "2026-04-25",
    "market": "上海证券交易所科创板",
    "report_period_end": "2026-03-31"
  },
  "metrics": {
    "annual_cash_conversion": "0.6467366692051705612025408326",
    "annual_fcf": "19607730.75",
    "book_value_per_share": "7.253295638967701971354483808",
    "current_fcf": "-134657738.20",
    "deduct_pe": "463.9134033778375111103304333",
    "diluted_shares": "412834732.0",
    "enterprise_value": "40692408853.120",
    "market_cap": "41378425188.360",
    "normalized_eps": "0.2160532531938228491879893478",
    "normalized_pe": "463.9134033778375111103304333",
    "normalized_profit": "89194286.88",
    "pb": "13.81854607738901676347993347",
    "price": "100.23",
    "ps": "43.43857135388884031814657401",
    "reported_pe": "307.4370704418207061036288907",
    "ttm_attributable_profit": "134591528.37",
    "ttm_deduct_profit": "89194286.88",
    "ttm_eps": "0.3260179387474598430831638458",
    "ttm_revenue": "952573344.35"
  },
  "normalization_adjustments": [
    {
      "amount": "-45397241.49",
      "basis": "2025年报加2026年一季报减2025年同期比较数",
      "description": "以TTM扣非归母利润替代TTM归母利润作为核心盈利代理"
    }
  ],
  "qa": {
    "error_count": 0,
    "info_count": 0,
    "issues": [],
    "status": "PASS",
    "warning_count": 0
  },
  "reverse_pe": [
    {
      "implied_eps": "2.0046",
      "implied_margin": "0.8687714270777768063629314802",
      "implied_profit": "827568503.7672",
      "pe": "50"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "1.6705",
      "implied_margin": "0.7239761892314806719691095669",
      "implied_profit": "689640419.806",
      "pe": "60"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "1.431857142857142857142857143",
      "implied_margin": "0.6205510193412691474020939145",
      "implied_profit": "591120359.8337142857142857143",
      "pe": "70"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "1.252875",
      "implied_margin": "0.5429821419236105039768321751",
      "implied_profit": "517230314.8545",
      "pe": "80"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "1.113666666666666666666666667",
      "implied_margin": "0.4826507928209871146460730446",
      "implied_profit": "459760279.8706666666666666667",
      "pe": "90"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "1.0023",
      "implied_margin": "0.4343857135388884031814657401",
      "implied_profit": "413784251.8836",
      "pe": "100"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "0.83525",
      "implied_margin": "0.3619880946157403359845547834",
      "implied_profit": "344820209.903",
      "pe": "120"
    }
  ],
  "scenarios": [
    {
      "assumption": "3D视觉需求增长慢、研发和销售投入侵蚀利润,扣非利润维持当前量级。",
      "cagr_high": "-0.29512564904628313",
      "cagr_low": "-0.40065732195395154",
      "equity_value_high": "7200000000",
      "equity_value_low": "3200000000",
      "method": "pe",
      "name": "悲观",
      "price_high": "17.44039307235419329980211064",
      "price_low": "7.751285809935197022134271397",
      "role": "pessimistic",
      "upside_to_high": "-0.8259962778374319734630139615",
      "upside_to_low": "-0.9226650123721919882057839829"
    },
    {
      "assumption": "机器人和AI视觉业务增长,利润接近7家机构2026年一致预期约3.1亿元。",
      "cagr_high": "-0.08595833280415344",
      "cagr_low": "-0.18367431725570005",
      "equity_value_high": "26400000000",
      "equity_value_low": "15000000000",
      "method": "pe",
      "name": "基准",
      "price_high": "63.94810793196537543260773902",
      "price_low": "36.33415223407123604125439717",
      "role": "base",
      "upside_to_high": "-0.3619863520705839026977178587",
      "upside_to_low": "-0.6374922454946499447146124197"
    },
    {
      "assumption": "机器人之眼、AI视觉和工业三维测量放量,利润提前接近2027至2028年预测。",
      "cagr_high": "0.13225266991731477",
      "cagr_low": "-0.006753126493484141",
      "equity_value_high": "77000000000",
      "equity_value_low": "40000000000",
      "method": "pe",
      "name": "乐观",
      "price_high": "186.5153148015656783451059055",
      "price_low": "96.89107262418996277667839246",
      "role": "optimistic",
      "upside_to_high": "0.860873139794130283798322912",
      "upside_to_low": "-0.0333126546523998525722997859"
    }
  ]
}