Cai
2026-08-16 2992aee3f9bb2eaa5dd4da28a598be3d67ea0ec0
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{
  "conclusion": {
    "base_midpoint": "140.0066856778920219344728542",
    "price_label": "当前价格处于基准合理区间",
    "price_position": "WITHIN_BASE_RANGE",
    "safety_margin_to_base_midpoint": "-0.01173739892599620493358633785"
  },
  "engine_version": "1.0.0",
  "holding_period": {
    "cumulative_dividend_per_share": "0",
    "required_exit_price": "228.1287415",
    "required_profit_by_exit_pe": [
      {
        "exit_pe": "25",
        "required_profit": "4293503777.63724670"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "30",
        "required_profit": "3577919814.697705583333333333"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "35",
        "required_profit": "3066788412.598033357142857143"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "40",
        "required_profit": "2683439861.0232791875"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "45",
        "required_profit": "2385279876.465137055555555556"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "50",
        "required_profit": "2146751888.81862335"
      }
    ],
    "required_return": "0.1",
    "years": 5
  },
  "institutions": {
    "coverage_status": "available",
    "detail": [
      {
        "core_assumption": "汇总接口未提供逐家报告日期;抓取日仅作为汇总快照日期,本条是C1市场基准,不替代单家研报。",
        "estimates": {
          "2026": {
            "eps": "3.8",
            "profit": "1787950331.0"
          },
          "2027": {
            "eps": "5.021666666667",
            "profit": "2362760678.6418233"
          },
          "2028": {
            "eps": "6.315",
            "profit": "2971291142.175"
          }
        },
        "included": true,
        "institution": "东方财富公开一致预期汇总(底层6家)",
        "report_date": "2026-08-03",
        "source_id": "SRC-EM-CONSENSUS-20260803",
        "statuses": [
          "CURRENT"
        ]
      }
    ],
    "summary": {
      "2026": {
        "eps_mean": "3.8",
        "eps_profit_reconciliation_gap": "0.0",
        "institution_count": 1,
        "pe_on_mean": "37.27631578947368421052631579",
        "profit_max": "1787950331.0",
        "profit_mean": "1787950331.0",
        "profit_median": "1787950331.0",
        "profit_min": "1787950331.0"
      },
      "2027": {
        "eps_mean": "5.021666666667",
        "eps_profit_reconciliation_gap": "0.00000000000000008651532160993262085418527204",
        "institution_count": 1,
        "pe_on_mean": "28.20776634583284626606970364",
        "profit_max": "2362760678.6418233",
        "profit_mean": "2362760678.6418233",
        "profit_median": "2362760678.6418233",
        "profit_min": "2362760678.6418233"
      },
      "2028": {
        "eps_mean": "6.315",
        "eps_profit_reconciliation_gap": "0.0",
        "institution_count": 1,
        "pe_on_mean": "22.43072050673000791765637371",
        "profit_max": "2971291142.175",
        "profit_mean": "2971291142.175",
        "profit_median": "2971291142.175",
        "profit_min": "2971291142.175"
      }
    }
  },
  "meta": {
    "as_of_date": "2026-08-03",
    "code": "688002.SH",
    "company": "睿创微纳",
    "currency": "CNY",
    "latest_operating_info_date": "2026-04-28",
    "market": "上海证券交易所科创板",
    "report_period_end": "2026-03-31"
  },
  "metrics": {
    "annual_cash_conversion": "1.649989562819397552573112919",
    "annual_fcf": "1277853377.63",
    "book_value_per_share": "15.45787361384481323155950690",
    "current_fcf": "749739390.13",
    "deduct_pe": "47.92927489531837070389423430",
    "diluted_shares": "470513245.0",
    "enterprise_value": "65851371115.720",
    "market_cap": "66648201154.250",
    "normalized_eps": "2.955396264795903885766276356",
    "normalized_pe": "47.92927489531837070389423430",
    "normalized_profit": "1390553086.81",
    "pb": "9.163614837239415908567962247",
    "price": "141.65",
    "ps": "9.370595345811825087251776265",
    "reported_pe": "45.72623339027554314189294653",
    "ttm_attributable_profit": "1457548462.07",
    "ttm_deduct_profit": "1390553086.81",
    "ttm_eps": "3.097784127352249138066240835",
    "ttm_revenue": "7112483112.83"
  },
  "normalization_adjustments": [
    {
      "amount": "-66995375.26",
      "basis": "2025年报加2026年一季报减2025年同期比较数",
      "description": "以TTM扣非归母利润替代TTM归母利润作为核心盈利代理"
    }
  ],
  "qa": {
    "error_count": 0,
    "info_count": 0,
    "issues": [],
    "status": "PASS",
    "warning_count": 0
  },
  "reverse_pe": [
    {
      "implied_eps": "5.666",
      "implied_margin": "0.3748238138324730034900710506",
      "implied_profit": "2665928046.170",
      "pe": "25"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "4.721666666666666666666666667",
      "implied_margin": "0.3123531781937275029083925422",
      "implied_profit": "2221606705.141666666666666667",
      "pe": "30"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "4.047142857142857142857142857",
      "implied_margin": "0.2677312955946235739214793218",
      "implied_profit": "1904234318.692857142857142857",
      "pe": "35"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "3.54125",
      "implied_margin": "0.2342648836452956271812944066",
      "implied_profit": "1666205028.85625",
      "pe": "40"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "3.147777777777777777777777778",
      "implied_margin": "0.2082354521291516686055950281",
      "implied_profit": "1481071136.761111111111111111",
      "pe": "45"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "2.833",
      "implied_margin": "0.1874119069162365017450355253",
      "implied_profit": "1332964023.085",
      "pe": "50"
    }
  ],
  "scenarios": [
    {
      "assumption": "高增长回落、毛利或费用率承压,利润回到12亿至14亿元。",
      "cagr_high": "-0.08821557022514392",
      "cagr_low": "-0.14755461384078816",
      "equity_value_high": "42000000000",
      "equity_value_low": "30000000000",
      "method": "pe",
      "name": "悲观",
      "price_high": "89.26422464472812024664682925",
      "price_low": "63.76016046052008589046202089",
      "role": "pessimistic",
      "upside_to_high": "-0.3698254525610439799036581062",
      "upside_to_low": "-0.5498753232578885570740415045"
    },
    {
      "assumption": "2026年利润接近6家机构一致预期17.88亿元,维持35至40倍成长PE。",
      "cagr_high": "0.021147921037139916",
      "cagr_low": "-0.028254112665845432",
      "equity_value_high": "74000000000",
      "equity_value_low": "57750000000",
      "method": "pe",
      "name": "基准",
      "price_high": "157.2750624692828785298063182",
      "price_low": "122.7383088865011653391393902",
      "role": "base",
      "upside_to_high": "0.110307535963874892550697622",
      "upside_to_low": "-0.1335099972714354723675298962"
    },
    {
      "assumption": "红外和微波业务持续高增、产能释放顺利,利润超一致预期。",
      "cagr_high": "0.11527478032847416",
      "cagr_low": "0.06191759187102752",
      "equity_value_high": "115000000000",
      "equity_value_low": "90000000000",
      "method": "pe",
      "name": "乐观",
      "price_high": "244.4139484319936625801044134",
      "price_low": "191.2804813815602576713860627",
      "role": "optimistic",
      "upside_to_high": "0.725477927511427197882840899",
      "upside_to_low": "0.350374030226334328777875487"
    }
  ]
}