Cai
2026-08-16 2992aee3f9bb2eaa5dd4da28a598be3d67ea0ec0
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{
  "conclusion": {
    "base_midpoint": "117.4173000000827525972789291",
    "price_label": "当前价格高于基准合理区间",
    "price_position": "ABOVE_BASE_RANGE",
    "safety_margin_to_base_midpoint": "-0.6119430441669720520436892991"
  },
  "engine_version": "1.0.0",
  "holding_period": {
    "cumulative_dividend_per_share": "0",
    "required_exit_price": "304.8212277",
    "required_profit_by_exit_pe": [
      {
        "exit_pe": "20",
        "required_profit": "6446168048.07921825"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "25",
        "required_profit": "5156934438.46337460"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "30",
        "required_profit": "4297445365.38614550"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "35",
        "required_profit": "3683524598.902410428571428571"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "40",
        "required_profit": "3223084024.039609125"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "50",
        "required_profit": "2578467219.23168730"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "60",
        "required_profit": "2148722682.69307275"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "75",
        "required_profit": "1718978146.15445820"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "100",
        "required_profit": "1289233609.61584365"
      }
    ],
    "required_return": "0.1",
    "years": 5
  },
  "institutions": {
    "coverage_status": "available",
    "detail": [
      {
        "core_assumption": "汇总接口未提供逐家报告日期;估值日仅作为C1汇总快照日期,不替代单家研报。",
        "estimates": {
          "2026": {
            "eps": "3.388666666667",
            "profit": "1433227925.5668077"
          },
          "2027": {
            "eps": "4.396666666667",
            "profit": "1859558955.1668074"
          },
          "2028": {
            "eps": "5.605384615385",
            "profit": "2370783129.3463163"
          }
        },
        "included": true,
        "institution": "东方财富公开一致预期汇总(覆盖池16家)",
        "report_date": "2026-08-04",
        "source_id": "SRC-EM-CONSENSUS-20260804",
        "statuses": [
          "CURRENT"
        ]
      }
    ],
    "summary": {
      "2026": {
        "eps_mean": "3.388666666667",
        "eps_profit_reconciliation_gap": "0.00000000000000003547935334841457916129971703",
        "institution_count": 1,
        "pe_on_mean": "55.85382648041944973716190791",
        "profit_max": "1433227925.5668077",
        "profit_mean": "1433227925.5668077",
        "profit_median": "1433227925.5668077",
        "profit_min": "1433227925.5668077"
      },
      "2027": {
        "eps_mean": "4.396666666667",
        "eps_profit_reconciliation_gap": "0.0000000000000001339833831606863898605258907",
        "institution_count": 1,
        "pe_on_mean": "43.04852160727498313536751459",
        "profit_max": "1859558955.1668074",
        "profit_mean": "1859558955.1668074",
        "profit_median": "1859558955.1668074",
        "profit_min": "1859558955.1668074"
      },
      "2028": {
        "eps_mean": "5.605384615385",
        "eps_profit_reconciliation_gap": "0.00000000000000009205818840974161023955700740",
        "institution_count": 1,
        "pe_on_mean": "33.76574722107631944248645235",
        "profit_max": "2370783129.3463163",
        "profit_mean": "2370783129.3463163",
        "profit_median": "2370783129.3463163",
        "profit_min": "2370783129.3463163"
      }
    }
  },
  "meta": {
    "as_of_date": "2026-08-04",
    "code": "603893.SH",
    "company": "瑞芯微",
    "currency": "CNY",
    "latest_operating_info_date": "2026-04-22",
    "market": "上海证券交易所",
    "report_period_end": "2026-03-31"
  },
  "metrics": {
    "annual_cash_conversion": "1.027714407026188825759647349",
    "annual_fcf": "835820386.37",
    "book_value_per_share": "11.15950135828930993673091066",
    "current_fcf": "289656620.59",
    "deduct_pe": "71.41876896766935752704296629",
    "diluted_shares": "422947450.0",
    "enterprise_value": "76936429935.620",
    "market_cap": "80051263861.500",
    "normalized_eps": "2.650143691018825104631792909",
    "normalized_pe": "71.41876896766935880138650936",
    "normalized_profit": "1120871516.24999998",
    "pb": "16.96043523122202012248067771",
    "price": "189.27",
    "ps": "16.95074125939352669054598136",
    "reported_pe": "69.02950643111485974721363310",
    "ttm_attributable_profit": "1159667336.48",
    "ttm_deduct_profit": "1120871516.25",
    "ttm_eps": "2.741870973521651448661057065",
    "ttm_revenue": "4722581899.90"
  },
  "normalization_adjustments": [
    {
      "amount": "-38795820.23000002",
      "basis": "2025年报加2026年最新累计期减上年同期比较数",
      "description": "以TTM扣非归母利润替代TTM归母利润作为核心盈利代理"
    }
  ],
  "qa": {
    "error_count": 0,
    "info_count": 0,
    "issues": [],
    "status": "PASS",
    "warning_count": 0
  },
  "reverse_pe": [
    {
      "implied_eps": "9.4635",
      "implied_margin": "0.8475370629696763345272990678",
      "implied_profit": "4002563193.075",
      "pe": "20"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "7.5708",
      "implied_margin": "0.6780296503757410676218392542",
      "implied_profit": "3202050554.460",
      "pe": "25"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "6.309",
      "implied_margin": "0.5650247086464508896848660452",
      "implied_profit": "2668375462.050",
      "pe": "30"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "5.407714285714285714285714286",
      "implied_margin": "0.4843068931255293340155994674",
      "implied_profit": "2287178967.471428571428571429",
      "pe": "35"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "4.73175",
      "implied_margin": "0.4237685314848381672636495339",
      "implied_profit": "2001281596.5375",
      "pe": "40"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "3.7854",
      "implied_margin": "0.3390148251878705338109196271",
      "implied_profit": "1601025277.230",
      "pe": "50"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "3.1545",
      "implied_margin": "0.2825123543232254448424330226",
      "implied_profit": "1334187731.025",
      "pe": "60"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "2.5236",
      "implied_margin": "0.2260098834585803558739464181",
      "implied_profit": "1067350184.820",
      "pe": "75"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "1.8927",
      "implied_margin": "0.1695074125939352669054598136",
      "implied_profit": "800512638.615",
      "pe": "100"
    }
  ],
  "scenarios": [
    {
      "assumption": "需求、验收或价格低于预期,利润下修且估值回归低位。",
      "cagr_high": "-0.2039926867607328",
      "cagr_low": "-0.3203482844258051",
      "equity_value_high": "25583118471.40",
      "equity_value_low": "11609146197.18",
      "method": "pe",
      "name": "悲观",
      "price_high": "60.48770000008275259727892910",
      "price_low": "27.44820000021279239300296053",
      "role": "pessimistic",
      "upside_to_high": "-0.6804158081043865768622659212",
      "upside_to_low": "-0.8549786019960226533893223409"
    },
    {
      "assumption": "以TTM归一化利润与16家机构覆盖池预期为锚,按行业成长和周期属性定价。",
      "cagr_high": "-0.028643076882181928",
      "cagr_low": "-0.17769435307213644",
      "equity_value_high": "69224908804.8",
      "equity_value_low": "30097786437.04",
      "method": "pe",
      "name": "基准",
      "price_high": "163.6725999998344948054421418",
      "price_low": "71.16200000033101038911571639",
      "role": "base",
      "upside_to_high": "-0.1352427748727505954169063148",
      "upside_to_low": "-0.6240185977686320579642007905"
    },
    {
      "assumption": "订单、产品结构和规模效应超预期,利润与估值中枢同步上移。",
      "cagr_high": "0.11579609970041904",
      "cagr_low": "-0.009949432867658259",
      "equity_value_high": "138449817609.60",
      "equity_value_low": "76147399685.28",
      "method": "pe",
      "name": "乐观",
      "price_high": "327.3451999996689896108842836",
      "price_low": "180.0398599998179442859863560",
      "role": "optimistic",
      "upside_to_high": "0.729514450254498809166187370",
      "upside_to_low": "-0.0487670523600256549585969462"
    }
  ]
}