{
|
"conclusion": {
|
"base_midpoint": "39.00378124950726394957391071",
|
"price_label": "当前价格处于基准合理区间",
|
"price_position": "WITHIN_BASE_RANGE",
|
"safety_margin_to_base_midpoint": "-0.3624320078113277636768368573"
|
},
|
"engine_version": "1.0.0",
|
"holding_period": {
|
"cumulative_dividend_per_share": "0",
|
"required_exit_price": "85.5825014",
|
"required_profit_by_exit_pe": [
|
{
|
"exit_pe": "20",
|
"required_profit": "1201706128.56359076"
|
},
|
{
|
"exit_pe": "25",
|
"required_profit": "961364902.850872608"
|
},
|
{
|
"exit_pe": "30",
|
"required_profit": "801137419.04239384"
|
},
|
{
|
"exit_pe": "35",
|
"required_profit": "686689216.3220518628571428571"
|
},
|
{
|
"exit_pe": "40",
|
"required_profit": "600853064.28179538"
|
},
|
{
|
"exit_pe": "50",
|
"required_profit": "480682451.425436304"
|
},
|
{
|
"exit_pe": "60",
|
"required_profit": "400568709.52119692"
|
},
|
{
|
"exit_pe": "75",
|
"required_profit": "320454967.616957536"
|
},
|
{
|
"exit_pe": "100",
|
"required_profit": "240341225.712718152"
|
}
|
],
|
"required_return": "0.1",
|
"years": 5
|
},
|
"institutions": {
|
"coverage_status": "available",
|
"detail": [
|
{
|
"core_assumption": "汇总接口未提供逐家报告日期；估值日仅作为C1汇总快照日期，不替代单家研报。",
|
"estimates": {
|
"2026": {
|
"eps": "1.20475",
|
"profit": "338329783.473"
|
},
|
"2027": {
|
"eps": "1.42725",
|
"profit": "400814429.103"
|
},
|
"2028": {
|
"eps": "1.641",
|
"profit": "460841813.388"
|
}
|
},
|
"included": true,
|
"institution": "东方财富公开一致预期汇总（覆盖池4家）",
|
"report_date": "2026-08-04",
|
"source_id": "SRC-EM-CONSENSUS-20260804",
|
"statuses": [
|
"CURRENT"
|
]
|
}
|
],
|
"summary": {
|
"2026": {
|
"eps_mean": "1.20475",
|
"eps_profit_reconciliation_gap": "0.000",
|
"institution_count": 1,
|
"pe_on_mean": "44.10873625233450923428097116",
|
"profit_max": "338329783.473",
|
"profit_mean": "338329783.473",
|
"profit_median": "338329783.473",
|
"profit_min": "338329783.473"
|
},
|
"2027": {
|
"eps_mean": "1.42725",
|
"eps_profit_reconciliation_gap": "0.000",
|
"institution_count": 1,
|
"pe_on_mean": "37.23244000700648099492030128",
|
"profit_max": "400814429.103",
|
"profit_mean": "400814429.103",
|
"profit_median": "400814429.103",
|
"profit_min": "400814429.103"
|
},
|
"2028": {
|
"eps_mean": "1.641",
|
"eps_profit_reconciliation_gap": "0.0",
|
"institution_count": 1,
|
"pe_on_mean": "32.38269347958561852528945765",
|
"profit_max": "460841813.388",
|
"profit_mean": "460841813.388",
|
"profit_median": "460841813.388",
|
"profit_min": "460841813.388"
|
}
|
}
|
},
|
"meta": {
|
"as_of_date": "2026-08-04",
|
"code": "603662.SH",
|
"company": "柯力传感",
|
"currency": "CNY",
|
"latest_operating_info_date": "2026-04-28",
|
"market": "上海证券交易所",
|
"report_period_end": "2026-03-31"
|
},
|
"metrics": {
|
"annual_cash_conversion": "1.134770654515830280463749141",
|
"annual_fcf": "298640441.12",
|
"book_value_per_share": "9.933775390337041001635908614",
|
"current_fcf": "6975914.83",
|
"deduct_pe": "66.98718395603629813184123991",
|
"diluted_shares": "280829868.0",
|
"enterprise_value": "15087143926.850",
|
"market_cap": "14923299185.520",
|
"normalized_eps": "0.7932860714801174567371872282",
|
"normalized_pe": "66.98718395603631316632777863",
|
"normalized_profit": "222778422.73999995",
|
"pb": "5.349426367309581778150556571",
|
"price": "53.14",
|
"ps": "9.323865877650888809125269823",
|
"reported_pe": "48.76635286118979876702846891",
|
"ttm_attributable_profit": "306016306.53",
|
"ttm_deduct_profit": "222778422.74",
|
"ttm_eps": "1.089685754258873917214532181",
|
"ttm_revenue": "1600548461.48"
|
},
|
"normalization_adjustments": [
|
{
|
"amount": "-83237883.79000005",
|
"basis": "2025年报加2026年最新累计期减上年同期比较数",
|
"description": "以TTM扣非归母利润替代TTM归母利润作为核心盈利代理"
|
}
|
],
|
"qa": {
|
"error_count": 0,
|
"info_count": 0,
|
"issues": [],
|
"status": "PASS",
|
"warning_count": 0
|
},
|
"reverse_pe": [
|
{
|
"implied_eps": "2.657",
|
"implied_margin": "0.4661932938825444404562634912",
|
"implied_profit": "746164959.276",
|
"pe": "20"
|
},
|
{
|
"implied_eps": "2.1256",
|
"implied_margin": "0.3729546351060355523650107929",
|
"implied_profit": "596931967.4208",
|
"pe": "25"
|
},
|
{
|
"implied_eps": "1.771333333333333333333333333",
|
"implied_margin": "0.3107955292550296269708423274",
|
"implied_profit": "497443306.184",
|
"pe": "30"
|
},
|
{
|
"implied_eps": "1.518285714285714285714285714",
|
"implied_margin": "0.2663961679328825374035791378",
|
"implied_profit": "426379976.7291428571428571429",
|
"pe": "35"
|
},
|
{
|
"implied_eps": "1.3285",
|
"implied_margin": "0.2330966469412722202281317456",
|
"implied_profit": "373082479.638",
|
"pe": "40"
|
},
|
{
|
"implied_eps": "1.0628",
|
"implied_margin": "0.1864773175530177761825053965",
|
"implied_profit": "298465983.7104",
|
"pe": "50"
|
},
|
{
|
"implied_eps": "0.8856666666666666666666666667",
|
"implied_margin": "0.1553977646275148134854211637",
|
"implied_profit": "248721653.092",
|
"pe": "60"
|
},
|
{
|
"implied_eps": "0.7085333333333333333333333333",
|
"implied_margin": "0.1243182117020118507883369310",
|
"implied_profit": "198977322.4736",
|
"pe": "75"
|
},
|
{
|
"implied_eps": "0.5314",
|
"implied_margin": "0.09323865877650888809125269823",
|
"implied_profit": "149232991.8552",
|
"pe": "100"
|
}
|
],
|
"scenarios": [
|
{
|
"assumption": "需求、验收或价格低于预期，利润下修且估值回归低位。",
|
"cagr_high": "-0.16550695572632057",
|
"cagr_low": "-0.2874881678327823",
|
"equity_value_high": "6039186634.88",
|
"equity_value_low": "2740471246.08",
|
"method": "pe",
|
"name": "悲观",
|
"price_high": "21.50478749959744310387953464",
|
"price_low": "9.758474999817327122768864457",
|
"role": "pessimistic",
|
"upside_to_high": "-0.5953182630862355456552590395",
|
"upside_to_low": "-0.8163629092996362980284368751"
|
},
|
{
|
"assumption": "以TTM归一化利润与4家机构覆盖池预期为锚，按行业成长和周期属性定价。",
|
"cagr_high": "0.008432057752773003",
|
"cagr_low": "-0.15725665551697898",
|
"equity_value_high": "15563170039.60",
|
"equity_value_low": "6343683440.0",
|
"method": "pe",
|
"name": "基准",
|
"price_high": "55.41849999943738178162730184",
|
"price_low": "22.58906249957714611752051958",
|
"role": "base",
|
"upside_to_high": "0.042877305220876586029870189",
|
"upside_to_low": "-0.5749141418973062454361964701"
|
},
|
{
|
"assumption": "订单、产品结构和规模效应超预期，利润与估值中枢同步上移。",
|
"cagr_high": "0.14956303440604346",
|
"cagr_low": "0.027839208154730954",
|
"equity_value_high": "29959102326.45",
|
"equity_value_low": "17119487043.60",
|
"method": "pe",
|
"name": "乐观",
|
"price_high": "106.6806124997003523855945408",
|
"price_low": "60.96034999952355495178312016",
|
"role": "optimistic",
|
"upside_to_high": "1.007538812564929476582509236",
|
"upside_to_low": "0.147165035745644617082858866"
|
}
|
]
|
}
|
