Cai
2026-08-16 2992aee3f9bb2eaa5dd4da28a598be3d67ea0ec0
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{
  "conclusion": {
    "base_midpoint": "150.48",
    "price_label": "当前价格处于基准合理区间",
    "price_position": "WITHIN_BASE_RANGE",
    "safety_margin_to_base_midpoint": "0.05927698032961190855927698033"
  },
  "engine_version": "1.0.0",
  "holding_period": {
    "cumulative_dividend_per_share": "0",
    "required_exit_price": "227.9837956",
    "required_profit_by_exit_pe": [
      {
        "exit_pe": "20",
        "required_profit": "5363469773.75863610"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "25",
        "required_profit": "4290775819.00690888"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "30",
        "required_profit": "3575646515.839090733333333333"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "35",
        "required_profit": "3064839870.719220628571428571"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "40",
        "required_profit": "2681734886.87931805"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "50",
        "required_profit": "2145387909.50345444"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "60",
        "required_profit": "1787823257.919545366666666667"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "75",
        "required_profit": "1430258606.335636293333333333"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "100",
        "required_profit": "1072693954.75172722"
      }
    ],
    "required_return": "0.1",
    "years": 5
  },
  "institutions": {
    "coverage_status": "available",
    "detail": [
      {
        "core_assumption": "汇总接口未提供逐家报告日期;估值日仅作为C1汇总快照日期,不替代单家研报。",
        "estimates": {
          "2026": {
            "eps": "3.8",
            "profit": "1787950331.0"
          },
          "2027": {
            "eps": "5.021666666667",
            "profit": "2362760678.6418233"
          },
          "2028": {
            "eps": "6.315",
            "profit": "2971291142.175"
          }
        },
        "included": true,
        "institution": "东方财富公开一致预期汇总(覆盖池6家)",
        "report_date": "2026-08-04",
        "source_id": "SRC-EM-CONSENSUS-20260804",
        "statuses": [
          "CURRENT"
        ]
      }
    ],
    "summary": {
      "2026": {
        "eps_mean": "3.8",
        "eps_profit_reconciliation_gap": "0.0",
        "institution_count": 1,
        "pe_on_mean": "37.25263157894736842105263158",
        "profit_max": "1787950331.0",
        "profit_mean": "1787950331.0",
        "profit_median": "1787950331.0",
        "profit_min": "1787950331.0"
      },
      "2027": {
        "eps_mean": "5.021666666667",
        "eps_profit_reconciliation_gap": "0.00000000000000008651532160993262085418527204",
        "institution_count": 1,
        "pe_on_mean": "28.18984400929119461648307269",
        "profit_max": "2362760678.6418233",
        "profit_mean": "2362760678.6418233",
        "profit_median": "2362760678.6418233",
        "profit_min": "2362760678.6418233"
      },
      "2028": {
        "eps_mean": "6.315",
        "eps_profit_reconciliation_gap": "0.0",
        "institution_count": 1,
        "pe_on_mean": "22.41646872525732383214568488",
        "profit_max": "2971291142.175",
        "profit_mean": "2971291142.175",
        "profit_median": "2971291142.175",
        "profit_min": "2971291142.175"
      }
    }
  },
  "meta": {
    "as_of_date": "2026-08-04",
    "code": "688002.SH",
    "company": "睿创微纳",
    "currency": "CNY",
    "latest_operating_info_date": "2026-04-28",
    "market": "上海证券交易所",
    "report_period_end": "2026-03-31"
  },
  "metrics": {
    "annual_cash_conversion": "1.649989562819397552573112919",
    "annual_fcf": "1277853377.63",
    "book_value_per_share": "15.53022408079075436016684291",
    "current_fcf": "749739390.13",
    "deduct_pe": "47.89882212623557046836052106",
    "diluted_shares": "470513245.0",
    "enterprise_value": "65809024923.670",
    "market_cap": "66605854962.200",
    "normalized_eps": "2.955396264795904417100946861",
    "normalized_pe": "47.89882212623556185689099491",
    "normalized_profit": "1390553086.81000025",
    "pb": "9.115129264303066758504102852",
    "price": "141.56",
    "ps": "9.364641561264539070606152122",
    "reported_pe": "45.69718036517759186139333223",
    "ttm_attributable_profit": "1457548462.07",
    "ttm_deduct_profit": "1390553086.81",
    "ttm_eps": "3.097784127352249138066240835",
    "ttm_revenue": "7112483112.83"
  },
  "normalization_adjustments": [
    {
      "amount": "-66995375.25999975",
      "basis": "2025年报加2026年最新累计期减上年同期比较数",
      "description": "以TTM扣非归母利润替代TTM归母利润作为核心盈利代理"
    }
  ],
  "qa": {
    "error_count": 0,
    "info_count": 0,
    "issues": [],
    "status": "PASS",
    "warning_count": 0
  },
  "reverse_pe": [
    {
      "implied_eps": "7.078",
      "implied_margin": "0.4682320780632269535303076061",
      "implied_profit": "3330292748.110",
      "pe": "20"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "5.6624",
      "implied_margin": "0.3745856624505815628242460849",
      "implied_profit": "2664234198.488",
      "pe": "25"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "4.718666666666666666666666667",
      "implied_margin": "0.3121547187088179690202050708",
      "implied_profit": "2220195165.406666666666666667",
      "pe": "30"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "4.044571428571428571428571429",
      "implied_margin": "0.2675611874647011163030329178",
      "implied_profit": "1903024427.491428571428571429",
      "pe": "35"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "3.539",
      "implied_margin": "0.2341160390316134767651538031",
      "implied_profit": "1665146374.055",
      "pe": "40"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "2.8312",
      "implied_margin": "0.1872928312252907814121230424",
      "implied_profit": "1332117099.244",
      "pe": "50"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "2.359333333333333333333333333",
      "implied_margin": "0.1560773593544089845101025353",
      "implied_profit": "1110097582.703333333333333333",
      "pe": "60"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "1.887466666666666666666666667",
      "implied_margin": "0.1248618874835271876080820283",
      "implied_profit": "888078066.1626666666666666667",
      "pe": "75"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "1.4156",
      "implied_margin": "0.09364641561264539070606152122",
      "implied_profit": "666058549.622",
      "pe": "100"
    }
  ],
  "scenarios": [
    {
      "assumption": "需求、验收或价格低于预期,利润下修且估值回归低位。",
      "cagr_high": "-0.11346753942057486",
      "cagr_low": "-0.23282287058769413",
      "equity_value_high": "36474186752.32",
      "equity_value_low": "17700708276.90",
      "method": "pe",
      "name": "悲观",
      "price_high": "77.51999999982997290543861310",
      "price_low": "37.62",
      "role": "pessimistic",
      "upside_to_high": "-0.4523876801368326299418012638",
      "upside_to_low": "-0.7342469624187623622492229443"
    },
    {
      "assumption": "以TTM归一化利润与6家机构覆盖池预期为锚,按行业成长和周期属性定价。",
      "cagr_high": "0.08182353205898418",
      "cagr_low": "-0.08417845364690768",
      "equity_value_high": "98694858271.20",
      "equity_value_low": "42910807944.00",
      "method": "pe",
      "name": "基准",
      "price_high": "209.76",
      "price_low": "91.2",
      "role": "base",
      "upside_to_high": "0.481774512574173495337666007",
      "upside_to_low": "-0.3557502119242723933314495620"
    },
    {
      "assumption": "订单、产品结构和规模效应超预期,利润与估值中枢同步上移。",
      "cagr_high": "0.22946580728781285",
      "cagr_low": "0.10264309231949831",
      "equity_value_high": "187109002139.15",
      "equity_value_low": "108564344098.56",
      "method": "pe",
      "name": "乐观",
      "price_high": "397.67",
      "price_low": "230.7360000005100812836841607",
      "role": "optimistic",
      "upside_to_high": "1.809197513421870584910991806",
      "upside_to_low": "0.629951963835194131701640016"
    }
  ]
}