Cai
2026-08-16 2992aee3f9bb2eaa5dd4da28a598be3d67ea0ec0
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{
  "conclusion": {
    "base_midpoint": "21.64878571433120502803209218",
    "price_label": "当前价格低于基准合理区间",
    "price_position": "BELOW_BASE_RANGE",
    "safety_margin_to_base_midpoint": "0.5597905524238586669778169759"
  },
  "engine_version": "1.0.0",
  "holding_period": {
    "cumulative_dividend_per_share": "0",
    "required_exit_price": "15.3481603",
    "required_profit_by_exit_pe": [
      {
        "exit_pe": "20",
        "required_profit": "951924189.03077155"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "25",
        "required_profit": "761539351.22461724"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "30",
        "required_profit": "634616126.0205143666666666667"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "35",
        "required_profit": "543956679.4461551714285714286"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "40",
        "required_profit": "475962094.515385775"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "50",
        "required_profit": "380769675.61230862"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "60",
        "required_profit": "317308063.0102571833333333333"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "75",
        "required_profit": "253846450.4082057466666666667"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "100",
        "required_profit": "190384837.80615431"
      }
    ],
    "required_return": "0.1",
    "years": 5
  },
  "institutions": {
    "coverage_status": "available",
    "detail": [
      {
        "core_assumption": "汇总接口未提供逐家报告日期;估值日仅作为C1汇总快照日期,不替代单家研报。",
        "estimates": {
          "2026": {
            "eps": "0.733857142857",
            "profit": "910306319.355537"
          },
          "2027": {
            "eps": "0.829142857143",
            "profit": "1028502604.1544628"
          },
          "2028": {
            "eps": "0.937714285714",
            "profit": "1163179030.6110742"
          }
        },
        "included": true,
        "institution": "东方财富公开一致预期汇总(覆盖池7家)",
        "report_date": "2026-08-06",
        "source_id": "SRC-EM-CONSENSUS-20260806",
        "statuses": [
          "CURRENT"
        ]
      }
    ],
    "summary": {
      "2026": {
        "eps_mean": "0.733857142857",
        "eps_profit_reconciliation_gap": "0.00000000000000008776166692609488545810808846",
        "institution_count": 1,
        "pe_on_mean": "12.98617870352598637984900265",
        "profit_max": "910306319.355537",
        "profit_mean": "910306319.355537",
        "profit_median": "910306319.355537",
        "profit_min": "910306319.355537"
      },
      "2027": {
        "eps_mean": "0.829142857143",
        "eps_profit_reconciliation_gap": "0.0000000000000001167814252631309955009759505",
        "institution_count": 1,
        "pe_on_mean": "11.49379738111449241783386713",
        "profit_max": "1028502604.1544628",
        "profit_mean": "1028502604.1544628",
        "profit_median": "1028502604.1544628",
        "profit_min": "1028502604.1544628"
      },
      "2028": {
        "eps_mean": "0.937714285714",
        "eps_profit_reconciliation_gap": "0.00000000000000003457765222853999424883605909",
        "institution_count": 1,
        "pe_on_mean": "10.16301035953996400274891831",
        "profit_max": "1163179030.6110742",
        "profit_mean": "1163179030.6110742",
        "profit_median": "1163179030.6110742",
        "profit_min": "1163179030.6110742"
      }
    }
  },
  "meta": {
    "as_of_date": "2026-08-06",
    "code": "002096.SZ",
    "company": "易普力",
    "currency": "CNY",
    "latest_operating_info_date": "2026-04-30",
    "market": "深圳证券交易所",
    "report_period_end": "2026-03-31"
  },
  "metrics": {
    "annual_cash_conversion": "1.008782151346529923562385945",
    "annual_fcf": "566275726.79",
    "book_value_per_share": "6.549867234071966612319587013",
    "current_fcf": "-77293232.11",
    "deduct_pe": "17.85699722472020647295076246",
    "diluted_shares": "1240440770.0",
    "enterprise_value": "10000138582.850",
    "market_cap": "11821400538.100",
    "normalized_eps": "0.5336843524177296752347151569",
    "normalized_pe": "17.85699722472020755191716363",
    "normalized_profit": "662003829.04999996",
    "pb": "1.454991324163882922981021035",
    "price": "9.53",
    "ps": "1.222995033882027908459845572",
    "reported_pe": "16.08520812257366302828190707",
    "ttm_attributable_profit": "734923691.88",
    "ttm_deduct_profit": "662003829.05",
    "ttm_eps": "0.5924697975542999928968797116",
    "ttm_revenue": "9665943205.49"
  },
  "normalization_adjustments": [
    {
      "amount": "-72919862.83000004",
      "basis": "2025年报加2026年最新累计期减上年同期比较数",
      "description": "以TTM扣非归母利润替代TTM归母利润作为核心盈利代理"
    }
  ],
  "qa": {
    "error_count": 0,
    "info_count": 0,
    "issues": [],
    "status": "PASS",
    "warning_count": 0
  },
  "reverse_pe": [
    {
      "implied_eps": "0.4765",
      "implied_margin": "0.06114975169410139542299227861",
      "implied_profit": "591070026.905",
      "pe": "20"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "0.3812",
      "implied_margin": "0.04891980135528111633839382289",
      "implied_profit": "472856021.524",
      "pe": "25"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "0.3176666666666666666666666667",
      "implied_margin": "0.04076650112940093028199485241",
      "implied_profit": "394046684.6033333333333333333",
      "pe": "30"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "0.2722857142857142857142857143",
      "implied_margin": "0.03494271525377222595599558778",
      "implied_profit": "337754301.0885714285714285714",
      "pe": "35"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "0.23825",
      "implied_margin": "0.03057487584705069771149613931",
      "implied_profit": "295535013.4525",
      "pe": "40"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "0.1906",
      "implied_margin": "0.02445990067764055816919691145",
      "implied_profit": "236428010.762",
      "pe": "50"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "0.1588333333333333333333333333",
      "implied_margin": "0.02038325056470046514099742621",
      "implied_profit": "197023342.3016666666666666667",
      "pe": "60"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "0.1270666666666666666666666667",
      "implied_margin": "0.01630660045176037211279794096",
      "implied_profit": "157618673.8413333333333333333",
      "pe": "75"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "0.0953",
      "implied_margin": "0.01222995033882027908459845572",
      "implied_profit": "118214005.381",
      "pe": "100"
    }
  ],
  "scenarios": [
    {
      "assumption": "需求、验收或价格低于预期,利润下修且估值回归低位。",
      "cagr_high": "0.041808183587595193",
      "cagr_low": "-0.09008520043996626",
      "equity_value_high": "14508006964.75",
      "equity_value_low": "7373481186.78",
      "method": "pe",
      "name": "悲观",
      "price_high": "11.69584821430046998535851091",
      "price_low": "5.944242857141820644930914356",
      "role": "pessimistic",
      "upside_to_high": "0.227266339380951729838248784",
      "upside_to_low": "-0.3762599310449296280240383677"
    },
    {
      "assumption": "以TTM归一化利润与7家机构覆盖池预期为锚,按行业成长和周期属性定价。",
      "cagr_high": "0.25388267562472366",
      "cagr_low": "0.07622723828199551",
      "equity_value_high": "36639829354.10",
      "equity_value_low": "17068243488.00",
      "method": "pe",
      "name": "基准",
      "price_high": "29.53775000002620036424633157",
      "price_low": "13.75982142863620969181785278",
      "role": "base",
      "upside_to_high": "2.099449108082497414926162809",
      "upside_to_low": "0.443842752217860408375430512"
    },
    {
      "assumption": "订单、产品结构和规模效应超预期,利润与估值中枢同步上移。",
      "cagr_high": "0.42862138800855054",
      "cagr_low": "0.27801349285056687",
      "equity_value_high": "70348472359.68",
      "equity_value_low": "40303812289.30",
      "method": "pe",
      "name": "乐观",
      "price_high": "56.71247999989552100903616704",
      "price_low": "32.49152499985952573938697613",
      "role": "optimistic",
      "upside_to_high": "4.950942287502153306299702732",
      "upside_to_low": "2.409394018872982763839137055"
    }
  ]
}