Cai
2026-08-16 2992aee3f9bb2eaa5dd4da28a598be3d67ea0ec0
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{
  "conclusion": {
    "base_midpoint": "30.30399999993622905096424385",
    "price_label": "当前价格处于基准合理区间",
    "price_position": "WITHIN_BASE_RANGE",
    "safety_margin_to_base_midpoint": "-0.03286694825982929334471338959"
  },
  "engine_version": "1.0.0",
  "holding_period": {
    "cumulative_dividend_per_share": "0",
    "required_exit_price": "50.408963",
    "required_profit_by_exit_pe": [
      {
        "exit_pe": "20",
        "required_profit": "1739031961.6824099"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "25",
        "required_profit": "1391225569.34592792"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "30",
        "required_profit": "1159354641.1216066"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "35",
        "required_profit": "993732549.5328056571428571429"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "40",
        "required_profit": "869515980.84120495"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "50",
        "required_profit": "695612784.67296396"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "60",
        "required_profit": "579677320.5608033"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "75",
        "required_profit": "463741856.44864264"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "100",
        "required_profit": "347806392.33648198"
      }
    ],
    "required_return": "0.1",
    "years": 5
  },
  "institutions": {
    "coverage_status": "available",
    "detail": [
      {
        "core_assumption": "汇总接口未提供逐家报告日期;估值日仅作为C1汇总快照日期,不替代单家研报。",
        "estimates": {
          "2026": {
            "eps": "1.894",
            "profit": "1306801941.324"
          },
          "2027": {
            "eps": "2.562",
            "profit": "1767701464.452"
          },
          "2028": {
            "eps": "3.1225",
            "profit": "2154429282.885"
          }
        },
        "included": true,
        "institution": "东方财富公开一致预期汇总(覆盖池5家)",
        "report_date": "2026-08-06",
        "source_id": "SRC-EM-CONSENSUS-20260806",
        "statuses": [
          "CURRENT"
        ]
      }
    ],
    "summary": {
      "2026": {
        "eps_mean": "1.894",
        "eps_profit_reconciliation_gap": "0.0",
        "institution_count": 1,
        "pe_on_mean": "16.52587117212249208025343189",
        "profit_max": "1306801941.324",
        "profit_mean": "1306801941.324",
        "profit_median": "1306801941.324",
        "profit_min": "1306801941.324"
      },
      "2027": {
        "eps_mean": "2.562",
        "eps_profit_reconciliation_gap": "0.0",
        "institution_count": 1,
        "pe_on_mean": "12.21701795472287275565964091",
        "profit_max": "1767701464.452",
        "profit_mean": "1767701464.452",
        "profit_median": "1767701464.452",
        "profit_min": "1767701464.452"
      },
      "2028": {
        "eps_mean": "3.1225",
        "eps_profit_reconciliation_gap": "0.00",
        "institution_count": 1,
        "pe_on_mean": "10.02401921537229783827061649",
        "profit_max": "2154429282.885",
        "profit_mean": "2154429282.885",
        "profit_median": "2154429282.885",
        "profit_min": "2154429282.885"
      }
    }
  },
  "meta": {
    "as_of_date": "2026-08-06",
    "code": "000603.SZ",
    "company": "盛达资源",
    "currency": "CNY",
    "latest_operating_info_date": "2026-08-01",
    "market": "深圳证券交易所",
    "report_period_end": "2026-06-30"
  },
  "metrics": {
    "annual_cash_conversion": "1.630521424067890293242838622",
    "annual_fcf": "168104416.01",
    "book_value_per_share": "5.443630584828909196206522485",
    "current_fcf": "400503237.08",
    "deduct_pe": "25.35651144274436124444106003",
    "diluted_shares": "689969346.0",
    "enterprise_value": "23782079011.31",
    "market_cap": "21596040529.80",
    "normalized_eps": "1.234396934715415720947115816",
    "normalized_pe": "25.35651144274435882994930764",
    "normalized_profit": "851696045.7500000811",
    "pb": "5.749839103195453993843867370",
    "price": "31.3",
    "ps": "7.978219327607857550655900483",
    "reported_pe": "25.33501437471908991077646807",
    "ttm_attributable_profit": "852418720.21",
    "ttm_deduct_profit": "851696045.75",
    "ttm_eps": "1.235444335537190662380528424",
    "ttm_revenue": "2706874760.27"
  },
  "normalization_adjustments": [
    {
      "amount": "-722674.4599999189",
      "basis": "2025年报加2026年最新累计期减上年同期比较数",
      "description": "以TTM扣非归母利润替代TTM归母利润作为核心盈利代理"
    }
  ],
  "qa": {
    "error_count": 0,
    "info_count": 0,
    "issues": [],
    "status": "PASS",
    "warning_count": 0
  },
  "reverse_pe": [
    {
      "implied_eps": "1.565",
      "implied_margin": "0.3989109663803928775327950241",
      "implied_profit": "1079802026.49",
      "pe": "20"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "1.252",
      "implied_margin": "0.3191287731043143020262360193",
      "implied_profit": "863841621.192",
      "pe": "25"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "1.043333333333333333333333333",
      "implied_margin": "0.2659406442535952516885300161",
      "implied_profit": "719868017.66",
      "pe": "30"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "0.8942857142857142857142857143",
      "implied_margin": "0.2279491236459387871615971566",
      "implied_profit": "617029729.4228571428571428571",
      "pe": "35"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "0.7825",
      "implied_margin": "0.1994554831901964387663975121",
      "implied_profit": "539901013.245",
      "pe": "40"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "0.626",
      "implied_margin": "0.1595643865521571510131180097",
      "implied_profit": "431920810.596",
      "pe": "50"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "0.5216666666666666666666666667",
      "implied_margin": "0.1329703221267976258442650080",
      "implied_profit": "359934008.83",
      "pe": "60"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "0.4173333333333333333333333333",
      "implied_margin": "0.1063762577014381006754120064",
      "implied_profit": "287947207.064",
      "pe": "75"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "0.313",
      "implied_margin": "0.07978219327607857550655900483",
      "implied_profit": "215960405.298",
      "pe": "100"
    }
  ],
  "scenarios": [
    {
      "assumption": "需求、验收或价格低于预期,利润下修且估值回归低位。",
      "cagr_high": "-0.12893244900106482",
      "cagr_low": "-0.26272819195210895",
      "equity_value_high": "10830121088.67",
      "equity_value_low": "4704486988.8",
      "method": "pe",
      "name": "悲观",
      "price_high": "15.69652499992369226211971452",
      "price_low": "6.818400000048697815627304695",
      "role": "pessimistic",
      "upside_to_high": "-0.4985135782771983302837151911",
      "upside_to_low": "-0.7821597444073898461460925018"
    },
    {
      "assumption": "以TTM归一化利润与5家机构覆盖池预期为锚,按行业成长和周期属性定价。",
      "cagr_high": "0.0683478851201289",
      "cagr_low": "-0.11444481686981756",
      "equity_value_high": "30056444650.40",
      "equity_value_low": "11761217471.88",
      "method": "pe",
      "name": "基准",
      "price_high": "43.56199999992463433295774273",
      "price_low": "17.04599999994782376897074497",
      "role": "base",
      "upside_to_high": "0.391757188495994707123250566",
      "upside_to_low": "-0.4553993610240311894897525569"
    },
    {
      "assumption": "订单、产品结构和规模效应超预期,利润与估值中枢同步上移。",
      "cagr_high": "0.22226087171899178",
      "cagr_low": "0.06620259092413616",
      "equity_value_high": "58910631514.84",
      "equity_value_low": "29755880203.86",
      "method": "pe",
      "name": "乐观",
      "price_high": "85.38151999993344631864268358",
      "price_low": "43.12637999987321175859891028",
      "role": "optimistic",
      "upside_to_high": "1.727844089454742693886347718",
      "upside_to_low": "0.377839616609367787814661670"
    }
  ]
}