Cai
2026-08-16 2992aee3f9bb2eaa5dd4da28a598be3d67ea0ec0
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{
  "conclusion": {
    "base_midpoint": "27.31662311662342578098415457",
    "price_label": "当前价格处于基准合理区间",
    "price_position": "WITHIN_BASE_RANGE",
    "safety_margin_to_base_midpoint": "0.2751666296574269363283913586"
  },
  "engine_version": "1.0.0",
  "holding_period": {
    "cumulative_dividend_per_share": "0",
    "required_exit_price": "31.888098",
    "required_profit_by_exit_pe": [
      {
        "exit_pe": "20",
        "required_profit": "3527202598.5510369"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "25",
        "required_profit": "2821762078.84082952"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "30",
        "required_profit": "2351468399.0340246"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "35",
        "required_profit": "2015544342.029163942857142857"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "40",
        "required_profit": "1763601299.27551845"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "50",
        "required_profit": "1410881039.42041476"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "60",
        "required_profit": "1175734199.5170123"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "75",
        "required_profit": "940587359.61360984"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "100",
        "required_profit": "705440519.71020738"
      }
    ],
    "required_return": "0.1",
    "years": 5
  },
  "institutions": {
    "coverage_status": "available",
    "detail": [
      {
        "core_assumption": "汇总接口未提供逐家报告日期;估值日仅作为C1汇总快照日期,不替代单家研报。",
        "estimates": {
          "2026": {
            "eps": "1.429545454545",
            "profit": "3162494321.2467217"
          },
          "2027": {
            "eps": "1.566818181818",
            "profit": "3466174221.093689"
          },
          "2028": {
            "eps": "1.707619047619",
            "profit": "3777659201.936085"
          }
        },
        "included": true,
        "institution": "东方财富公开一致预期汇总(覆盖池22家)",
        "report_date": "2026-08-06",
        "source_id": "SRC-EM-CONSENSUS-20260806",
        "statuses": [
          "CURRENT"
        ]
      }
    ],
    "summary": {
      "2026": {
        "eps_mean": "1.429545454545",
        "eps_profit_reconciliation_gap": "0.000000000000000003207910898635425176354060628",
        "institution_count": 1,
        "pe_on_mean": "13.85055643879613694631968041",
        "profit_max": "3162494321.2467217",
        "profit_mean": "3162494321.2467217",
        "profit_median": "3162494321.2467217",
        "profit_min": "3162494321.2467217"
      },
      "2027": {
        "eps_mean": "1.566818181818",
        "eps_profit_reconciliation_gap": "0.00000000000000009115006339765292533757416548",
        "institution_count": 1,
        "pe_on_mean": "12.63707571801713108784173056",
        "profit_max": "3466174221.093689",
        "profit_mean": "3466174221.093689",
        "profit_median": "3466174221.093689",
        "profit_min": "3466174221.093689"
      },
      "2028": {
        "eps_mean": "1.707619047619",
        "eps_profit_reconciliation_gap": "0.00000000000000003482023998686410242221749761",
        "institution_count": 1,
        "pe_on_mean": "11.59509202454020104769326065",
        "profit_max": "3777659201.936085",
        "profit_mean": "3777659201.936085",
        "profit_median": "3777659201.936085",
        "profit_min": "3777659201.936085"
      }
    }
  },
  "meta": {
    "as_of_date": "2026-08-06",
    "code": "002555.SZ",
    "company": "三七互娱",
    "currency": "CNY",
    "latest_operating_info_date": "2026-04-28",
    "market": "深圳证券交易所",
    "report_period_end": "2026-03-31"
  },
  "metrics": {
    "annual_cash_conversion": "1.220019444260110054556241515",
    "annual_fcf": "3184180277.49",
    "book_value_per_share": "6.552770611635739514374540662",
    "current_fcf": "330253217.50",
    "deduct_pe": "15.00733963183816503545905174",
    "diluted_shares": "2212237681.0",
    "enterprise_value": "40239418394.2900003",
    "market_cap": "43802306083.80",
    "normalized_eps": "1.319354428282156843887517166",
    "normalized_pe": "15.00733963183816776058335157",
    "normalized_profit": "2918725580.83999947",
    "pb": "3.021622634682371776008429067",
    "price": "19.8",
    "ps": "2.836421074846986368069161740",
    "reported_pe": "13.58482712719258094608922127",
    "ttm_attributable_profit": "3224355059.78",
    "ttm_deduct_profit": "2918725580.84",
    "ttm_eps": "1.457508425732307196877549253",
    "ttm_revenue": "15442808006.27"
  },
  "normalization_adjustments": [
    {
      "amount": "-305629478.94000053",
      "basis": "2025年报加2026年最新累计期减上年同期比较数",
      "description": "以TTM扣非归母利润替代TTM归母利润作为核心盈利代理"
    }
  ],
  "qa": {
    "error_count": 0,
    "info_count": 0,
    "issues": [],
    "status": "PASS",
    "warning_count": 0
  },
  "reverse_pe": [
    {
      "implied_eps": "0.99",
      "implied_margin": "0.1418210537423493184034580870",
      "implied_profit": "2190115304.19",
      "pe": "20"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "0.792",
      "implied_margin": "0.1134568429938794547227664696",
      "implied_profit": "1752092243.352",
      "pe": "25"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "0.66",
      "implied_margin": "0.09454736916156621226897205800",
      "implied_profit": "1460076869.46",
      "pe": "30"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "0.5657142857142857142857142857",
      "implied_margin": "0.08104060213848532480197604972",
      "implied_profit": "1251494459.537142857142857143",
      "pe": "35"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "0.495",
      "implied_margin": "0.07091052687117465920172904350",
      "implied_profit": "1095057652.095",
      "pe": "40"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "0.396",
      "implied_margin": "0.05672842149693972736138323480",
      "implied_profit": "876046121.676",
      "pe": "50"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "0.33",
      "implied_margin": "0.04727368458078310613448602900",
      "implied_profit": "730038434.73",
      "pe": "60"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "0.264",
      "implied_margin": "0.03781894766462648490758882320",
      "implied_profit": "584030747.784",
      "pe": "75"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "0.198",
      "implied_margin": "0.02836421074846986368069161740",
      "implied_profit": "438023060.838",
      "pe": "100"
    }
  ],
  "scenarios": [
    {
      "assumption": "需求、验收或价格低于预期,利润下修且估值回归低位。",
      "cagr_high": "-0.06303130734406248",
      "cagr_low": "-0.1941517020211757",
      "equity_value_high": "31631688482.40",
      "equity_value_low": "14885500462.30",
      "method": "pe",
      "name": "悲观",
      "price_high": "14.29850361652889683330549870",
      "price_low": "6.728707584246233621585256779",
      "role": "pessimistic",
      "upside_to_high": "-0.2778533527005607659946717828",
      "upside_to_low": "-0.6601662836239275948694314758"
    },
    {
      "assumption": "以TTM归一化利润与22家机构覆盖池预期为锚,按行业成长和周期属性定价。",
      "cagr_high": "0.13812952812853374",
      "cagr_low": "-0.032075919215805104",
      "equity_value_high": "83647974796.89",
      "equity_value_low": "37213751155.65",
      "method": "pe",
      "name": "基准",
      "price_high": "37.81147727267647060749979152",
      "price_low": "16.82176896057038095446851762",
      "role": "base",
      "upside_to_high": "0.909670569327094475126252097",
      "upside_to_low": "-0.1504157090621019719965395141"
    },
    {
      "assumption": "订单、产品结构和规模效应超预期,利润与估值中枢同步上移。",
      "cagr_high": "0.30047415785248455",
      "cagr_low": "0.1600326903290532",
      "equity_value_high": "162931707430.72",
      "equity_value_low": "92012772276.74",
      "method": "pe",
      "name": "乐观",
      "price_high": "73.65018181819858442235800612",
      "price_low": "41.59262500001689465843611584",
      "role": "optimistic",
      "upside_to_high": "2.719706152434271940523131622",
      "upside_to_low": "1.100637626263479528203844234"
    }
  ]
}