1
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哈喽大家好
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2
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00:00:01,060 --> 00:00:05,200
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今天我们来讲一下格兰碧八大法则
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3
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00:00:05,200 --> 00:00:09,720
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我们在上一个视频当中跟大家讲了均线
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4
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00:00:09,720 --> 00:00:13,140
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均线的创始人就是格兰碧
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5
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00:00:13,140 --> 00:00:16,300
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我们今天就来讲他的八大法则
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6
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00:00:16,300 --> 00:00:24,040
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因为他其实也是最早一个提出量价理论的这样一个交易大师
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7
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00:00:24,040 --> 00:00:29,840
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均线我们可以理解为某一时间窗口的价格成本中枢的可视化
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8
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00:00:29,840 --> 00:00:32,440
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那么当价格回到均线附近
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9
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00:00:32,440 --> 00:00:39,580
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我们就要去看他价格是重新回到了一段时间反复成型的一个中枢附近
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10
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00:00:39,580 --> 00:00:41,460
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这里为什么会出现支撑
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11
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00:00:41,460 --> 00:00:42,740
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以及为什么出现压力
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12
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00:00:42,740 --> 00:00:49,260
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背后都可以从我们交易者的盈亏状态和行为变化去进行一个解释
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13
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00:00:49,260 --> 00:00:52,580
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并在华尔街里面纵横几十年
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14
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00:00:52,580 --> 00:00:59,320
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那么他就是第一个开始沿用量价就价格和均线关系的
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15
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00:00:59,320 --> 00:01:02,040
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他是非常看重成交量的
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16
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00:01:02,040 --> 00:01:05,860
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因为在他的体系当中价格是结果
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17
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00:01:05,860 --> 00:01:07,900
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资金和成交量的变化
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18
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00:01:07,900 --> 00:01:12,040
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他会更早的暴露市场内部正在发生的什么
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19
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00:01:12,040 --> 00:01:16,000
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那我们今天先去聊他的一个八大法则
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20
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00:01:16,000 --> 00:01:20,520
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因为这个人他其实当时是特别牛的
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21
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00:01:20,520 --> 00:01:25,580
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他当时一旦说我预判好后面的股市要发生什么变动
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22
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00:01:25,580 --> 00:01:28,160
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那么那个市场就会跟他说的一样
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23
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发生一个剧烈的变化
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24
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00:01:29,320 --> 00:01:32,680
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就我们当年没有量化
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25
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00:01:32,680 --> 00:01:33,940
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没有什么什么
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26
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00:01:33,940 --> 00:01:38,860
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他就相当于是一个市场的放大器一样的存在
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27
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00:01:38,860 --> 00:01:41,320
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我们现如今的市场
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28
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00:01:41,320 --> 00:01:45,160
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你就不可能找到一个什么样的分析师
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29
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00:01:45,160 --> 00:01:48,300
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他说出一句话直接能够影响市场的
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30
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00:01:48,300 --> 00:01:52,800
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但同时格兰比也不是百分百的胜
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31
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00:01:52,800 --> 00:01:56,320
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因为他其实也出现过很多的判断错误
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32
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00:01:56,840 --> 00:01:59,080
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而且错误其实是不少的
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33
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00:01:59,320 --> 00:02:02,360
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但是我们学他的八大法则
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34
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00:02:02,360 --> 00:02:05,420
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其实就是去学他的一个思想
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35
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学他的理论
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36
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00:02:06,300 --> 00:02:10,060
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我们去学他如何进行观察市场
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37
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00:02:10,060 --> 00:02:14,120
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那么就能够把我们然后最容易犯错误
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38
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00:02:14,120 --> 00:02:16,720
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其实也就是这么说买什么时候卖
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39
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00:02:16,720 --> 00:02:19,520
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以及这种非常模糊的买卖
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40
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00:02:19,520 --> 00:02:22,740
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去直接转换为可观测的语义
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41
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00:02:22,740 --> 00:02:27,220
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这就是为什么已经过去将近60多年了
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42
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00:02:27,220 --> 00:02:29,300
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那么我们仍然学习了八大法则
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43
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00:02:29,320 --> 00:02:32,280
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需要去学习一下他的八大法则的原因
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44
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00:02:32,280 --> 00:02:36,760
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只不过格兰比他会用到的是200日
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45
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我们现在用的周期
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46
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00:02:38,900 --> 00:02:41,360
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他相应的会出现一些变化
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47
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00:02:41,360 --> 00:02:45,120
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首先我是先做了一个图给大家
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48
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00:02:45,120 --> 00:02:47,600
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方便更好的一个观测
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49
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00:02:47,600 --> 00:02:50,080
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市面上有很多讲格兰比八大法则的
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50
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00:02:50,080 --> 00:02:52,360
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他会123456788个点
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51
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00:02:52,360 --> 00:02:54,780
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我是做了一个改正
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52
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00:02:54,780 --> 00:02:57,240
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我是买一买二买三买四
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53
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和卖一卖二买三卖四
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54
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00:02:59,320 --> 00:03:00,320
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我是这个样子
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55
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00:03:00,320 --> 00:03:03,680
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统一的有一个对称的顺序
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56
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00:03:03,680 --> 00:03:06,620
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那么四大买入情景的买一
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57
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00:03:06,620 --> 00:03:10,380
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那么他就是趋势转强后的向上突破
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58
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00:03:10,380 --> 00:03:13,680
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那么买二就是向上突破
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59
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00:03:13,680 --> 00:03:17,180
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趋势当中回踩不破的一个买点
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60
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00:03:17,180 --> 00:03:20,460
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那么买三就是上升趋势当中
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61
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00:03:20,460 --> 00:03:24,420
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短暂跌破后快速收回的一个买点
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62
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00:03:24,420 --> 00:03:29,300
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那么买四就是价格大幅低于
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63
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均线后的一个负乖离的修正
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64
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00:03:31,280 --> 00:03:35,140
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那么他对应的四大卖出的点
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65
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00:03:35,140 --> 00:03:36,880
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其实也是一样的
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66
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卖一就是趋势转弱后向下跌破
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67
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那么卖二就是下降趋势中反抽不过
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68
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卖三就是下降趋势当中短暂突破后重新跌回
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69
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00:03:48,800 --> 00:03:51,220
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卖四就是正乖离过的
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70
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市场当中会去讲金差
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71
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金差死差
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72
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在格兰比八大法则里面
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73
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我们其实讲的是对称性
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74
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00:03:59,320 --> 00:04:01,240
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买一和卖一
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75
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00:04:01,240 --> 00:04:04,240
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它是趋势转折的对称
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76
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买二和卖二
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77
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00:04:05,880 --> 00:04:09,240
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那么它是成本区的一个攻防的对称
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78
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00:04:09,240 --> 00:04:14,640
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那么买三和卖三就是陷阱识别的对称
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79
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00:04:14,640 --> 00:04:16,360
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一个是假跌破
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80
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00:04:16,360 --> 00:04:18,000
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一个是假突破
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81
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也就我们常说的假衰
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82
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00:04:19,760 --> 00:04:24,360
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那么买四和卖四都是对于乖离率的一个修正
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83
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00:04:24,360 --> 00:04:28,240
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我们先来讲买一
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84
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因为我对
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85
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这些东西我会再去给大家一个评解
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86
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我们先看买一
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87
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买一均线经过较长的时间下行之后
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88
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那么开始逐渐走平
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89
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甚至是向上突破
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90
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这就意味着在过去的周期当中
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91
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价格中枢它不再持续下降
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92
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价格是蓝色的线
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93
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均线是虚线
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94
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这种时候新的低价
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95
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甚至它已经不能把
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96
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整个价格的中枢快速往下拖
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97
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00:05:01,720 --> 00:05:04,060
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那么市场下行的速度正在减弱
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98
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00:05:04,060 --> 00:05:08,800
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随后价格从均线下方向上穿越
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99
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00:05:08,800 --> 00:05:12,780
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并且在收盘能够有效的站在均线之上
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100
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00:05:12,780 --> 00:05:16,080
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那么这个时候市场发生了一个很重要的结构变化
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101
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00:05:16,080 --> 00:05:20,480
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就是原本长期运行在成本中枢下方的一个价格
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102
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能够重新回到了中枢上方
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103
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那么我们就从整个空头的结构
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104
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转变为多头的结构
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105
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00:05:27,800 --> 00:05:32,680
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所以买一它对应的也不简简单单的
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106
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00:05:32,680 --> 00:05:34,840
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是指这个穿越的动作
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107
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00:05:34,840 --> 00:05:39,540
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而是价格相对于成本中枢的地位
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108
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它发生了改变
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109
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00:05:40,540 --> 00:05:44,440
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同时均线自己的方向它不再恶化
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110
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00:05:44,440 --> 00:05:47,680
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因此我们对于买一来讲
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111
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00:05:47,680 --> 00:05:50,120
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其实是要确认几个条件的
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112
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00:05:50,120 --> 00:05:53,300
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首先就是说你均线必须先走平
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113
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00:05:53,300 --> 00:05:55,660
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或者是开始抬头
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114
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00:05:55,660 --> 00:05:57,720
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如果均线它突然间
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115
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00:05:57,720 --> 00:05:59,040
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你拉上一根直线
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116
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00:05:59,040 --> 00:06:00,840
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手翘向上向下
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117
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00:06:00,840 --> 00:06:04,740
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那么价格它从下方穿上去
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118
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00:06:04,740 --> 00:06:09,580
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那么我们就只能看作它是一个短期的反弹
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119
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00:06:09,580 --> 00:06:12,780
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并且是甚至它是一个价格
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120
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00:06:12,780 --> 00:06:14,900
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它是一个消息的刺激
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121
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00:06:14,900 --> 00:06:16,560
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这种速度很快
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122
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00:06:16,560 --> 00:06:19,560
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但是它无法说明中期的趋势
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123
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00:06:19,560 --> 00:06:20,940
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开始发生的扭转
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124
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00:06:20,940 --> 00:06:26,340
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第二我们是要以收盘价去确认的
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125
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00:06:26,340 --> 00:06:27,700
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盘中站起来的趋势是什么呢
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126
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00:06:27,720 --> 00:06:31,500
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如果盘中站上你收盘重新跌回
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127
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00:06:31,500 --> 00:06:34,000
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这个就不能算是有效的完成
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128
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00:06:34,000 --> 00:06:36,360
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第三我们要去看量了
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129
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00:06:36,360 --> 00:06:38,980
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我们平时经常说你突破那个线
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130
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00:06:38,980 --> 00:06:40,380
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你要么跳过
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131
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00:06:40,380 --> 00:06:41,820
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你要么放量过
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132
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00:06:41,820 --> 00:06:44,480
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其他什么过我们都不认
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133
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00:06:44,480 --> 00:06:48,100
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所以放量过在我们A股当中
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134
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00:06:48,100 --> 00:06:52,200
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是非常有必要的一个确认的条件
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135
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00:06:52,200 --> 00:06:53,540
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因为放量突破
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136
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00:06:53,540 --> 00:06:56,560
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它会说明参与的资金更充分
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137
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00:06:56,560 --> 00:06:57,700
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如果是说明参与的资金更充分
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138
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00:06:57,720 --> 00:07:01,200
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放量突破我们就需要降低它的一个信号等级
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139
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00:07:01,200 --> 00:07:04,860
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因此在整个八个点当中
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140
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00:07:04,860 --> 00:07:06,900
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我给大家一个评分标准
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141
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00:07:06,900 --> 00:07:10,880
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这个评分标准是分胜率和赔率两个方面的
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142
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00:07:10,880 --> 00:07:14,120
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比如说胜率打满一到五颗星
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143
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00:07:14,120 --> 00:07:15,960
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然后赔率打满一到五颗星
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144
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00:07:15,960 --> 00:07:17,240
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总分是十分
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145
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00:07:17,240 --> 00:07:20,240
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那么买一对于我来讲
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146
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00:07:20,240 --> 00:07:22,380
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胜率它是三颗星
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147
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00:07:22,380 --> 00:07:24,760
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但赔率它有五颗星
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148
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00:07:24,760 --> 00:07:27,180
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因此总分能够给到八颗星
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149
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00:07:27,720 --> 00:07:28,640
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这里赔率高
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150
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00:07:28,640 --> 00:07:30,260
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那么是因为买一
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151
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00:07:30,260 --> 00:07:34,280
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它出现在趋势刚刚启动的位置
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152
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00:07:34,280 --> 00:07:38,800
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一旦你的后续的均线真正由平转升的时候
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153
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00:07:38,800 --> 00:07:43,280
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价格它是能够形成持续的上升结构的
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154
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00:07:43,280 --> 00:07:45,060
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那么理论上来讲
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155
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00:07:45,060 --> 00:07:47,620
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它的整个空间就会更大
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156
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00:07:47,620 --> 00:07:50,560
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而且信号失效的位置
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157
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00:07:50,560 --> 00:07:53,020
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它相对更容易去定义
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158
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00:07:53,020 --> 00:07:54,680
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因为重新跌回成本中
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159
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00:07:54,680 --> 00:07:56,400
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重新均线继续向下弯
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160
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00:07:56,400 --> 00:07:57,660
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就说明这次转强
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161
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00:07:57,720 --> 00:07:58,700
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没有得到确认
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162
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00:07:58,700 --> 00:08:01,240
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因此赔率很高
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163
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00:08:01,240 --> 00:08:03,440
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那么胜率只有三颗星
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164
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00:08:03,440 --> 00:08:05,960
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因为太早了
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165
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00:08:05,960 --> 00:08:10,820
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市场刚刚它还在从下降趋势里面爬出来
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166
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00:08:10,820 --> 00:08:13,620
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均线的整个滞后性
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167
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00:08:13,620 --> 00:08:17,260
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它就决定了趋势惯性仍然存在
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168
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00:08:17,260 --> 00:08:20,040
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你第一次突破很容易失败
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169
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00:08:20,040 --> 00:08:24,100
|
因此我们把买一就可以理解为一个
|
|
170
|
00:08:24,100 --> 00:08:27,100
|
试错型的趋势启动信号
|
|
171
|
00:08:27,100 --> 00:08:27,700
|
它如果一旦失败了
|
|
172
|
00:08:27,720 --> 00:08:30,120
|
一旦成你整个赔率非常的高
|
|
173
|
00:08:30,120 --> 00:08:33,340
|
但它胜率相对应的会低那么一点
|
|
174
|
00:08:33,340 --> 00:08:34,580
|
那么买二呢
|
|
175
|
00:08:34,580 --> 00:08:37,560
|
其实是更为重要的一个点
|
|
176
|
00:08:37,560 --> 00:08:42,040
|
这是我们的这整个八大法则当中
|
|
177
|
00:08:42,040 --> 00:08:43,840
|
最重要的一点
|
|
178
|
00:08:43,840 --> 00:08:46,800
|
因为这个地方它标志着
|
|
179
|
00:08:46,800 --> 00:08:50,800
|
价格已经在上升趋势里面运行的一段时间
|
|
180
|
00:08:50,800 --> 00:08:52,900
|
均线保持向上
|
|
181
|
00:08:52,900 --> 00:08:54,900
|
随后价格出现回调
|
|
182
|
00:08:54,900 --> 00:08:56,340
|
重新靠近均线
|
|
183
|
00:08:56,340 --> 00:08:57,700
|
但没有形成一段上升趋势
|
|
184
|
00:08:57,720 --> 00:08:58,440
|
有效跌破
|
|
185
|
00:08:58,440 --> 00:09:01,540
|
最后再次转身向上
|
|
186
|
00:09:01,540 --> 00:09:03,160
|
为什么这个位置重要
|
|
187
|
00:09:03,160 --> 00:09:06,600
|
因为这个位置趋势已经存在了
|
|
188
|
00:09:06,600 --> 00:09:09,280
|
市场现在它考虑的就是
|
|
189
|
00:09:09,280 --> 00:09:11,840
|
回调以后有没有人去接
|
|
190
|
00:09:11,840 --> 00:09:18,000
|
那么把均线理解为近期到价格成本中枢以后
|
|
191
|
00:09:18,000 --> 00:09:20,800
|
那么我们去理解这个方向就是说
|
|
192
|
00:09:20,800 --> 00:09:25,280
|
前期较低位置进入的人仍然保有浮盈
|
|
193
|
00:09:25,280 --> 00:09:27,700
|
因此价格回到中枢以后
|
|
194
|
00:09:27,720 --> 00:09:32,680
|
均线附近并不会自然形成所有持仓者
|
|
195
|
00:09:32,680 --> 00:09:34,660
|
同时恐慌迈出的一个局面
|
|
196
|
00:09:34,660 --> 00:09:35,800
|
那么另一方面
|
|
197
|
00:09:35,800 --> 00:09:38,300
|
前面没有追上的资金
|
|
198
|
00:09:38,300 --> 00:09:41,700
|
会把这个位置它视为更接近
|
|
199
|
00:09:41,700 --> 00:09:45,340
|
趋势成本区间的一个第二次的参与机会
|
|
200
|
00:09:45,340 --> 00:09:48,780
|
如果回调过程当中成交量收缩
|
|
201
|
00:09:48,780 --> 00:09:50,940
|
抛压逐渐的衰减
|
|
202
|
00:09:50,940 --> 00:09:55,080
|
而价格在均线附近出现了止跌
|
|
203
|
00:09:55,080 --> 00:09:57,480
|
那么我们看到的就是
|
|
204
|
00:09:57,480 --> 00:10:00,800
|
一次非常典型的成本区间的一个承接
|
|
205
|
00:10:00,800 --> 00:10:03,660
|
同样我们需要给它定三个条件
|
|
206
|
00:10:03,660 --> 00:10:06,980
|
首先是均线仍然是向上的
|
|
207
|
00:10:06,980 --> 00:10:09,580
|
价格是回到了成本区
|
|
208
|
00:10:09,580 --> 00:10:12,120
|
回调它没有破坏趋势
|
|
209
|
00:10:12,120 --> 00:10:13,840
|
因此买二
|
|
210
|
00:10:13,840 --> 00:10:17,740
|
我们给它的总分是9颗星
|
|
211
|
00:10:17,740 --> 00:10:19,320
|
胜率5颗星
|
|
212
|
00:10:19,320 --> 00:10:20,420
|
赔率4颗星
|
|
213
|
00:10:20,420 --> 00:10:26,380
|
那么它的优势就是来自于趋势已经被验证
|
|
214
|
00:10:26,380 --> 00:10:27,460
|
相比之下
|
|
215
|
00:10:27,480 --> 00:10:28,160
|
对于买一
|
|
216
|
00:10:28,160 --> 00:10:32,260
|
你虽然牺牲了一部分最早的利润空间
|
|
217
|
00:10:32,260 --> 00:10:35,800
|
换来的是确定性的一个趋势
|
|
218
|
00:10:35,800 --> 00:10:39,020
|
和更清楚的一个失效的位置
|
|
219
|
00:10:39,020 --> 00:10:42,960
|
所以它的胜率要比买一多了两颗星
|
|
220
|
00:10:42,960 --> 00:10:44,660
|
赔率比买一低了一颗星
|
|
221
|
00:10:44,660 --> 00:10:47,140
|
总分比买一高了一份
|
|
222
|
00:10:47,140 --> 00:10:48,840
|
第三个点就是买三
|
|
223
|
00:10:48,840 --> 00:10:53,320
|
买三我们叫它假跌破或者是假衰
|
|
224
|
00:10:53,320 --> 00:10:56,060
|
那么买三和买二之间
|
|
225
|
00:10:56,060 --> 00:10:57,460
|
它只差一半
|
|
226
|
00:10:57,480 --> 00:11:02,040
|
不买二是回调到均线附近以后守住
|
|
227
|
00:11:02,040 --> 00:11:04,380
|
买三比较刺激
|
|
228
|
00:11:04,380 --> 00:11:08,480
|
就是它价格是有可能会跌破均线的
|
|
229
|
00:11:08,480 --> 00:11:12,860
|
但均线本身仍然在保持着一个上升
|
|
230
|
00:11:12,860 --> 00:11:15,900
|
所以随后价格在较短的时间内
|
|
231
|
00:11:15,900 --> 00:11:18,340
|
重新收回均线之上
|
|
232
|
00:11:18,340 --> 00:11:20,720
|
因此这个假跌破
|
|
233
|
00:11:20,720 --> 00:11:22,120
|
它不是指
|
|
234
|
00:11:22,120 --> 00:11:24,780
|
重点不是跌破这两个字
|
|
235
|
00:11:24,780 --> 00:11:26,960
|
重点是跌破之后
|
|
236
|
00:11:26,960 --> 00:11:28,080
|
发生了什么事
|
|
237
|
00:11:28,080 --> 00:11:32,180
|
如果价格跌破上升中的一个成本中枢之后
|
|
238
|
00:11:32,180 --> 00:11:33,720
|
继续放量下行
|
|
239
|
00:11:33,720 --> 00:11:36,700
|
那么均线的协率也迅速走平
|
|
240
|
00:11:36,700 --> 00:11:40,180
|
那么这有可能是真正的一个趋势破坏
|
|
241
|
00:11:40,180 --> 00:11:44,280
|
但如果价格短暂跌破以后
|
|
242
|
00:11:44,280 --> 00:11:47,440
|
向下跟随的炮压并没有继续扩散
|
|
243
|
00:11:47,440 --> 00:11:49,440
|
反而很快重新被承接
|
|
244
|
00:11:49,440 --> 00:11:52,660
|
那么价格重新站回了均线之上
|
|
245
|
00:11:52,660 --> 00:11:56,940
|
那么这个跌破就很有可能是一次失败的向下突破
|
|
246
|
00:11:56,960 --> 00:12:01,720
|
因此市场上就会给我们这个点位
|
|
247
|
00:12:01,720 --> 00:12:03,680
|
一个非常有价值的信息
|
|
248
|
00:12:03,680 --> 00:12:10,640
|
就是说空方你曾经是有过把它趋势打穿的机会的
|
|
249
|
00:12:10,640 --> 00:12:12,020
|
但是你没有成功
|
|
250
|
00:12:12,020 --> 00:12:14,120
|
所以从结构上来讲
|
|
251
|
00:12:14,120 --> 00:12:16,880
|
这就相当于是第一次的压力测试
|
|
252
|
00:12:16,880 --> 00:12:19,240
|
因此这个点位对于我们来讲
|
|
253
|
00:12:19,240 --> 00:12:21,220
|
我们可以叫它洗盘
|
|
254
|
00:12:21,220 --> 00:12:22,420
|
叫它阻力洗盘
|
|
255
|
00:12:23,400 --> 00:12:26,720
|
但是阻力洗盘背后的意义代表的是
|
|
256
|
00:12:26,720 --> 00:12:26,780
|
破坏了价格的机会
|
|
257
|
00:12:26,780 --> 00:12:26,940
|
但是阻力洗盘背后的意义代表的是破坏了价格的机会
|
|
258
|
00:12:26,960 --> 00:12:31,780
|
破坏之后市场没有形成持续性的一个跟随
|
|
259
|
00:12:31,780 --> 00:12:35,900
|
因此买三也要看三个条件
|
|
260
|
00:12:35,900 --> 00:12:39,460
|
首先是均线仍然是保持向上的
|
|
261
|
00:12:39,460 --> 00:12:43,200
|
也就是说原有的趋势尚未被正式破坏的前提
|
|
262
|
00:12:43,200 --> 00:12:45,520
|
第二收回速度要快
|
|
263
|
00:12:45,520 --> 00:12:51,060
|
你如果一直拖着很久时间不收回
|
|
264
|
00:12:51,060 --> 00:12:52,640
|
那么也是有问题的
|
|
265
|
00:12:52,640 --> 00:12:54,580
|
具体你是要看多久
|
|
266
|
00:12:54,580 --> 00:12:56,780
|
那么就结合整个波动的特质
|
|
267
|
00:12:56,780 --> 00:12:59,080
|
因为目前来讲
|
|
268
|
00:12:59,080 --> 00:13:01,540
|
这个也没办法跟你说具体几天不回调
|
|
269
|
00:13:01,540 --> 00:13:03,080
|
或者是多久不回调
|
|
270
|
00:13:03,080 --> 00:13:03,960
|
那么就不成立
|
|
271
|
00:13:03,960 --> 00:13:07,660
|
因此你到时候还是要看整个一个情况来定
|
|
272
|
00:13:07,660 --> 00:13:10,240
|
因此在这个买点
|
|
273
|
00:13:10,240 --> 00:13:12,980
|
我们总体给到的评分是八颗星
|
|
274
|
00:13:12,980 --> 00:13:15,740
|
那么胜率四颗星
|
|
275
|
00:13:15,740 --> 00:13:16,920
|
赔率四颗星
|
|
276
|
00:13:16,920 --> 00:13:19,220
|
它比买二少的一颗星
|
|
277
|
00:13:19,220 --> 00:13:23,820
|
是因为你毕竟已经经历过一次真实的破位了
|
|
278
|
00:13:23,820 --> 00:13:26,600
|
破位当下很难百分百的去预测
|
|
279
|
00:13:26,600 --> 00:13:29,800
|
那么这个区分它是失败的突破
|
|
280
|
00:13:29,800 --> 00:13:31,360
|
还是说趋势反转
|
|
281
|
00:13:31,360 --> 00:13:33,640
|
所以我们对于买三的定位
|
|
282
|
00:13:33,640 --> 00:13:35,840
|
它是买二的一个补充
|
|
283
|
00:13:35,840 --> 00:13:37,900
|
买二观察有没有守住
|
|
284
|
00:13:37,900 --> 00:13:41,060
|
买三观察的是跌破之后能不能抢回来
|
|
285
|
00:13:41,060 --> 00:13:45,740
|
那么两者其实在本质上都是测试同一件事情
|
|
286
|
00:13:45,740 --> 00:13:48,760
|
也就是说上升趋势的成本区
|
|
287
|
00:13:48,760 --> 00:13:50,760
|
它的成绩怎么样
|
|
288
|
00:13:50,760 --> 00:13:52,560
|
那么到了买四
|
|
289
|
00:13:52,560 --> 00:13:56,280
|
买四是发生在下跌趋势当中的
|
|
290
|
00:13:56,280 --> 00:13:58,200
|
价格突然加速下跌
|
|
291
|
00:13:58,200 --> 00:14:00,000
|
然后迅速远离均线
|
|
292
|
00:14:00,000 --> 00:14:02,040
|
形成非常大的一个负外率
|
|
293
|
00:14:02,040 --> 00:14:09,040
|
那么这个时候当前的价格已经明显低于过去很多个周期当中形成的价格中枢
|
|
294
|
00:14:09,040 --> 00:14:13,040
|
那么短期的持仓者普遍处于明显浮亏的状态
|
|
295
|
00:14:13,040 --> 00:14:16,920
|
市场往往伴随着情绪的快速恶化
|
|
296
|
00:14:16,920 --> 00:14:22,040
|
其实也就是说我们买四买的就是超跌反弹
|
|
297
|
00:14:22,040 --> 00:14:25,040
|
但问题就在于买四
|
|
298
|
00:14:25,040 --> 00:14:26,200
|
你知道它
|
|
299
|
00:14:26,280 --> 00:14:27,080
|
负外率过大
|
|
300
|
00:14:27,080 --> 00:14:32,600
|
但你不知道它这个乖离率还能继续扩大多少
|
|
301
|
00:14:32,600 --> 00:14:35,420
|
这个是没有一个统一答案的
|
|
302
|
00:14:35,420 --> 00:14:38,440
|
因为不同的乖离率
|
|
303
|
00:14:38,440 --> 00:14:41,060
|
你放在不同的股票上面
|
|
304
|
00:14:41,060 --> 00:14:43,920
|
它是完全不一样的
|
|
305
|
00:14:43,920 --> 00:14:46,580
|
因此这个买点的总分
|
|
306
|
00:14:46,580 --> 00:14:48,360
|
我们只能给到四分
|
|
307
|
00:14:48,360 --> 00:14:49,900
|
胜率两颗星
|
|
308
|
00:14:49,900 --> 00:14:51,300
|
赔率两颗星
|
|
309
|
00:14:51,300 --> 00:14:55,120
|
胜率低是因为极端的情况
|
|
310
|
00:14:55,120 --> 00:14:57,260
|
它是没有天然边界的
|
|
311
|
00:14:57,260 --> 00:14:59,880
|
你以为已经偏得很远了
|
|
312
|
00:14:59,880 --> 00:15:04,000
|
但市场完全可以再走一段更极端的一个恐慌
|
|
313
|
00:15:04,000 --> 00:15:05,840
|
那么赔率也不高
|
|
314
|
00:15:05,840 --> 00:15:08,500
|
是因为即使均值回归真的发生
|
|
315
|
00:15:08,500 --> 00:15:11,840
|
那么第一目标位往往也只是靠近一个均线
|
|
316
|
00:15:11,840 --> 00:15:13,620
|
而下降中的均线本身
|
|
317
|
00:15:13,620 --> 00:15:17,280
|
它又很有可能会成为一个新的压力区
|
|
318
|
00:15:17,280 --> 00:15:20,700
|
所以有句话叫做老手死于抄底
|
|
319
|
00:15:20,700 --> 00:15:21,760
|
也就这个样子
|
|
320
|
00:15:21,760 --> 00:15:25,000
|
因为买四你是不适合作为
|
|
321
|
00:15:25,000 --> 00:15:27,040
|
阻力的一个主动买点的
|
|
322
|
00:15:27,040 --> 00:15:29,380
|
它其实是预警
|
|
323
|
00:15:29,380 --> 00:15:31,560
|
也就是说乖离进入历史极端
|
|
324
|
00:15:31,560 --> 00:15:34,080
|
说明下跌已经进入了高波动
|
|
325
|
00:15:34,080 --> 00:15:35,620
|
非线性的一个阶段
|
|
326
|
00:15:35,620 --> 00:15:38,040
|
那么这个位置我们继续
|
|
327
|
00:15:38,040 --> 00:15:42,280
|
跟着情绪杀跌的性价比在下降
|
|
328
|
00:15:42,280 --> 00:15:47,920
|
因此我们是需要把买四当作是一个开始观察的信号
|
|
329
|
00:15:47,920 --> 00:15:51,700
|
因此像我们最近做的一些抄底行为
|
|
330
|
00:15:51,700 --> 00:15:54,940
|
其实我们的整体的仓位也是控制在
|
|
331
|
00:15:54,940 --> 00:15:58,140
|
包括说我们7月底的抄底整体仓位
|
|
332
|
00:15:58,140 --> 00:15:59,700
|
也是控制在五层的原因
|
|
333
|
00:15:59,700 --> 00:16:01,180
|
也是因为这个样子的
|
|
334
|
00:16:01,180 --> 00:16:04,820
|
就包括说我们抄底一定都是要慢慢抄的
|
|
335
|
00:16:04,820 --> 00:16:05,940
|
抄底要慢
|
|
336
|
00:16:05,940 --> 00:16:07,600
|
逃顶要快
|
|
337
|
00:16:07,600 --> 00:16:12,900
|
所以是这样一个情况来配合我们整体的一个操作
|
|
338
|
00:16:12,900 --> 00:16:17,140
|
来帮助我们的交易做得更为顺畅一点
|
|
339
|
00:16:17,140 --> 00:16:21,540
|
所以如果是要参与这种均值回归的交易
|
|
340
|
00:16:21,540 --> 00:16:24,500
|
那么整体的仓位和失效的纪律
|
|
341
|
00:16:24,940 --> 00:16:27,640
|
相比于趋势交易来讲就要更为严格
|
|
342
|
00:16:27,640 --> 00:16:30,380
|
因为我们是逆着趋势做的交易
|
|
343
|
00:16:30,380 --> 00:16:32,260
|
而不是顺着趋势做的回彩
|
|
344
|
00:16:32,260 --> 00:16:35,000
|
讲完了买一到买四
|
|
345
|
00:16:35,000 --> 00:16:36,880
|
我们先说一下卖一
|
|
346
|
00:16:36,880 --> 00:16:38,340
|
那么也就是说
|
|
347
|
00:16:38,340 --> 00:16:41,260
|
均线经过一段时间的上涨之后
|
|
348
|
00:16:41,260 --> 00:16:44,440
|
逐渐走平甚至开始下弯
|
|
349
|
00:16:44,440 --> 00:16:47,940
|
那么价格从上方跌破到均线
|
|
350
|
00:16:47,940 --> 00:16:52,900
|
那么这个结构就意味着价格从成本中输的上方
|
|
351
|
00:16:52,900 --> 00:16:54,340
|
重新回到了下方
|
|
352
|
00:16:54,940 --> 00:16:59,340
|
那么近期持仓者的一个浮盈开始快速的收窄
|
|
353
|
00:16:59,340 --> 00:17:04,560
|
那么一部分新进进入的资金就开始转为浮亏
|
|
354
|
00:17:04,560 --> 00:17:07,620
|
那么如果价格跌破后无法迅速收回
|
|
355
|
00:17:07,620 --> 00:17:10,820
|
那么也就意味着整个市场的承接意愿会下降
|
|
356
|
00:17:10,820 --> 00:17:14,580
|
那么趋势就会进入由强转弱的阶段
|
|
357
|
00:17:14,580 --> 00:17:17,660
|
卖一相对的评分就是七颗星
|
|
358
|
00:17:17,660 --> 00:17:20,420
|
胜率两颗星赔率五颗星
|
|
359
|
00:17:20,420 --> 00:17:24,560
|
这个赔率不是指你在这个时候买的给你的
|
|
360
|
00:17:24,940 --> 00:17:27,140
|
因为它是对应相反的
|
|
361
|
00:17:27,140 --> 00:17:30,280
|
在格兰币它毕竟是脑外
|
|
362
|
00:17:30,280 --> 00:17:31,920
|
他们美股是可以做空的
|
|
363
|
00:17:31,920 --> 00:17:36,000
|
因此这边它的赔率相对于我们来讲
|
|
364
|
00:17:36,000 --> 00:17:38,000
|
其实是防守意义
|
|
365
|
00:17:38,000 --> 00:17:42,640
|
也就是说如果它真的演化成了中期的下降趋势
|
|
366
|
00:17:42,640 --> 00:17:48,600
|
那么我们在这种时候减仓能够避免掉很长一段的回撤
|
|
367
|
00:17:48,600 --> 00:17:53,280
|
因此它的赔率对于我们减仓来讲很高
|
|
368
|
00:17:54,940 --> 00:17:57,060
|
那么它跟买一其实是一样的
|
|
369
|
00:17:57,060 --> 00:17:58,700
|
它的胜率是偏低的
|
|
370
|
00:17:58,700 --> 00:18:03,220
|
它胜率只有两颗星甚至比买一还要再小一点
|
|
371
|
00:18:03,220 --> 00:18:05,920
|
包括说本来在数学上
|
|
372
|
00:18:05,920 --> 00:18:10,380
|
其实股票上涨的价格和下跌的空间
|
|
373
|
00:18:10,380 --> 00:18:12,240
|
它都不是对称的
|
|
374
|
00:18:12,240 --> 00:18:13,640
|
它本身就是不对称的
|
|
375
|
00:18:13,640 --> 00:18:17,800
|
因此这里比较的还是一个风险管理的价值
|
|
376
|
00:18:17,800 --> 00:18:19,860
|
卖二对于我们来讲
|
|
377
|
00:18:19,860 --> 00:18:22,920
|
其实就是下降的趋势已经形成之后
|
|
378
|
00:18:22,920 --> 00:18:24,920
|
那么价格出现了
|
|
379
|
00:18:24,940 --> 00:18:28,820
|
反弹重新接近向下运行的均线当中
|
|
380
|
00:18:28,820 --> 00:18:30,620
|
但无法站稳
|
|
381
|
00:18:30,620 --> 00:18:32,340
|
随后再次向下
|
|
382
|
00:18:32,340 --> 00:18:33,860
|
那么这就是卖二
|
|
383
|
00:18:33,860 --> 00:18:35,920
|
这个位置很容易理解
|
|
384
|
00:18:35,920 --> 00:18:38,120
|
它其实和买二是对称的
|
|
385
|
00:18:38,120 --> 00:18:39,160
|
因为在下降中
|
|
386
|
00:18:39,160 --> 00:18:42,900
|
均线代表价格成本中枢仍然在向下
|
|
387
|
00:18:42,900 --> 00:18:46,480
|
那么价格从低位反弹回到中枢区间
|
|
388
|
00:18:46,480 --> 00:18:50,600
|
那么会遇到前期的一个套牢盘
|
|
389
|
00:18:50,600 --> 00:18:51,920
|
短期获利盘
|
|
390
|
00:18:51,920 --> 00:18:54,400
|
以及趋势交易者的减仓动作
|
|
391
|
00:18:54,940 --> 00:18:58,140
|
如果反弹越接近均线越无力
|
|
392
|
00:18:58,140 --> 00:19:01,960
|
那么最后再次转弱就说明仍然是有效的
|
|
393
|
00:19:01,960 --> 00:19:04,100
|
因此在我们整个交易的过程当中
|
|
394
|
00:19:04,100 --> 00:19:06,860
|
你去拿不同的均线去看
|
|
395
|
00:19:06,860 --> 00:19:09,620
|
它对标的整个行为不一样
|
|
396
|
00:19:09,620 --> 00:19:11,460
|
因为如果是以这一段
|
|
397
|
00:19:11,460 --> 00:19:13,920
|
这一段如果是均线是月线
|
|
398
|
00:19:13,920 --> 00:19:16,760
|
那么这一小段的操作
|
|
399
|
00:19:16,760 --> 00:19:19,260
|
我们放在日线的级别当中
|
|
400
|
00:19:19,260 --> 00:19:22,080
|
甚至都已经是一波行情了
|
|
401
|
00:19:22,080 --> 00:19:24,780
|
那么这个点对于我们来讲就是
|
|
402
|
00:19:24,940 --> 00:19:25,440
|
买4
|
|
403
|
00:19:25,440 --> 00:19:28,160
|
这个点可能对于我们来讲就是买1
|
|
404
|
00:19:28,160 --> 00:19:29,260
|
然后这是买2
|
|
405
|
00:19:29,260 --> 00:19:31,040
|
这是买3
|
|
406
|
00:19:31,040 --> 00:19:32,160
|
这是买1
|
|
407
|
00:19:32,160 --> 00:19:35,200
|
所以不同的周期它对应的是不一样的
|
|
408
|
00:19:35,200 --> 00:19:37,900
|
就看你是要做长还是做短
|
|
409
|
00:19:37,900 --> 00:19:39,600
|
就区别于在这里
|
|
410
|
00:19:39,600 --> 00:19:41,480
|
卖3它就是
|
|
411
|
00:19:41,480 --> 00:19:43,560
|
刚还没说卖2的赔率
|
|
412
|
00:19:43,560 --> 00:19:45,840
|
它也是9颗星
|
|
413
|
00:19:45,840 --> 00:19:49,380
|
因为胜率相对来讲是比较高的
|
|
414
|
00:19:49,380 --> 00:19:50,340
|
胜率是4颗星
|
|
415
|
00:19:50,340 --> 00:19:51,740
|
赔率同样是5颗星
|
|
416
|
00:19:51,740 --> 00:19:54,920
|
因为在卖出测比较重要的情况下
|
|
417
|
00:19:54,940 --> 00:19:57,360
|
这种防守的位置赔率高
|
|
418
|
00:19:57,360 --> 00:19:59,260
|
它的理由就是说
|
|
419
|
00:19:59,280 --> 00:20:01,520
|
仍然不是整个跌势
|
|
420
|
00:20:01,520 --> 00:20:02,220
|
而是说
|
|
421
|
00:20:02,220 --> 00:20:04,880
|
它是给了我们持仓者
|
|
422
|
00:20:04,880 --> 00:20:07,440
|
一次相对清楚的风险
|
|
423
|
00:20:07,440 --> 00:20:08,540
|
退出窗口
|
|
424
|
00:20:08,540 --> 00:20:10,480
|
如果反抽不过
|
|
425
|
00:20:10,480 --> 00:20:12,680
|
那么重新下跌
|
|
426
|
00:20:12,680 --> 00:20:14,120
|
减仓可以规避
|
|
427
|
00:20:14,120 --> 00:20:16,300
|
后续趋势性的一个回撤
|
|
428
|
00:20:16,300 --> 00:20:19,220
|
如果随后强势站回区线
|
|
429
|
00:20:19,220 --> 00:20:20,940
|
站回一个均线
|
|
430
|
00:20:20,940 --> 00:20:23,440
|
并推动均线转平
|
|
431
|
00:20:23,440 --> 00:20:25,640
|
那么就说明判断失效
|
|
432
|
00:20:25,640 --> 00:20:27,300
|
我们可以重新去评估
|
|
433
|
00:20:27,300 --> 00:20:30,440
|
那么对于已经被套的人来讲
|
|
434
|
00:20:30,440 --> 00:20:34,460
|
卖二就更为重要了
|
|
435
|
00:20:34,460 --> 00:20:35,880
|
我们如果被套
|
|
436
|
00:20:35,880 --> 00:20:37,260
|
你卖一没卖
|
|
437
|
00:20:37,260 --> 00:20:38,620
|
好你到这里被套
|
|
438
|
00:20:38,620 --> 00:20:39,540
|
被套之后
|
|
439
|
00:20:39,540 --> 00:20:41,620
|
你这里你就要非常要上心了
|
|
440
|
00:20:41,620 --> 00:20:45,000
|
我们不能不把下降趋势当中的反弹
|
|
441
|
00:20:45,000 --> 00:20:47,360
|
自动的理解为反转
|
|
442
|
00:20:47,360 --> 00:20:50,300
|
我们先看均线方向有没有变化
|
|
443
|
00:20:50,300 --> 00:20:52,720
|
再看价格能不能真正的
|
|
444
|
00:20:52,720 --> 00:20:54,460
|
占回成本的一个中枢
|
|
445
|
00:20:54,460 --> 00:20:55,360
|
那么卖三
|
|
446
|
00:20:55,360 --> 00:20:57,400
|
也就是说假突破
|
|
447
|
00:20:57,400 --> 00:21:00,420
|
那么价格在下降趋势里
|
|
448
|
00:21:00,420 --> 00:21:01,560
|
进行一个反弹
|
|
449
|
00:21:01,560 --> 00:21:03,380
|
甚至短暂的
|
|
450
|
00:21:03,380 --> 00:21:06,820
|
站上了向下运行的均线
|
|
451
|
00:21:06,820 --> 00:21:08,500
|
这个看起来像是转强
|
|
452
|
00:21:08,500 --> 00:21:11,500
|
但随后迅速重新跌回均线下方
|
|
453
|
00:21:11,500 --> 00:21:13,100
|
这里就是卖三
|
|
454
|
00:21:13,100 --> 00:21:17,680
|
它和进向的买三是对称的
|
|
455
|
00:21:17,680 --> 00:21:19,020
|
它就是进向买三
|
|
456
|
00:21:19,020 --> 00:21:22,220
|
那么重点就是说价格穿线
|
|
457
|
00:21:22,220 --> 00:21:22,700
|
不等于是卖三
|
|
458
|
00:21:22,720 --> 00:21:23,700
|
不等于趋势改变
|
|
459
|
00:21:23,700 --> 00:21:25,300
|
如果均线还在向下
|
|
460
|
00:21:25,300 --> 00:21:27,800
|
那么说明中期价格的一个中枢
|
|
461
|
00:21:27,800 --> 00:21:29,220
|
仍然是向下移的
|
|
462
|
00:21:29,220 --> 00:21:32,500
|
短期价格向上的一个快速
|
|
463
|
00:21:32,500 --> 00:21:34,620
|
虽然暂时能够过线
|
|
464
|
00:21:34,620 --> 00:21:36,780
|
但没有办法形成趋势
|
|
465
|
00:21:36,780 --> 00:21:38,540
|
一旦站上以后
|
|
466
|
00:21:38,540 --> 00:21:39,940
|
没有跟随买盘
|
|
467
|
00:21:39,940 --> 00:21:41,720
|
上方压力重新出现
|
|
468
|
00:21:41,720 --> 00:21:44,000
|
那么就很容易形成假突破
|
|
469
|
00:21:44,000 --> 00:21:46,400
|
那么卖三这个点
|
|
470
|
00:21:46,400 --> 00:21:48,640
|
我们给到的胜率是三颗星
|
|
471
|
00:21:48,640 --> 00:21:49,700
|
赔率四颗星
|
|
472
|
00:21:49,700 --> 00:21:51,000
|
总分七分
|
|
473
|
00:21:51,000 --> 00:21:52,460
|
它的作用就是帮助
|
|
474
|
00:21:52,460 --> 00:21:53,500
|
我们去识别
|
|
475
|
00:21:53,500 --> 00:21:56,320
|
下降趋势当中的诱多和反弹失败
|
|
476
|
00:21:56,320 --> 00:21:57,660
|
好吧
|
|
477
|
00:21:57,660 --> 00:22:00,180
|
不是让你看见任何一个
|
|
478
|
00:22:00,180 --> 00:22:02,060
|
站上均线
|
|
479
|
00:22:02,060 --> 00:22:03,680
|
我们都去判断
|
|
480
|
00:22:03,680 --> 00:22:05,700
|
这里是趋势的反转
|
|
481
|
00:22:05,700 --> 00:22:07,280
|
那么卖四
|
|
482
|
00:22:07,280 --> 00:22:09,060
|
它就是正乖离过大
|
|
483
|
00:22:09,060 --> 00:22:13,300
|
卖四发生在上涨趋势的加速阶段
|
|
484
|
00:22:13,300 --> 00:22:15,580
|
价格大幅高于均线
|
|
485
|
00:22:15,580 --> 00:22:17,240
|
正乖离进入历史极端
|
|
486
|
00:22:17,240 --> 00:22:20,040
|
此时大量的持仓者
|
|
487
|
00:22:20,040 --> 00:22:21,960
|
拥有较高的一个
|
|
488
|
00:22:21,960 --> 00:22:22,440
|
负药价格
|
|
489
|
00:22:22,460 --> 00:22:24,360
|
但是对于市场来讲
|
|
490
|
00:22:24,360 --> 00:22:25,660
|
风险并不是
|
|
491
|
00:22:25,660 --> 00:22:27,580
|
所有人马上会卖
|
|
492
|
00:22:27,580 --> 00:22:30,900
|
而是来自一个很微妙的变化
|
|
493
|
00:22:30,900 --> 00:22:32,140
|
就价格已经跑得
|
|
494
|
00:22:32,140 --> 00:22:34,100
|
比成本中枢快太多
|
|
495
|
00:22:34,100 --> 00:22:36,100
|
那么对新增买盘的依赖
|
|
496
|
00:22:36,100 --> 00:22:36,740
|
越来越高
|
|
497
|
00:22:36,740 --> 00:22:38,840
|
如果新增的资金
|
|
498
|
00:22:38,840 --> 00:22:40,460
|
还能持续进场
|
|
499
|
00:22:40,460 --> 00:22:41,660
|
那么这个乖离率
|
|
500
|
00:22:41,660 --> 00:22:43,260
|
它是有可能会继续扩大的
|
|
501
|
00:22:43,260 --> 00:22:45,100
|
所以卖四
|
|
502
|
00:22:45,100 --> 00:22:47,500
|
它是有陷阱的
|
|
503
|
00:22:47,500 --> 00:22:50,220
|
贵不等于马上跌
|
|
504
|
00:22:50,220 --> 00:22:52,440
|
因此对于卖四的
|
|
505
|
00:22:52,460 --> 00:22:53,940
|
的评分来讲
|
|
506
|
00:22:53,940 --> 00:22:55,820
|
胜率只有一颗星
|
|
507
|
00:22:55,820 --> 00:22:57,300
|
赔率两颗星
|
|
508
|
00:22:57,300 --> 00:22:58,660
|
这个位置是
|
|
509
|
00:22:58,660 --> 00:23:01,240
|
我们是没有办法去猜的
|
|
510
|
00:23:01,240 --> 00:23:02,460
|
精准逃顶
|
|
511
|
00:23:02,460 --> 00:23:05,640
|
它的难度是要比抄底
|
|
512
|
00:23:05,640 --> 00:23:07,120
|
要难一点的
|
|
513
|
00:23:07,120 --> 00:23:10,020
|
所以这个位置
|
|
514
|
00:23:10,020 --> 00:23:11,140
|
它适合什么
|
|
515
|
00:23:11,140 --> 00:23:14,340
|
是适合我们去承担利润的
|
|
516
|
00:23:14,340 --> 00:23:16,040
|
一个管理的功能
|
|
517
|
00:23:16,040 --> 00:23:16,980
|
也就是说
|
|
518
|
00:23:16,980 --> 00:23:20,080
|
当正乖离进入历史极端的时候
|
|
519
|
00:23:20,080 --> 00:23:22,300
|
因此我在六月份
|
|
520
|
00:23:22,300 --> 00:23:23,500
|
的时候就开始
|
|
521
|
00:23:23,500 --> 00:23:24,620
|
不是六月份
|
|
522
|
00:23:24,620 --> 00:23:26,120
|
是从五月底的时候
|
|
523
|
00:23:26,120 --> 00:23:28,080
|
中继序创开始出现
|
|
524
|
00:23:28,080 --> 00:23:29,140
|
明显的一个
|
|
525
|
00:23:29,140 --> 00:23:31,200
|
大幅放量的那一天
|
|
526
|
00:23:31,200 --> 00:23:32,340
|
我就说好
|
|
527
|
00:23:32,340 --> 00:23:33,940
|
大家可以开始做配置了
|
|
528
|
00:23:33,940 --> 00:23:35,140
|
但是做配置
|
|
529
|
00:23:35,140 --> 00:23:36,500
|
我们不用着急
|
|
530
|
00:23:36,500 --> 00:23:37,980
|
不像是抄底那样
|
|
531
|
00:23:37,980 --> 00:23:39,820
|
抄底因为我们可以明确到
|
|
532
|
00:23:39,820 --> 00:23:41,580
|
一个阶段
|
|
533
|
00:23:41,580 --> 00:23:42,740
|
比如说我们这几天
|
|
534
|
00:23:42,740 --> 00:23:43,700
|
就差不多了
|
|
535
|
00:23:43,700 --> 00:23:44,380
|
你可以了
|
|
536
|
00:23:44,380 --> 00:23:45,720
|
但是逃顶
|
|
537
|
00:23:45,720 --> 00:23:47,160
|
没有办法明确到
|
|
538
|
00:23:47,160 --> 00:23:47,940
|
那么几天
|
|
539
|
00:23:47,940 --> 00:23:48,620
|
你说比如说
|
|
540
|
00:23:48,620 --> 00:23:49,540
|
你今天卖一成
|
|
541
|
00:23:49,540 --> 00:23:50,220
|
明天卖一成
|
|
542
|
00:23:50,220 --> 00:23:51,560
|
这个是没有办法逃
|
|
543
|
00:23:51,560 --> 00:23:52,260
|
抄底
|
|
544
|
00:23:52,300 --> 00:23:53,020
|
我们可以抄到
|
|
545
|
00:23:53,020 --> 00:23:54,220
|
但是逃顶不行
|
|
546
|
00:23:54,220 --> 00:23:56,340
|
因此我们在五月份的时候
|
|
547
|
00:23:56,340 --> 00:23:57,800
|
我们就准备开始逃顶
|
|
548
|
00:23:57,800 --> 00:23:59,860
|
开始做仓位的配置
|
|
549
|
00:23:59,860 --> 00:24:02,320
|
等到好出现了明确的
|
|
550
|
00:24:02,320 --> 00:24:04,520
|
我们已经下跌了信号的时候
|
|
551
|
00:24:04,520 --> 00:24:06,640
|
直接砍掉
|
|
552
|
00:24:06,640 --> 00:24:09,020
|
就直接砍掉
|
|
553
|
00:24:09,020 --> 00:24:10,780
|
因此是这样一个情况
|
|
554
|
00:24:10,780 --> 00:24:12,180
|
它没办法用来去
|
|
555
|
00:24:12,180 --> 00:24:14,100
|
猜精确的顶部
|
|
556
|
00:24:14,100 --> 00:24:17,020
|
你进入到历史极端的时候
|
|
557
|
00:24:17,020 --> 00:24:19,460
|
我们去可以逐步的提高
|
|
558
|
00:24:19,460 --> 00:24:20,380
|
我们的指引线
|
|
559
|
00:24:20,380 --> 00:24:21,380
|
分批对线
|
|
560
|
00:24:21,380 --> 00:24:22,280
|
将来我们可以
|
|
561
|
00:24:22,300 --> 00:24:22,820
|
利杠杆
|
|
562
|
00:24:22,820 --> 00:24:25,920
|
或者是进行一个仓位的控制
|
|
563
|
00:24:25,920 --> 00:24:27,740
|
但没有办法
|
|
564
|
00:24:27,740 --> 00:24:29,980
|
就是看到一张乖离过大的图
|
|
565
|
00:24:29,980 --> 00:24:32,440
|
就直接说你顶部出现了
|
|
566
|
00:24:32,440 --> 00:24:34,660
|
因此我们整个的一个对称
|
|
567
|
00:24:34,660 --> 00:24:36,340
|
它的评分标准
|
|
568
|
00:24:36,340 --> 00:24:37,260
|
也不是对称的
|
|
569
|
00:24:37,260 --> 00:24:39,900
|
并不是说你买二对卖二
|
|
570
|
00:24:39,900 --> 00:24:41,180
|
它都是九对九
|
|
571
|
00:24:41,180 --> 00:24:42,980
|
它的整个是不对称
|
|
572
|
00:24:42,980 --> 00:24:45,160
|
因为我们在股市市场
|
|
573
|
00:24:45,160 --> 00:24:46,820
|
你正常来讲
|
|
574
|
00:24:46,820 --> 00:24:49,120
|
它的股价是要往上走的
|
|
575
|
00:24:49,120 --> 00:24:50,840
|
不是所有人
|
|
576
|
00:24:50,840 --> 00:24:52,580
|
你进入股市来
|
|
577
|
00:24:52,580 --> 00:24:54,020
|
都是为了割韭菜的
|
|
578
|
00:24:54,020 --> 00:24:55,160
|
它就上市完
|
|
579
|
00:24:55,160 --> 00:24:56,740
|
搞一波就不做了
|
|
580
|
00:24:56,740 --> 00:24:57,660
|
很多人
|
|
581
|
00:24:57,660 --> 00:24:59,340
|
人家是正儿八经
|
|
582
|
00:24:59,340 --> 00:25:00,700
|
是来做企业的
|
|
583
|
00:25:00,700 --> 00:25:01,600
|
人家都是想要
|
|
584
|
00:25:01,600 --> 00:25:05,300
|
企业稳定的增长盈利
|
|
585
|
00:25:05,300 --> 00:25:07,140
|
因为无论是对于
|
|
586
|
00:25:07,140 --> 00:25:08,600
|
这些上市公司来讲
|
|
587
|
00:25:08,600 --> 00:25:09,580
|
还是怎么来讲
|
|
588
|
00:25:09,580 --> 00:25:12,200
|
哪怕是一家非常小的上市公司
|
|
589
|
00:25:12,200 --> 00:25:14,860
|
它的创始人在当地
|
|
590
|
00:25:14,860 --> 00:25:17,520
|
也是非常牛逼的人物
|
|
591
|
00:25:17,520 --> 00:25:19,120
|
甚至如果是一些小地方的话
|
|
592
|
00:25:19,120 --> 00:25:20,220
|
它很有可能都是
|
|
593
|
00:25:20,220 --> 00:25:20,820
|
当地的市场人物
|
|
594
|
00:25:20,840 --> 00:25:21,140
|
或者是首富
|
|
595
|
00:25:21,140 --> 00:25:23,520
|
或者是当地有头有脸的大人物
|
|
596
|
00:25:23,520 --> 00:25:25,180
|
那么这种人
|
|
597
|
00:25:25,180 --> 00:25:27,940
|
他们所要去创业建立企业
|
|
598
|
00:25:27,940 --> 00:25:29,560
|
那么他们本身也是希望
|
|
599
|
00:25:29,560 --> 00:25:32,060
|
这个企业能够去稳定的上涨的
|
|
600
|
00:25:32,060 --> 00:25:36,060
|
只不过对于我们A股来讲
|
|
601
|
00:25:36,060 --> 00:25:38,080
|
一开之前就跟各位说过
|
|
602
|
00:25:38,080 --> 00:25:42,280
|
我们A股其实是非常难的一个市场
|
|
603
|
00:25:42,280 --> 00:25:44,120
|
原因在于
|
|
604
|
00:25:44,120 --> 00:25:47,560
|
这里有着一批非常聪明的交易者
|
|
605
|
00:25:47,560 --> 00:25:49,860
|
那么大家都相互的去卷
|
|
606
|
00:25:49,860 --> 00:25:50,820
|
其次是我们的股市市场
|
|
607
|
00:25:50,840 --> 00:25:53,760
|
我们的国情和资本主义国家
|
|
608
|
00:25:53,760 --> 00:25:54,720
|
是不一样的
|
|
609
|
00:25:54,720 --> 00:25:56,940
|
资本主义国家最看重的
|
|
610
|
00:25:56,940 --> 00:25:58,340
|
它是资本的地位
|
|
611
|
00:25:58,340 --> 00:26:00,180
|
他们所有的领导人
|
|
612
|
00:26:00,180 --> 00:26:02,780
|
是必须要去稳定股市的
|
|
613
|
00:26:02,780 --> 00:26:04,940
|
但我们国家不是
|
|
614
|
00:26:04,940 --> 00:26:09,140
|
所以对于我们A股的交易者来讲
|
|
615
|
00:26:09,140 --> 00:26:10,380
|
就是普通交易者
|
|
616
|
00:26:10,380 --> 00:26:13,180
|
其实因为你说去做情绪
|
|
617
|
00:26:13,180 --> 00:26:14,980
|
做短线或者是做什么
|
|
618
|
00:26:14,980 --> 00:26:17,200
|
其实这个难度会非常大
|
|
619
|
00:26:17,200 --> 00:26:20,660
|
因为本身短线是独立于我们A股
|
|
620
|
00:26:20,660 --> 00:26:20,820
|
自然的
|
|
621
|
00:26:20,840 --> 00:26:22,320
|
自身存在的一个东西
|
|
622
|
00:26:22,320 --> 00:26:25,500
|
但现在因为已经过去这么多年
|
|
623
|
00:26:25,500 --> 00:26:27,280
|
整个监管体系
|
|
624
|
00:26:27,280 --> 00:26:29,020
|
整个发展的生态
|
|
625
|
00:26:29,020 --> 00:26:32,940
|
包括说我们过去是有很多公司
|
|
626
|
00:26:32,940 --> 00:26:33,740
|
它没办法
|
|
627
|
00:26:33,740 --> 00:26:35,420
|
我们的科技实力
|
|
628
|
00:26:35,420 --> 00:26:37,020
|
我们的硬实力不够
|
|
629
|
00:26:37,020 --> 00:26:38,620
|
我们没有办法
|
|
630
|
00:26:38,620 --> 00:26:40,960
|
有那么多的创新型企业
|
|
631
|
00:26:40,960 --> 00:26:43,760
|
没有那么多稳定能够上涨的企业
|
|
632
|
00:26:43,760 --> 00:26:46,780
|
我们更多的是来自于整个经济周期
|
|
633
|
00:26:46,780 --> 00:26:49,240
|
但现在大家也看见
|
|
634
|
00:26:49,240 --> 00:26:50,820
|
我们有越来越多牛逼的
|
|
635
|
00:26:50,840 --> 00:26:52,300
|
公司出现
|
|
636
|
00:26:52,300 --> 00:26:54,980
|
我们有越来越多厉害的一些上市公司出现
|
|
637
|
00:26:54,980 --> 00:26:57,320
|
因此我们的整个市场
|
|
638
|
00:26:57,320 --> 00:26:58,780
|
它会自动的
|
|
639
|
00:26:58,780 --> 00:27:01,740
|
就是说我们不强调资本市场
|
|
640
|
00:27:01,740 --> 00:27:03,620
|
但是我们的国情
|
|
641
|
00:27:03,620 --> 00:27:05,600
|
随着我们国家的慢慢发展
|
|
642
|
00:27:05,600 --> 00:27:06,760
|
我们的整个资本市场
|
|
643
|
00:27:06,760 --> 00:27:11,960
|
也会进一步的向更健全的一个资本市场去发展
|
|
644
|
00:27:11,960 --> 00:27:14,360
|
在这样的一个情况下
|
|
645
|
00:27:14,360 --> 00:27:20,480
|
其实反而情绪是会逐渐逐渐的退出历史舞台的
|
|
646
|
00:27:20,480 --> 00:27:20,660
|
我们的国情是会逐渐逐渐的退出历史舞台的
|
|
647
|
00:27:20,660 --> 00:27:23,020
|
我们更多的其实是要去学习趋势
|
|
648
|
00:27:23,020 --> 00:27:24,380
|
学习金融学
|
|
649
|
00:27:24,380 --> 00:27:28,480
|
学习一些这种历经了几十上百年
|
|
650
|
00:27:28,480 --> 00:27:31,100
|
真正能够沉定下来的一些技术
|
|
651
|
00:27:31,100 --> 00:27:33,880
|
这是我们真正要去做的
|
|
652
|
00:27:33,880 --> 00:27:36,800
|
因此在讲完了八大法则之后
|
|
653
|
00:27:36,800 --> 00:27:39,720
|
我们还需要跟各位去聊一下我们的
|
|
654
|
00:27:39,720 --> 00:27:42,880
|
就是你这样看它和这张图
|
|
655
|
00:27:42,880 --> 00:27:44,640
|
看起来是比较有区别的
|
|
656
|
00:27:44,640 --> 00:27:47,680
|
但如果你我们把它的K线关掉
|
|
657
|
00:27:47,680 --> 00:27:50,640
|
其实这样看起来会更为明确一点
|
|
658
|
00:27:50,660 --> 00:27:53,080
|
我们像之前跟大家说的
|
|
659
|
00:27:53,080 --> 00:27:55,320
|
我习惯把均线去改一下
|
|
660
|
00:27:55,320 --> 00:27:58,060
|
我们上个视频也都教大家怎么去改了
|
|
661
|
00:27:58,060 --> 00:28:00,980
|
对于有些不同
|
|
662
|
00:28:00,980 --> 00:28:03,140
|
你有些是用月线
|
|
663
|
00:28:03,140 --> 00:28:05,080
|
有些是用月线去表示的
|
|
664
|
00:28:05,080 --> 00:28:07,280
|
有些是用周线去表示的
|
|
665
|
00:28:07,280 --> 00:28:08,380
|
这样我刚才说的
|
|
666
|
00:28:08,380 --> 00:28:09,900
|
你不同的周期
|
|
667
|
00:28:09,900 --> 00:28:13,400
|
它对应的整个交易的周期也不一样
|
|
668
|
00:28:13,400 --> 00:28:15,580
|
例如我们这一轮的上证
|
|
669
|
00:28:15,580 --> 00:28:18,560
|
我们是在周三的时候
|
|
670
|
00:28:18,560 --> 00:28:20,640
|
确立了60分钟的一天
|
|
671
|
00:28:20,660 --> 00:28:21,220
|
一个顶
|
|
672
|
00:28:21,220 --> 00:28:23,940
|
我们就去做60分钟
|
|
673
|
00:28:23,940 --> 00:28:26,820
|
60分钟我们去把它的收线关掉
|
|
674
|
00:28:26,820 --> 00:28:28,060
|
我们把它K线关掉
|
|
675
|
00:28:28,060 --> 00:28:30,860
|
我们再去根据格兰比八大法则
|
|
676
|
00:28:30,860 --> 00:28:31,300
|
我们去看
|
|
677
|
00:28:31,300 --> 00:28:33,980
|
因为这一段我们是先从下跌开始的
|
|
678
|
00:28:33,980 --> 00:28:34,660
|
就这一个周期
|
|
679
|
00:28:34,660 --> 00:28:35,520
|
我们先从下跌开始
|
|
680
|
00:28:35,520 --> 00:28:38,360
|
这个地方是不是就是卖四
|
|
681
|
00:28:38,360 --> 00:28:39,360
|
它不就是卖四
|
|
682
|
00:28:39,360 --> 00:28:42,780
|
这个位置卖一卖二上穿
|
|
683
|
00:28:42,780 --> 00:28:46,900
|
不过卖三四一二三
|
|
684
|
00:28:46,900 --> 00:28:48,440
|
这是一个周期
|
|
685
|
00:28:48,440 --> 00:28:50,640
|
这里对于我们来讲的话
|
|
686
|
00:28:50,660 --> 00:28:51,340
|
是买四
|
|
687
|
00:28:51,340 --> 00:28:52,960
|
我们是抄底
|
|
688
|
00:28:52,960 --> 00:28:56,920
|
这是这一天是我们周一的周一一天
|
|
689
|
00:28:56,920 --> 00:28:58,660
|
因此周一那一天过完之后
|
|
690
|
00:28:58,660 --> 00:28:59,340
|
我跟大家说
|
|
691
|
00:28:59,340 --> 00:29:02,780
|
你可以一层上一层上的往进去进了
|
|
692
|
00:29:02,780 --> 00:29:05,240
|
因此这个位置对于我们来讲
|
|
693
|
00:29:05,240 --> 00:29:08,120
|
其实如果是我们拿五日线
|
|
694
|
00:29:08,120 --> 00:29:10,180
|
这个是五日线60分钟的
|
|
695
|
00:29:10,180 --> 00:29:11,680
|
60分钟级别的五日线
|
|
696
|
00:29:11,680 --> 00:29:15,600
|
那么这个地方就是买一买四买一买二
|
|
697
|
00:29:15,600 --> 00:29:18,240
|
这个地方是不是买三
|
|
698
|
00:29:18,240 --> 00:29:20,220
|
我们要去判断
|
|
699
|
00:29:20,660 --> 00:29:22,840
|
如果这个地方它不是买三
|
|
700
|
00:29:22,840 --> 00:29:25,160
|
那么就认错
|
|
701
|
00:29:25,160 --> 00:29:26,100
|
好吧
|
|
702
|
00:29:26,100 --> 00:29:28,540
|
但因为周五的时候
|
|
703
|
00:29:28,540 --> 00:29:30,160
|
周四的时候
|
|
704
|
00:29:30,160 --> 00:29:34,460
|
我们说上阵已经重新站上了日线级别的一个趋势
|
|
705
|
00:29:34,460 --> 00:29:37,700
|
这个地方也是有可能会失败的
|
|
706
|
00:29:37,700 --> 00:29:38,980
|
因为对于日线来讲
|
|
707
|
00:29:38,980 --> 00:29:40,640
|
它是买一日线来讲
|
|
708
|
00:29:40,640 --> 00:29:41,300
|
它是买一
|
|
709
|
00:29:41,300 --> 00:29:44,060
|
这一段这一波对于日线来讲
|
|
710
|
00:29:44,060 --> 00:29:45,200
|
它是买四
|
|
711
|
00:29:45,200 --> 00:29:45,920
|
这是买一
|
|
712
|
00:29:45,920 --> 00:29:48,140
|
我们在买一进去了
|
|
713
|
00:29:48,140 --> 00:29:49,180
|
进去了
|
|
714
|
00:29:49,180 --> 00:29:50,220
|
对于我们来讲
|
|
715
|
00:29:50,220 --> 00:29:51,300
|
赔率天然很高
|
|
716
|
00:29:51,300 --> 00:29:52,380
|
但是胜率不足
|
|
717
|
00:29:52,380 --> 00:29:55,580
|
这一块我们是有可能会失败会错的
|
|
718
|
00:29:55,580 --> 00:29:56,520
|
如果出错
|
|
719
|
00:29:56,520 --> 00:29:57,880
|
我们认错就好了
|
|
720
|
00:29:57,880 --> 00:29:59,080
|
它跌破趋势线
|
|
721
|
00:29:59,080 --> 00:30:01,840
|
我们点位周五也跟大家说了
|
|
722
|
00:30:01,840 --> 00:30:02,860
|
我们认错就好了
|
|
723
|
00:30:02,860 --> 00:30:06,360
|
包括说我们这周末一系列的不太好的消息
|
|
724
|
00:30:06,360 --> 00:30:09,100
|
但同样这里如果好
|
|
725
|
00:30:09,100 --> 00:30:10,880
|
它哪怕是跌破盘中跌破
|
|
726
|
00:30:10,880 --> 00:30:12,820
|
它尾盘拉起来了
|
|
727
|
00:30:12,820 --> 00:30:15,540
|
那么再切换到60分钟的线
|
|
728
|
00:30:15,540 --> 00:30:17,580
|
这里不就是买三吗
|
|
729
|
00:30:17,580 --> 00:30:18,680
|
对不对
|
|
730
|
00:30:18,680 --> 00:30:20,140
|
因此这整个交
|
|
731
|
00:30:20,220 --> 00:30:23,200
|
交易周期其实就是这么样一个情况
|
|
732
|
00:30:23,200 --> 00:30:23,700
|
好吧
|
|
733
|
00:30:23,700 --> 00:30:26,320
|
我们就按照这个结果去
|
|
734
|
00:30:26,320 --> 00:30:27,780
|
我们不猜结果
|
|
735
|
00:30:27,780 --> 00:30:30,140
|
我们只看信号
|
|
736
|
00:30:30,140 --> 00:30:34,480
|
这是我们大多数投资者对于交易来讲
|
|
737
|
00:30:34,480 --> 00:30:37,240
|
我今天想跟你们提到的点
|
|
738
|
00:30:37,240 --> 00:30:37,680
|
好吧
|
|
739
|
00:30:37,680 --> 00:30:39,780
|
如果日线这边
|
|
740
|
00:30:39,780 --> 00:30:41,980
|
你周一跌的太深
|
|
741
|
00:30:41,980 --> 00:30:43,000
|
并且没有收回
|
|
742
|
00:30:43,000 --> 00:30:45,000
|
那就说明我们这一次判断失败
|
|
743
|
00:30:45,000 --> 00:30:45,420
|
好吧
|
|
744
|
00:30:45,420 --> 00:30:46,520
|
我们直接认错
|
|
745
|
00:30:46,520 --> 00:30:47,280
|
就好了
|
|
746
|
00:30:47,280 --> 00:30:48,220
|
就这么简单
|
|
747
|
00:30:48,220 --> 00:30:50,100
|
那么我们等下一段
|
|
748
|
00:30:50,220 --> 00:30:52,560
|
这次的整个机会再去做就好了
|
|
749
|
00:30:52,560 --> 00:30:55,120
|
所以什么级别出现了信号
|
|
750
|
00:30:55,120 --> 00:30:56,380
|
就很多人问
|
|
751
|
00:30:56,380 --> 00:30:59,320
|
你到底是看30分钟15分钟
|
|
752
|
00:30:59,320 --> 00:31:00,680
|
还是60分钟90分钟120分钟
|
|
753
|
00:31:00,680 --> 00:31:01,340
|
无所谓
|
|
754
|
00:31:01,340 --> 00:31:03,340
|
你什么级别出现了信号
|
|
755
|
00:31:03,340 --> 00:31:05,980
|
就拿什么级别去进行交易就好了
|
|
756
|
00:31:05,980 --> 00:31:08,720
|
因此我们其实在做整个交易的时候
|
|
757
|
00:31:08,720 --> 00:31:10,640
|
要看均线的斜率
|
|
758
|
00:31:10,640 --> 00:31:13,080
|
因为均线的斜率
|
|
759
|
00:31:13,080 --> 00:31:18,480
|
它会反映的是价格成本中枢移动的速度
|
|
760
|
00:31:18,480 --> 00:31:20,200
|
斜率上升就说明
|
|
761
|
00:31:20,220 --> 00:31:21,600
|
过去一段时间
|
|
762
|
00:31:21,600 --> 00:31:25,100
|
价格重心持续的抬高
|
|
763
|
00:31:25,100 --> 00:31:26,820
|
或者是大幅的下降
|
|
764
|
00:31:26,820 --> 00:31:27,740
|
或大幅的下降
|
|
765
|
00:31:27,740 --> 00:31:29,980
|
那么斜率如果下降了
|
|
766
|
00:31:29,980 --> 00:31:32,400
|
就说明整个价格重心
|
|
767
|
00:31:32,400 --> 00:31:35,700
|
它持续的进行了一个下移
|
|
768
|
00:31:35,700 --> 00:31:38,220
|
因此同样是回踩
|
|
769
|
00:31:38,220 --> 00:31:42,620
|
如果发生在稳定上升的一个均线附近的话
|
|
770
|
00:31:42,620 --> 00:31:48,320
|
那么它通常会比发生在横向震荡的一个均线
|
|
771
|
00:31:48,320 --> 00:31:50,140
|
更有趋势的意义
|
|
772
|
00:31:50,140 --> 00:31:50,200
|
那么它通常会比发生在横向震荡的一个均线更有趋势的意义
|
|
773
|
00:31:50,220 --> 00:31:56,980
|
因此如果斜率已经抖到同时伴随着巨大的一个正乖率
|
|
774
|
00:31:56,980 --> 00:31:58,780
|
我们这一波没看到
|
|
775
|
00:31:58,780 --> 00:32:03,320
|
像这一波会比较明显的就是一个正乖率
|
|
776
|
00:32:03,320 --> 00:32:08,060
|
那么就说明趋势反而进入了加速的一个末段
|
|
777
|
00:32:08,060 --> 00:32:11,120
|
对于负乖率来讲也是一样的
|
|
778
|
00:32:11,120 --> 00:32:13,480
|
它突然伴随着巨大一个负乖率
|
|
779
|
00:32:13,480 --> 00:32:17,140
|
那么说明它整个下降的趋势
|
|
780
|
00:32:17,140 --> 00:32:19,320
|
也进入了一个加速的末段
|
|
781
|
00:32:19,320 --> 00:32:19,900
|
因此
|
|
782
|
00:32:19,900 --> 00:32:23,920
|
在没有出现极端乖离率的前提下
|
|
783
|
00:32:23,920 --> 00:32:26,180
|
均线方向越明确
|
|
784
|
00:32:26,180 --> 00:32:27,540
|
斜率越稳定
|
|
785
|
00:32:27,540 --> 00:32:31,080
|
顺势信号的质量通常它也越高
|
|
786
|
00:32:31,080 --> 00:32:35,540
|
同时因为我在我们教学之前跟各位讲
|
|
787
|
00:32:35,540 --> 00:32:37,340
|
单根K线两根K线
|
|
788
|
00:32:37,340 --> 00:32:38,160
|
判断多空
|
|
789
|
00:32:38,160 --> 00:32:41,500
|
你们再去做买二
|
|
790
|
00:32:41,500 --> 00:32:44,920
|
就是结合整个格兰比的八大法则
|
|
791
|
00:32:44,920 --> 00:32:48,740
|
我们去做买入或者卖出动作
|
|
792
|
00:32:48,740 --> 00:32:49,700
|
我们不是说看到线
|
|
793
|
00:32:49,700 --> 00:32:50,700
|
就去买
|
|
794
|
00:32:50,700 --> 00:32:53,920
|
而是等待价格在这个位置上
|
|
795
|
00:32:53,920 --> 00:32:55,540
|
比如说买二的时候
|
|
796
|
00:32:55,540 --> 00:32:57,900
|
就等待这个价格在这个位置上出现的
|
|
797
|
00:32:57,900 --> 00:32:58,960
|
止跌的证据
|
|
798
|
00:32:58,960 --> 00:33:01,500
|
例如我们出现的长下影
|
|
799
|
00:33:01,500 --> 00:33:03,960
|
或者看涨吞没反包
|
|
800
|
00:33:03,960 --> 00:33:08,220
|
或者是其他的什么转强的一些结构
|
|
801
|
00:33:08,220 --> 00:33:09,300
|
对于卖二
|
|
802
|
00:33:09,300 --> 00:33:11,460
|
我们需要去看它一个长上影
|
|
803
|
00:33:11,460 --> 00:33:12,340
|
看跌通没
|
|
804
|
00:33:12,340 --> 00:33:15,400
|
或者是冲高回落这种出现
|
|
805
|
00:33:15,400 --> 00:33:18,620
|
你把整个单根K线去判断多空
|
|
806
|
00:33:18,620 --> 00:33:19,680
|
两根K线去判断多空
|
|
807
|
00:33:19,700 --> 00:33:22,740
|
结合格兰比八大法则去用
|
|
808
|
00:33:22,740 --> 00:33:24,540
|
其实会更为合适一点
|
|
809
|
00:33:24,540 --> 00:33:26,840
|
我们今天的视频就到这里
|
|
810
|
00:33:26,840 --> 00:33:27,740
|
好 谢谢大家
|
