Cai
2026-08-02 6ea2b13f4c9d71e394ac86bc1242f9a86904261a
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{
  "conclusion": {
    "base_midpoint": "40.53496456829112852120061858",
    "price_label": "当前价格处于基准合理区间",
    "price_position": "WITHIN_BASE_RANGE",
    "safety_margin_to_base_midpoint": "0.01813161985260650072972718212"
  },
  "engine_version": "1.0.0",
  "holding_period": {
    "cumulative_dividend_per_share": "0",
    "required_exit_price": "64.098298000000",
    "required_profit_by_exit_pe": [
      {
        "exit_pe": "18",
        "required_profit": "269423186.6038704444444444444"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "20",
        "required_profit": "242480867.943483400000"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "22",
        "required_profit": "220437152.675894000000"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "25",
        "required_profit": "193984694.354786720000"
      },
      {
        "exit_pe": "30",
        "required_profit": "161653911.9623222666666666667"
      }
    ],
    "required_return": "0.10",
    "years": 5
  },
  "institutions": {
    "coverage_status": "available",
    "detail": [
      {
        "core_assumption": "聚焦机器人主业,股权激励强化增长目标;仅一家机构覆盖,预测不构成一致性共识",
        "estimates": {
          "2026": {
            "eps": "0.43",
            "profit": "33000000"
          },
          "2027": {
            "eps": "1.49",
            "profit": "113000000"
          },
          "2028": {
            "eps": "2.43",
            "profit": "184000000"
          }
        },
        "included": true,
        "institution": "国投证券",
        "report_date": "2026-05-06",
        "source_id": "SRC-INSTITUTION-20260506",
        "statuses": [
          "CURRENT"
        ]
      }
    ],
    "summary": {
      "2026": {
        "eps_mean": "0.43",
        "eps_profit_reconciliation_gap": "0.01413944303030303030303030303",
        "institution_count": 1,
        "pe_on_mean": "91.24941899393939393939393939",
        "profit_max": "33000000",
        "profit_mean": "33000000",
        "profit_median": "33000000",
        "profit_min": "33000000"
      },
      "2027": {
        "eps_mean": "1.49",
        "eps_profit_reconciliation_gap": "0.002371607610619469026548672566",
        "institution_count": 1,
        "pe_on_mean": "26.64806041415929203539823009",
        "profit_max": "113000000",
        "profit_mean": "113000000",
        "profit_median": "113000000",
        "profit_min": "113000000"
      },
      "2028": {
        "eps_mean": "2.43",
        "eps_profit_reconciliation_gap": "0.0008069001086956521739130434783",
        "institution_count": 1,
        "pe_on_mean": "16.36538492826086956521739130",
        "profit_max": "184000000",
        "profit_mean": "184000000",
        "profit_median": "184000000",
        "profit_min": "184000000"
      }
    }
  },
  "meta": {
    "as_of_date": "2026-08-02",
    "code": "688084.SH",
    "company": "晶品特装",
    "currency": "CNY",
    "latest_operating_info_date": "2026-05-06",
    "market": "上海证券交易所科创板",
    "report_period_end": "2026-03-31"
  },
  "metrics": {
    "annual_cash_conversion": null,
    "annual_fcf": "-19241134.97",
    "book_value_per_share": "20.26748228414556426060030929",
    "current_fcf": "-27235257.41",
    "deduct_pe": null,
    "diluted_shares": "75659066",
    "enterprise_value": "2048470455.00",
    "market_cap": "3011230826.80",
    "normalized_eps": "-0.3582468279478892853369350343",
    "normalized_pe": null,
    "normalized_profit": "-27104620.40",
    "pb": "1.963736760294786998540545636",
    "price": "39.80",
    "ps": "9.336067576823840866982891898",
    "reported_pe": null,
    "ttm_attributable_profit": "-15301545.37",
    "ttm_deduct_profit": "-27104620.40",
    "ttm_eps": "-0.2022433817779352444028320413",
    "ttm_revenue": "322537385.47"
  },
  "normalization_adjustments": [
    {
      "amount": "-11803075.03",
      "description": "剔除TTM非经常性损益净收益,使用扣非归母作为核心盈利代理",
      "source_id": "SRC-ANNUAL-2025"
    }
  ],
  "qa": {
    "error_count": 0,
    "info_count": 0,
    "issues": [
      {
        "action": "使用正常化情景、PB 或反向估值。",
        "field": "metrics.ttm_attributable_profit",
        "issue_id": "QA-NEGATIVE-TTM-PROFIT",
        "message": "TTM 归母利润不为正,报告 PE 不适用。",
        "recalc_scope": "PE 模块",
        "severity": "WARNING"
      },
      {
        "action": "检查主营盈利恢复条件。",
        "field": "metrics.ttm_deduct_profit",
        "issue_id": "QA-NEGATIVE-TTM-DEDUCT",
        "message": "TTM 扣非利润不为正,扣非 PE 不适用。",
        "recalc_scope": "扣非 PE 模块",
        "severity": "WARNING"
      },
      {
        "action": "拆解营运资本、资本开支与回款持续性。",
        "field": "metrics.annual_fcf",
        "issue_id": "QA-NEGATIVE-FCF",
        "message": "最近完整年度简化自由现金流为负。",
        "recalc_scope": "DCF 与现金流交叉验证",
        "severity": "WARNING"
      }
    ],
    "status": "PASS_WITH_WARNINGS",
    "warning_count": 3
  },
  "reverse_pe": [
    {
      "implied_eps": "2.211111111111111111111111111",
      "implied_margin": "0.5186704209346578259434939944",
      "implied_profit": "167290601.4888888888888888889",
      "pe": "18"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "1.99",
      "implied_margin": "0.4668033788411920433491445949",
      "implied_profit": "150561541.34",
      "pe": "20"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "1.809090909090909090909090909",
      "implied_margin": "0.4243667080374473121355859954",
      "implied_profit": "136874128.4909090909090909091",
      "pe": "22"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "1.592",
      "implied_margin": "0.3734427030729536346793156759",
      "implied_profit": "120449233.072",
      "pe": "25"
    },
    {
      "implied_eps": "1.326666666666666666666666667",
      "implied_margin": "0.3112022525607946955660963965",
      "implied_profit": "100374360.8933333333333333333",
      "pe": "30"
    }
  ],
  "scenarios": [
    {
      "assumption": "盈利修复不及预期,核心业务继续亏损,按资产折价与低成长估值",
      "cagr_high": "-0.05245117411945166",
      "cagr_low": "-0.09380931169602302",
      "equity_value_high": "2300128169.685",
      "equity_value_low": "1840102535.748",
      "method": "pb",
      "name": "悲观",
      "price_high": "30.40122342621834639090046393",
      "price_low": "24.32097874097467711272037114",
      "role": "pessimistic",
      "upside_to_high": "-0.2361501651703933067612948761",
      "upside_to_low": "-0.3889201321363146454090359010"
    },
    {
      "assumption": "2026年明显减亏、2027年利润接近单一机构预测,维持中等成长溢价",
      "cagr_high": "0.02298174104600026",
      "cagr_low": "-0.017261779212124462",
      "equity_value_high": "3373521315.538",
      "equity_value_low": "2760153803.622",
      "method": "pb",
      "name": "基准",
      "price_high": "44.58846102512024137332068043",
      "price_low": "36.48146811146201566908055672",
      "role": "base",
      "upside_to_high": "0.120313091083423150083434182",
      "upside_to_low": "-0.0833801982044719681135538513"
    },
    {
      "assumption": "特种机器人放量且智能感知止亏,2027至2028年机构预测基本兑现",
      "cagr_high": "0.08844777756835787",
      "cagr_low": "0.04947318812972967",
      "equity_value_high": "4600256339.370",
      "equity_value_low": "3833546949.475",
      "method": "pb",
      "name": "乐观",
      "price_high": "60.80244685243669278180092786",
      "price_low": "50.66870571036391065150077322",
      "role": "optimistic",
      "upside_to_high": "0.527699669659213386477410248",
      "upside_to_low": "0.273083058049344488731175207"
    }
  ]
}