{ "snapshot_id": "03888-HK-20260905-current", "meta": { "company": "金山软件", "code": "03888.HK", "market": "香港联合交易所主板", "as_of_date": "2026-09-05", "currency": "HKD", "report_period_end": "2026-06-30", "latest_operating_info_date": "2026-08-19" }, "market": { "price": 25.60, "price_type": "香港市场最新完整交易日未复权收盘价", "price_timestamp": "2026-09-04T16:00:00+08:00", "diluted_shares": 1374440310, "shares_date": "2026-09-05", "platform_market_cap": 35185671936 }, "financials": { "annual": { "period_end": "2025-12-31", "basis": "audited_converted_to_hkd_at_2026-09-04_central_parity", "revenue": 11199519998.15, "attributable_profit": 2318337227.32, "deduct_profit": 2318337227.32, "cfo": 2650558652.76, "capex": null }, "current_cumulative": { "period_end": "2026-06-30", "basis": "interim_report_unaudited_converted_to_hkd_at_2026-09-04_central_parity", "revenue": 5698873441.44, "attributable_profit": 1896037382.31, "deduct_profit": 671511022.69, "cfo": 820797381.39, "capex": null }, "prior_year_same_period": { "period_end": "2025-06-30", "basis": "reported_comparative_converted_to_hkd_at_2026-09-04_central_parity", "revenue": 5373021582.73, "attributable_profit": 944174049.83, "deduct_profit": 770798538.02, "cfo": 768999976.87, "capex": null } }, "balance_sheet": { "period_end": "2026-06-30", "equity": 31325134747.51, "cash_available": 28330625274.70, "non_operating_financial_assets": 3903786809.78, "interest_bearing_debt": 255509033.29, "minority_interest": 9237049193.60 }, "normalization": { "adjustments": [ { "description": "2026H1以公司披露的经调整归母净利润替代受未实现投资收益显著影响的IFRS归母利润", "amount": -1224526359.62, "basis": "2026H1 IFRS归母16.393亿元人民币,非IFRS经调整归母5.806亿元人民币" } ] }, "valuation": { "scenarios": [ { "name": "悲观", "role": "pessimistic", "method": "pe", "profit_low": 925767889.61, "profit_high": 1272298688.84, "multiple_low": 12, "multiple_high": 18, "assumption": "游戏继续收缩、AI投入压制费用率,经调整利润低于H1年化水平。" }, { "name": "基准", "role": "base", "method": "pe", "profit_low": 1387957158.85, "profit_high": 1850609561.40, "multiple_low": 18, "multiple_high": 24, "assumption": "WPS维持较快增长,游戏降幅逐步收窄,估值以经调整利润并保留控股折价。" }, { "name": "乐观", "role": "optimistic", "method": "pe", "profit_low": 1966291112.45, "profit_high": 2549237761.23, "multiple_low": 24, "multiple_high": 30, "assumption": "WPS AI商业化超预期、游戏新品改善,经常利润恢复且投资收益占比下降。" } ], "reverse_pe_multiples": [12, 15, 18, 20, 22, 24, 25, 30, 35, 40], "exit_pe_multiples": [12, 15, 18, 20, 22, 24, 25, 30], "holding_period": { "years": 5, "required_return": 0.1, "cumulative_dividend_per_share": 0.13 } }, "institutions": { "coverage_status": "no_usable_forecasts", "forecasts": [] }, "sources": [ { "id": "SRC-HKEX-03888-H1-20260819", "source_type": "archived_primary", "title": "金山软件截至2026年6月30日止六个月及三个月业绩公告", "publish_date": "2026-08-19", "period_end": "2026-06-30", "url": "https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2026/0819/2026081901069.pdf", "supports": ["financials.current_cumulative", "financials.prior_year_same_period", "balance_sheet.equity", "balance_sheet.cash_available", "balance_sheet.interest_bearing_debt", "analysis"], "revision_status": "current" }, { "id": "SRC-HKEX-03888-ANNUAL-2025", "source_type": "archived_primary", "title": "金山软件2025年年度业绩公告", "publish_date": "2026-03-25", "period_end": "2025-12-31", "url": "https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2026/0325/2026032500615.pdf", "supports": ["financials.annual"], "revision_status": "current" }, { "id": "SRC-EM-03888-20260904", "source_type": "quote_provider", "title": "东方财富金山软件2026-09-04未复权日K与总股本", "publish_date": "2026-09-05", "period_end": "2026-09-04", "url": "https://push2his.eastmoney.com/api/qt/stock/kline/get?secid=116.03888", "supports": ["market.price", "market.diluted_shares", "market.platform_market_cap"], "revision_status": "current" }, { "id": "SRC-FX-HKD-CNY-20260904", "source_type": "professional_database", "title": "2026-09-04人民币汇率中间价:1港元兑0.86458人民币", "publish_date": "2026-09-04", "period_end": "2026-09-04", "url": "https://hzf.mofcom.gov.cn/article/zyfw/jrfw/jrfwywzn/jrfwwh/hlfxglzy/202609/7872.html", "supports": ["financials", "balance_sheet", "valuation"], "revision_status": "current" } ], "analysis": { "company_type": "控股型软件集团,核心为金山办公与网络游戏", "primary_model": "经调整归母利润PE,控股折价、净现金和分部趋势交叉验证", "cross_checks": ["2026H1经调整归母利润", "WPS与游戏分部趋势", "净现金", "控股公司折价"], "profit_sources": ["2026H1办公软件及服务收入33.13亿元人民币,同比增长25%;游戏及其他收入16.14亿元,同比下降19%。"], "profit_source_quality": ["H1 IFRS归母16.39亿元含大额合营及联营投资未实现收益,经调整归母仅5.81亿元且同比下降13%,估值必须采用后者。"], "risks": ["游戏收入继续下滑。", "WPS AI研发和营销投入可能压制利润率。", "投资收益波动会显著扭曲报表利润。", "控股折价与所持上市资产价格波动影响SOTP。"], "upgrade_triggers": ["WPS AI付费和WPS 365加速且利润率稳定。", "游戏新品带动经常利润恢复。"], "downgrade_triggers": ["经调整利润继续下滑或游戏收入维持双位数下降。", "控股折价扩大。"], "fx_rate_cny_per_hkd": 0.86458, "executive_conclusion": "25.60港元位于基准合理区间约18.18—32.31港元,判断为基本合理;估值安全垫主要来自净现金,但经常利润仍受游戏下滑与AI投入约束。", "information_cutoff": "2026-09-05T23:30:00+08:00" } }