{ "snapshot_id": "09880-HK-20260905-current", "meta": { "company": "优必选", "code": "09880.HK", "market": "香港联合交易所主板", "as_of_date": "2026-09-05", "currency": "HKD", "report_period_end": "2026-06-30", "latest_operating_info_date": "2026-08-28" }, "market": { "price": 85.65, "price_type": "香港市场最新完整交易日未复权收盘价", "price_timestamp": "2026-09-04T16:00:00+08:00", "diluted_shares": 503401373, "shares_date": "2026-08-31", "platform_market_cap": 43116327697.45 }, "financials": { "annual": { "period_end": "2025-12-31", "basis": "audited_converted_to_hkd_at_2026-09-04_central_parity", "revenue": 2314417404.98, "attributable_profit": -813332485.14, "deduct_profit": -813332485.14, "cfo": -906927062.85, "capex": 473089823.96 }, "current_cumulative": { "period_end": "2026-06-30", "basis": "interim_results_unaudited_converted_to_hkd_at_2026-09-04_central_parity", "revenue": 1467915057.02, "attributable_profit": -360265099.82, "deduct_profit": -360265099.82, "cfo": null, "capex": null }, "prior_year_same_period": { "period_end": "2025-06-30", "basis": "reported_comparative_converted_to_hkd_at_2026-09-04_central_parity", "revenue": 718799879.71, "attributable_profit": -478438085.54, "deduct_profit": -478438085.54, "cfo": null, "capex": null } }, "balance_sheet": { "period_end": "2026-06-30", "equity": 8057173425.25, "cash_available": 2754184690.83, "non_operating_financial_assets": 406706146.34, "interest_bearing_debt": 1153508061.72, "minority_interest": 1032184501.84 }, "normalization": { "adjustments": [ { "description": "港股法定披露无A股式扣非归母,以归母亏损作保守代理", "amount": 0, "basis": "2026H1归母亏损3.115亿元人民币;集团非GAAP净亏损3.388亿元人民币,未制造扣非指标" } ] }, "valuation": { "scenarios": [ { "name": "悲观", "role": "pessimistic", "method": "pb", "multiple_low": 1.5, "multiple_high": 3.0, "assumption": "规模交付放缓、应收和存货继续上升,现金消耗与并购整合压低估值倍数。" }, { "name": "基准", "role": "base", "method": "pb", "multiple_low": 3.0, "multiple_high": 5.0, "assumption": "全尺寸人形机器人收入继续增长、亏损收窄,但仍以未盈利平台公司估值并计入现金与并购风险。" }, { "name": "乐观", "role": "optimistic", "method": "pb", "multiple_low": 5.0, "multiple_high": 7.0, "assumption": "规模订单持续转化为收入和回款,毛利率维持改善,费用率下降并接近盈亏平衡。" } ], "reverse_pe_multiples": [20, 25, 30, 40, 50, 60, 75, 100], "exit_pe_multiples": [20, 25, 30, 40, 50, 60], "holding_period": { "years": 5, "required_return": 0.1, "cumulative_dividend_per_share": 0 } }, "institutions": { "coverage_status": "no_usable_forecasts", "forecasts": [] }, "sources": [ { "id": "SRC-HKEX-09880-H1-20260828", "source_type": "archived_primary", "title": "优必选截至2026年6月30日止六个月中期业绩公告", "publish_date": "2026-08-28", "period_end": "2026-06-30", "url": "https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2026/0828/2026082801691.pdf", "supports": ["financials.current_cumulative", "financials.prior_year_same_period", "balance_sheet.equity", "balance_sheet.cash_available", "balance_sheet.interest_bearing_debt", "analysis"], "revision_status": "current" }, { "id": "SRC-HKEX-09880-ANNUAL-2025", "source_type": "archived_primary", "title": "优必选2025年度报告", "publish_date": "2026-04-14", "period_end": "2025-12-31", "url": "https://www.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2026/0414/2026041401168.pdf", "supports": ["financials.annual"], "revision_status": "current" }, { "id": "SRC-HKEX-09880-SHARES-202608", "source_type": "archived_primary", "title": "优必选截至2026年8月31日证券变动月报表", "publish_date": "2026-09-03", "period_end": "2026-08-31", "url": "https://www1.hkexnews.hk/search/titlesearch.xhtml?category=0&market=SEHK&stockId=1000208870", "supports": ["market.diluted_shares", "market.shares_date"], "revision_status": "current" }, { "id": "SRC-EM-09880-20260904", "source_type": "quote_provider", "title": "东方财富优必选2026-09-04未复权日K与总股本", "publish_date": "2026-09-05", "period_end": "2026-09-04", "url": "https://push2his.eastmoney.com/api/qt/stock/kline/get?secid=116.09880", "supports": ["market.price", "market.platform_market_cap"], "revision_status": "current" }, { "id": "SRC-FX-HKD-CNY-20260904", "source_type": "professional_database", "title": "2026-09-04人民币汇率中间价:1港元兑0.86458人民币", "publish_date": "2026-09-04", "period_end": "2026-09-04", "url": "https://hzf.mofcom.gov.cn/article/zyfw/jrfw/jrfwywzn/jrfwwh/hlfxglzy/202609/7872.html", "supports": ["financials", "balance_sheet", "valuation"], "revision_status": "current" } ], "analysis": { "company_type": "高速增长但仍亏损的人形机器人平台公司,并表锋龙电气后业务边界扩大", "primary_model": "PB情景为主,PS、收入结构、亏损收窄、现金消耗和并购整合交叉验证;负利润不使用PE", "cross_checks": ["2026H1收入与毛利率", "PB", "前瞻PS", "现金和债务", "应收与存货", "客户集中度"], "profit_sources": ["2026H1收入12.69亿元人民币,同比增长104%;其中全尺寸人形机器人收入5.90亿元,占46.5%。"], "profit_source_quality": ["毛利率升至44.7%,但归母仍亏损3.11亿元;单一客户贡献24%收入,应收账款和存货均明显增加。"], "risks": ["仍未实现可持续盈利,估值依赖远期商业化。", "现金从2025年末48.88亿元降至2026H1的23.81亿元,主要受并购付款影响。", "信用减值损失升至0.91亿元,应收和存货增长带来回款及交付风险。", "锋龙电气并表改变收入结构并增加商誉和整合复杂度。", "客户集中度提高,单一大客户收入占24%。"], "upgrade_triggers": ["全尺寸机器人订单持续转化为收入、回款和经营现金流。", "毛利率维持且费用率下降,归母亏损继续快速收窄。"], "downgrade_triggers": ["应收或存货继续快于收入增长。", "现金消耗超预期、并购整合不及预期或需要再次大额股权融资。"], "fx_rate_cny_per_hkd": 0.86458, "executive_conclusion": "85.65港元高于基准合理区间约48.02—80.03港元、但仍在乐观区间内,判断为偏贵;收入与毛利率改善真实,但价格已要求规模交付、回款和亏损收窄同时兑现。", "information_cutoff": "2026-09-05T23:30:00+08:00" } }