{ "conclusion": { "base_midpoint": "17.31206719832004199895002625", "price_label": "当前价格处于基准合理区间", "price_position": "WITHIN_BASE_RANGE", "safety_margin_to_base_midpoint": "-0.3666767653429602888086642599" }, "engine_version": "1.0.0", "holding_period": { "cumulative_dividend_per_share": "0", "required_exit_price": "38.1046666", "required_profit_by_exit_pe": [ { "exit_pe": "18", "required_profit": "846791538.1481111111111111111" }, { "exit_pe": "20", "required_profit": "762112384.3333000" }, { "exit_pe": "25", "required_profit": "609689907.4666400" }, { "exit_pe": "30", "required_profit": "508074922.8888666666666666667" }, { "exit_pe": "35", "required_profit": "435492791.0476000" }, { "exit_pe": "40", "required_profit": "381056192.1666500" } ], "required_return": "0.1", "years": 5 }, "institutions": { "coverage_status": "no_usable_forecasts", "detail": [], "summary": {} }, "meta": { "as_of_date": "2026-09-05", "code": "301566.SZ", "company": "达利凯普", "currency": "CNY", "latest_operating_info_date": "2026-08-28", "market": "深交所创业板", "report_period_end": "2026-06-30" }, "metrics": { "annual_cash_conversion": "0.9783150360466893132168301610", "annual_fcf": "146489009.20", "book_value_per_share": "3.986882445188870278243043924", "current_fcf": "35675598.13", "deduct_pe": "57.78580041592293983229943563", "diluted_shares": "400010000", "enterprise_value": "8563156546.39", "market_cap": "9464236600.00", "normalized_eps": "0.4094431474463138421539461513", "normalized_pe": "57.78580041592293983229943563", "normalized_profit": "163781353.41", "pb": "5.934461405690921148562871699", "price": "23.66", "ps": "22.96544388063101675163778764", "reported_pe": "50.05859483912424252880455837", "ttm_attributable_profit": "189063169.48", "ttm_deduct_profit": "163781353.41", "ttm_eps": "0.4726461075473113172170695733", "ttm_revenue": "412107714.93" }, "normalization_adjustments": [ { "amount": "-25281816.07", "basis": "2025-12-31+2026-06-30-2025-06-30", "description": "以最新TTM扣非归母利润替代TTM归母利润作为核心盈利代理" } ], "qa": { "error_count": 0, "info_count": 1, "issues": [ { "action": "不得以公司业绩预告或自有情景冒充机构预期。", "field": "institutions", "issue_id": "QA-INSTITUTION-NONE", "message": "估值日没有可用机构盈利预测,已明确记录为空。", "recalc_scope": "机构预期模块", "severity": "INFO" } ], "status": "PASS", "warning_count": 0 }, "reverse_pe": [ { "implied_eps": "1.577333333333333333333333333", "implied_margin": "1.531029592042067783442519176", "implied_profit": "630949106.6666666666666666667", "pe": "15" }, { "implied_eps": "1.314444444444444444444444444", "implied_margin": "1.275857993368389819535432647", "implied_profit": "525790922.2222222222222222222", "pe": "18" }, { "implied_eps": "1.183", "implied_margin": "1.148272194031550837581889382", "implied_profit": "473211830.00", "pe": "20" }, { "implied_eps": "0.9464", "implied_margin": "0.9186177552252406700655115057", "implied_profit": "378569464.00", "pe": "25" }, { "implied_eps": "0.7886666666666666666666666667", "implied_margin": "0.7655147960210338917212595880", "implied_profit": "315474553.3333333333333333333", "pe": "30" }, { "implied_eps": "0.676", "implied_margin": "0.6561555394466004786182225040", "implied_profit": "270406760.00", "pe": "35" }, { "implied_eps": "0.5915", "implied_margin": "0.5741360970157754187909446910", "implied_profit": "236605915.00", "pe": "40" }, { "implied_eps": "0.4732", "implied_margin": "0.4593088776126203350327557528", "implied_profit": "189284732.00", "pe": "50" }, { "implied_eps": "0.3943333333333333333333333333", "implied_margin": "0.3827573980105169458606297941", "implied_profit": "157737276.6666666666666666667", "pe": "60" }, { "implied_eps": "0.29575", "implied_margin": "0.2870680485078877093954723455", "implied_profit": "118302957.50", "pe": "80" }, { "implied_eps": "0.2366", "implied_margin": "0.2296544388063101675163778764", "implied_profit": "94642366.00", "pe": "100" } ], "scenarios": [ { "assumption": "射频微波MLCC需求与认证放量低于预期,盈利回到较低增速。", "cagr_high": "-0.16902274677596196", "cagr_low": "-0.26866573751903977", "equity_value_high": "3750000000", "equity_value_low": "1980000000", "method": "pe", "name": "悲观", "price_high": "9.374765630859228519287017825", "price_low": "4.949876253093672658183545411", "role": "pessimistic", "upside_to_high": "-0.6037715287041746187959840311", "upside_to_low": "-0.7907913671558041987242795684" }, { "assumption": "H1增长延续但保持小体量与客户认证折价,不把细分稀缺性无限外推。", "cagr_high": "0.0028526555223575834", "cagr_low": "-0.14795865700275757", "equity_value_high": "9600000000", "equity_value_low": "4250000000", "method": "pe", "name": "基准", "price_high": "23.99940001499962500937476563", "price_low": "10.62473438164045898852528687", "role": "base", "upside_to_high": "0.014344886517312975882280880", "upside_to_low": "-0.5509410658647312346354485685" }, { "assumption": "高Q、高可靠MLCC放量,收入、利润和现金流同步兑现。", "cagr_high": "0.09648105930144868", "cagr_low": "0.0028526555223575834", "equity_value_high": "15000000000", "equity_value_low": "9600000000", "method": "pe", "name": "乐观", "price_high": "37.49906252343691407714807130", "price_low": "23.99940001499962500937476563", "role": "optimistic", "upside_to_high": "0.584913885183301524816063876", "upside_to_low": "0.014344886517312975882280880" } ] }