{ "snapshot_id": "688519-SH-20260905-current", "meta": { "company": "南亚新材", "code": "688519.SH", "market": "上交所科创板", "as_of_date": "2026-09-05", "currency": "CNY", "report_period_end": "2026-06-30", "latest_operating_info_date": "2026-08-29" }, "market": { "price": 267.14, "price_type": "前复权完整交易日收盘价(与未复权报价同值核验)", "price_timestamp": "2026-09-04T15:00:00+08:00", "diluted_shares": 235180442, "shares_date": "2026-09-05", "platform_market_cap": 62826103275.88 }, "financials": { "annual": { "period_end": "2025-12-31", "basis": "audited", "revenue": 5227828810.43, "attributable_profit": 240327620.48, "deduct_profit": 218017399.69, "cfo": -83184590.91, "capex": 233398291.47 }, "current_cumulative": { "period_end": "2026-06-30", "basis": "interim_report_unaudited", "revenue": 4223655477.69, "attributable_profit": 461065617.47, "deduct_profit": 452920222.37, "cfo": -23636325.28, "capex": 215279014.54 }, "prior_year_same_period": { "period_end": "2025-06-30", "basis": "reported_comparative", "revenue": 2305055409.51, "attributable_profit": 87190150.81, "deduct_profit": 81202292.54, "cfo": -70241508.13, "capex": 103727313.07 } }, "balance_sheet": { "period_end": "2026-06-30", "equity": 3273743271.85, "cash_available": 417575689.14, "non_operating_financial_assets": 0, "interest_bearing_debt": 964787663.23, "minority_interest": 0 }, "normalization": { "adjustments": [ { "description": "以最新TTM扣非归母利润替代TTM归母利润作为核心盈利代理", "amount": -24467757.62, "basis": "2025-12-31+2026-06-30-2025-06-30" } ] }, "valuation": { "scenarios": [ { "name": "悲观", "role": "pessimistic", "method": "pe", "profit_low": 350000000, "profit_high": 550000000, "multiple_low": 12, "multiple_high": 20, "assumption": "覆铜板景气回落、产品价格与稼动率承压,利润向周期中枢回归。" }, { "name": "基准", "role": "base", "method": "pe", "profit_low": 550000000, "profit_high": 850000000, "multiple_low": 20, "multiple_high": 35, "assumption": "H1高增长部分延续,但按周期材料公司折价,未把AI覆铜板渗透率全部提前资本化。" }, { "name": "乐观", "role": "optimistic", "method": "pe", "profit_low": 850000000, "profit_high": 1100000000, "multiple_low": 35, "multiple_high": 50, "assumption": "高端覆铜板放量、良率和价格同时兑现,现金流随利润改善。" } ], "reverse_pe_multiples": [10, 12, 15, 20, 25, 30, 35, 40, 50, 60, 80, 100], "exit_pe_multiples": [12, 15, 20, 25, 30, 35, 40], "holding_period": { "years": 5, "required_return": 0.1, "cumulative_dividend_per_share": 0 } }, "institutions": { "coverage_status": "no_usable_forecasts", "forecasts": [] }, "sources": [ { "id": "SRC-CNINFO-688519-H1-20260829", "source_type": "cninfo", "title": "南亚新材2026年半年度报告", "publish_date": "2026-08-29", "period_end": "2026-06-30", "url": "https://static.cninfo.com.cn/finalpage/2026-08-29/1225528689.PDF", "supports": ["financials.current_cumulative", "financials.prior_year_same_period", "balance_sheet.equity"], "revision_status": "current" }, { "id": "SRC-EM-FINANCE-688519-20260905", "source_type": "financial_mirror", "title": "东方财富结构化财务与法定报告勾稽", "publish_date": "2026-08-29", "period_end": "2026-06-30", "url": "https://datacenter-web.eastmoney.com/api/data/v1/get", "supports": ["financials.annual", "financials.current_cumulative", "financials.prior_year_same_period", "balance_sheet.equity"], "revision_status": "current" }, { "id": "SRC-MARKET-688519-20260905", "source_type": "quote_provider", "title": "trading_xuntou前复权收盘与东方财富当前总股本勾稽", "publish_date": "2026-09-05", "period_end": "2026-09-04", "url": "https://push2.eastmoney.com/api/qt/stock/get", "supports": ["market.price", "market.diluted_shares", "market.platform_market_cap"], "revision_status": "current" }, { "id": "SRC-NO-CONSENSUS-688519-20260905", "source_type": "institution_aggregator", "title": "固定机构预测明细未形成可用样本", "publish_date": "2026-09-05", "period_end": "2026-09-05", "url": "https://datacenter-web.eastmoney.com/api/data/v1/get", "supports": ["institutions"], "revision_status": "current" } ], "analysis": { "company_type": "覆铜板与半固化片材料公司", "primary_model": "TTM扣非PE三情景,结合周期中枢与同行材料估值交叉验证", "cross_checks": ["TTM扣非PE", "PB", "PS", "经营现金流", "同行覆铜板与电子材料估值"], "profit_sources": ["主要利润来自覆铜板及半固化片,AI服务器高频高速材料属于增长分支。"], "profit_source_quality": ["2026H1收入和扣非利润显著增长,但经营现金流仍为负,利润兑现尚未完整转化为现金。"], "risks": ["覆铜板具明显周期性,价格、铜价、稼动率与产品结构变化会放大利润波动。", "当前估值已提前计入高端材料渗透与份额提升,若订单、良率或现金回收不及预期将面临压缩。"], "upgrade_triggers": ["高端覆铜板收入和毛利可验证放量,经营现金流连续转正。"], "downgrade_triggers": ["H2单季扣非利润回落、应收存货扩张或高端产品认证与放量延期。"], "information_cutoff": "2026-09-05T22:14:05+08:00" } }