1
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哈喽大家好

2
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开始我们今天的一个行情梳理

3
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今天应该大家都蛮舒服的对吧

4
00:00:06,340 --> 00:00:07,940
因为我们早上抄了不底

5
00:00:07,940 --> 00:00:10,780
然后基本上就是当天最低点了

6
00:00:10,780 --> 00:00:16,120
然后我们整天这一天的整个收益也是还不错

7
00:00:16,120 --> 00:00:20,940
那么大家很多人都想要重新去教你们的作业

8
00:00:20,940 --> 00:00:22,500
没必要啊

9
00:00:22,500 --> 00:00:24,000
我们九月份到时候再教

10
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因为整个九月的话

11
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至少说前半个月

12
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我觉得我们还是有很大的空间能去做的

13
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那么我希望你们把握好前半个月的一个机会

14
00:00:34,260 --> 00:00:34,660
好

15
00:00:34,660 --> 00:00:38,340
那我们今天就先从整个指数上来讲吧

16
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指数我们在上周四的时候确立

17
00:00:41,540 --> 00:00:41,820
对吧

18
00:00:41,820 --> 00:00:43,040
它站上了趋势

19
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那么我们周五

20
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然后进了些仓位

21
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当仓位其实是从周二开始慢慢加的

22
00:00:49,440 --> 00:00:49,680
对吧

23
00:00:49,680 --> 00:00:51,040
一层一层一层往下加

24
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加上去之后

25
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我说好

26
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我们要往上推

27
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要推到六层仓

28
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六层仓

29
00:00:56,480 --> 00:00:57,840
今天我们在抄底

30
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基本上仓位就就打的比较满了

31
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对吧

32
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打的比较满了

33
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然后这种时候你想要去捡

34
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就反正就根据你自己的一个情况

35
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因为上阵指数已经站上趋势了

36
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站上趋势

37
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今天哪怕没有PMI指数

38
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我也是想要跟各位说

39
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你们可以去抄底的

40
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因此在早盘的时候

41
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其实我把点位都发了

42
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上阵3920科创1620

43
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对吧

44
00:01:22,060 --> 00:01:24,620
今天上阵最低3926

45
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没打到

46
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缺六个点

47
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对吧

48
00:01:26,480 --> 00:01:28,160
有点可惜

49
00:01:28,160 --> 00:01:29,660
要再低开多一点就好了

50
00:01:29,660 --> 00:01:33,300
科创科创最低1620.36

51
00:01:33,300 --> 00:01:33,940
对吧

52
00:01:33,940 --> 00:01:37,140
创业版3350最低3359

53
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这个差9块钱

54
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玩科创这边是最到位的

55
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最到位的

56
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所以整体我们今天

57
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不管是有没有PMI指数

58
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我们基本上都在那个位置

59
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就该抄抄了

60
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好吧

61
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因为上阵已经站上了日线的趋势

62
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你如果要破坏趋势

63
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你要往下跌

64
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往下跌

65
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因为我们周五的时候也说过了

66
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你只要不跌穿3892

67
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对吧

68
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就OK了

69
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那就是我最近

70
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因为这是根据我们的一个量化工具

71
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然后做出来的东西

72
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所以我没有办法跟你说这个东西是怎么算出来的

73
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这种具体的点位怎么算出来的

74
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好吧

75
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我是根据我们自己的一个量化工具

76
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那个工具我在后面可能有可能会去公开一个用法

77
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但我只是说有可能啊

78
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因为不一定

79
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然后我们先看这个上阵

80
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上阵120这边上阵120升息

81
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纠转现在已经是8了

82
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对吧

83
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高八明天再涨就是高九

84
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然后明天再涨下去有个什么情况呢

85
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会出现120分钟的一个顶部顿化

86
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因此这个顶部顿化

87
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你想去化解

88
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你需要大涨

89
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你需要大涨

90
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并且放量才行

91
00:02:54,080 --> 00:02:55,020
不光要大涨还要放量才行

92
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今天整个上阵的成交量是多少

93
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10142亿对吧

94
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那明明天明天差不多上阵要保持到11,000

95
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你要放也不是11,000吧

96
00:03:08,880 --> 00:03:12,720
你上阵放个几百亿的量是要放出来的

97
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你你至少要放量

98
00:03:14,160 --> 00:03:17,040
然后才能去进一步的化解这个顶部的顿化

99
00:03:17,040 --> 00:03:20,520
不然60分钟90分钟都会形成

100
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这就多周期形成一个顶部顿化了

101
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包括说说

102
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4,000点对吧

103
00:03:25,900 --> 00:03:27,000
我们明天再一涨

104
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你就要干到4,000点了

105
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你干到4,000点本身

106
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因为我们就是一个固定的数字门

107
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这种位置来讲会是有一些压力

108
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因此今天我们能够看到很多东西都一起动了

109
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金融银行保险今天都没动保险

110
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今天也动了

111
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也没下来对吧

112
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下午一起拉的指数

113
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然后下午权重也一起就是集合竞价的时候

114
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又拉了一波权重对

115
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今天基本上终继续创集合竞价的时候又拉了一下

116
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所以明天是有可能会过4,000点的

117
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但是我们要看他能不能放量过或者是大涨好吧

118
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但当然大涨肯定会放量

119
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也就是说明天要化解的话

120
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需要大涨大涨才能化解

121
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如果明天放缩量往上涨的话

122
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那不好意思120分钟120分钟也就是前两个小时嘛

123
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也就是九点半到十一点半

124
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那我中间就找高点我走掉了

125
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你如果缩量的话

126
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那我直接走掉

127
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你放量好

128
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我继续做好吧

129
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是这么一个情况

130
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但这个事情在也是短周期的

131
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对于我们来讲

132
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其实也是短周期的

133
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因为长周期嘛

134
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对吧

135
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你才日线级别上

136
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他毕竟还是占上趋势线

137
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所以他哪怕往下调的话

138
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就涨一点

139
00:04:49,920 --> 00:04:51,060
然后往下调一点

140
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涨点往下调点

141
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慢慢震荡走强

142
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我觉得是OK的

143
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因此对于我们这一次主要做的品种

144
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我们上一轮主要做的品种的话

145
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是创业板指二线光为主的

146
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对吧

147
00:05:02,780 --> 00:05:05,500
我们和科创100

148
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科创100为主的

149
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我们我们也能看到科创100

150
00:05:08,100 --> 00:05:09,420
他走的相对就更好

151
00:05:09,420 --> 00:05:11,100
已经打到47天线嘛

152
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那么47天线这个东西

153
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大家不知道去看均线那个视频好吧

154
00:05:14,820 --> 00:05:16,620
大家去看均线那个视频

155
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然后科创50我们这边

156
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这一轮我们就以科创50为主了

157
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那么就是一些半导体

158
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然后再

159
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作为细致的话

160
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就其实就是我们的一些国产的GPU

161
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好吧

162
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国产GPU比较少

163
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因为就韩王

164
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然后RCEC芯片

165
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穆希摩尔这种东西

166
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穆希摩尔现在因为有减持嘛

167
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所以他们两个表现不太好

168
00:05:43,740 --> 00:05:45,580
然后海光这边

169
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你看今天刚好有朋友问

170
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海光为什么走的没有另外两个好

171
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那你其实你把整个均线结构拿出来

172
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你就能看见对吧

173
00:05:54,420 --> 00:06:00,140
新元和韩5G的整个均线结构本本身

174
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它都要更漂亮一些

175
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你再去看海光的这个均线结构

176
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它整个扩口太过于大了

177
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太过于大

178
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你本身又是一个大票

179
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你想要让它均线结构走走好的话

180
00:06:13,900 --> 00:06:15,580
你需要力度太大了

181
00:06:15,580 --> 00:06:16,820
你需要涨幅太多了

182
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然后这个这问题我们就是说

183
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所以对于海光这来讲

184
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我们因为这一波行情

185
00:06:22,940 --> 00:06:24,020
我们这些东西

186
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也是看到自己天线对吧

187
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打到我们就可以走了

188
00:06:29,980 --> 00:06:33,500
所以整个科创50对我们也是一样的

189
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打到我们就可以走了

190
00:06:34,660 --> 00:06:40,020
科创50的整个均线结构跟GPU那些是差不多的

191
00:06:40,020 --> 00:06:42,660
但整体科创50肯定它的涨幅

192
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你不会是有对吧

193
00:06:45,300 --> 00:06:46,780
你不会是有个股多嘛

194
00:06:46,780 --> 00:06:49,540
个股今天已经涨了七八个点的情况下

195
00:06:49,540 --> 00:06:51,380
基本上还有15个点空间

196
00:06:51,380 --> 00:06:52,820
那对标科创50

197
00:06:52,820 --> 00:06:53,980
那就只有七八个点空间

198
00:06:54,020 --> 00:06:56,740
那其实跟我们上一轮做的行情是一样

199
00:06:56,740 --> 00:06:58,260
我们就做一个反弹

200
00:06:58,260 --> 00:06:59,500
然后像这种东西对吧

201
00:06:59,500 --> 00:07:01,380
我们当时说的时候

202
00:07:01,380 --> 00:07:03,580
你去做做到47天线

203
00:07:03,580 --> 00:07:06,060
你你比如说你本身我们现在仓位比较高

204
00:07:06,060 --> 00:07:06,980
你做47天线

205
00:07:06,980 --> 00:07:08,420
你就砍一半对吧

206
00:07:08,420 --> 00:07:09,060
或者砍一半

207
00:07:09,060 --> 00:07:09,500
你干嘛

208
00:07:09,500 --> 00:07:11,020
你把仓位剪下来

209
00:07:11,020 --> 00:07:12,380
剪下来之后

210
00:07:12,380 --> 00:07:15,220
等他做到等他对吧

211
00:07:15,220 --> 00:07:15,860
过不了线

212
00:07:15,860 --> 00:07:17,980
你就你你走掉也好

213
00:07:17,980 --> 00:07:19,260
如果你没有其他方向

214
00:07:19,260 --> 00:07:20,700
你把仓位降掉

215
00:07:20,700 --> 00:07:23,860
然后你看他如果看他整个均线慢慢的

216
00:07:24,020 --> 00:07:24,500
走稳

217
00:07:24,500 --> 00:07:28,700
因为这一波如果是上半个月行情很好的话

218
00:07:28,700 --> 00:07:31,140
二线光可能也会有机会

219
00:07:31,140 --> 00:07:34,860
那么他们会有一个多头结构出来

220
00:07:34,860 --> 00:07:37,020
那么多头结构出来有些票

221
00:07:37,020 --> 00:07:38,740
我认为可能会打前高

222
00:07:38,740 --> 00:07:41,340
但是可能打前高不是在这种时候

223
00:07:41,340 --> 00:07:43,780
打前高可能是要往稍后放了

224
00:07:43,780 --> 00:07:47,380
因为打前高的话还是需要以很多的能量的

225
00:07:47,380 --> 00:07:50,620
包括说你们最近比较关心的

226
00:07:50,620 --> 00:07:52,500
然后我在周四周五也都跟你们说对吧

227
00:07:52,500 --> 00:07:53,860
二线光我这波不做了

228
00:07:54,020 --> 00:07:57,780
然后光线光线我这一步也不做了

229
00:07:57,780 --> 00:08:01,100
原因就是因为整体这一轮反弹

230
00:08:01,100 --> 00:08:03,260
他们涨得已经够高了

231
00:08:03,260 --> 00:08:04,620
60%

232
00:08:05,620 --> 00:08:08,220
已经涨了60%级了

233
00:08:08,220 --> 00:08:10,100
那你不让他调一调吗

234
00:08:10,100 --> 00:08:10,380
对吧

235
00:08:10,380 --> 00:08:12,340
你我们现在本身看就是一个反弹结构

236
00:08:12,340 --> 00:08:15,860
还没有进进入反转进入反转

237
00:08:15,860 --> 00:08:20,780
我们是无法在最近的很最近时间当中看到反转

238
00:08:20,780 --> 00:08:23,700
因为我在周末的整个周复盘视频当中

239
00:08:23,700 --> 00:08:25,580
都跟都跟各位讲的很明白了

240
00:08:25,580 --> 00:08:28,340
外盘现在情况不太好

241
00:08:28,340 --> 00:08:32,980
他们现阶段最开始牺牲的必然是美股

242
00:08:32,980 --> 00:08:33,900
美股没办法

243
00:08:33,900 --> 00:08:35,820
必然是会最开始牺牲的

244
00:08:35,820 --> 00:08:40,460
但是随着整个中期选举越来越近的时候

245
00:08:40,460 --> 00:08:44,900
也就是说进入到了十月的中后期之后

246
00:08:44,900 --> 00:08:50,220
那么我们可能会迎来一波比较重要的行情

247
00:08:50,220 --> 00:08:51,280
这是我想跟你们说

248
00:08:51,280 --> 00:08:53,380
所以你们很多人在讨论

249
00:08:53,380 --> 00:08:54,300
越线对吧

250
00:08:54,300 --> 00:08:56,140
越线的一个死叉没有意义

251
00:08:56,140 --> 00:08:58,420
越线这个死叉没有任何的意义

252
00:08:58,420 --> 00:09:02,420
你们难道能够看到说他还能破前低吗

253
00:09:02,420 --> 00:09:04,160
上阵子说不太可能破前低了

254
00:09:04,160 --> 00:09:06,680
这个位置你们压根就不知道这个位置

255
00:09:06,680 --> 00:09:08,620
国家队用了多大的劲

256
00:09:08,620 --> 00:09:12,280
多少的自营盘窗口直倒

257
00:09:12,280 --> 00:09:16,060
你们根本就不知道这里费了多大的劲

258
00:09:16,060 --> 00:09:21,500
所以除非是出现非常非常牛逼的黑天鹅事件

259
00:09:21,500 --> 00:09:23,220
不然这个地方不会

260
00:09:23,380 --> 00:09:24,420
轻易的破掉

261
00:09:24,420 --> 00:09:26,220
因此我从来都没跟你说

262
00:09:26,220 --> 00:09:28,680
我说我上阵指数我要看

263
00:09:28,680 --> 00:09:30,100
看个低点

264
00:09:30,100 --> 00:09:33,640
我顶多我我敢去说一下

265
00:09:33,640 --> 00:09:33,920
对吧

266
00:09:33,920 --> 00:09:36,640
我说我们看科创五零能不能破前低

267
00:09:36,640 --> 00:09:37,780
上阵指数

268
00:09:37,780 --> 00:09:40,520
我从来没跟你说过他要去破前低这个事

269
00:09:40,520 --> 00:09:42,700
这也是为什么

270
00:09:42,700 --> 00:09:46,440
在最近的这一个多月期间

271
00:09:46,440 --> 00:09:48,720
我们能够看到很多的腰骨

272
00:09:48,720 --> 00:09:52,100
能够看到很多的那种短线

273
00:09:52,100 --> 00:09:53,360
游子又开始活跃起来

274
00:09:53,380 --> 00:09:56,160
因为这是最好的时候

275
00:09:56,160 --> 00:09:57,640
有人对吧

276
00:09:57,640 --> 00:09:59,220
在这里跟你说这是底部

277
00:09:59,220 --> 00:10:01,240
然后我们主线行情也没出来

278
00:10:01,240 --> 00:10:03,240
资金也不是很多

279
00:10:03,240 --> 00:10:05,660
趋势也没办法走出来

280
00:10:05,660 --> 00:10:10,080
这种时候就是天然的短线交易的时间

281
00:10:10,080 --> 00:10:11,460
因此在这种时候

282
00:10:11,460 --> 00:10:13,800
我们能够看到有些短线做得很好

283
00:10:13,800 --> 00:10:17,620
但最近因为我们能够看到一些大票

284
00:10:17,620 --> 00:10:18,940
已经慢慢走出趋势了

285
00:10:18,940 --> 00:10:21,960
所以导致我们能够看到

286
00:10:21,960 --> 00:10:23,300
最近的一些腰骨

287
00:10:23,300 --> 00:10:23,620
对吧

288
00:10:23,620 --> 00:10:26,280
他们整体的开始出现了

289
00:10:26,280 --> 00:10:27,240
一字板的跌停

290
00:10:27,240 --> 00:10:29,720
情绪开始出现了问题

291
00:10:29,720 --> 00:10:30,200
对吧

292
00:10:30,200 --> 00:10:32,960
你这种再去做接力的就有问题了

293
00:10:32,960 --> 00:10:33,760
对吧

294
00:10:33,760 --> 00:10:34,840
我们今天都能看到

295
00:10:34,840 --> 00:10:36,160
是这么一回事

296
00:10:36,160 --> 00:10:38,080
因为一旦情绪好转

297
00:10:38,080 --> 00:10:40,640
一旦我们能够看到上阵指数

298
00:10:40,640 --> 00:10:42,220
要往上攻的时候

299
00:10:42,220 --> 00:10:44,720
短线自然没法做了

300
00:10:44,720 --> 00:10:45,740
神经病啊

301
00:10:45,740 --> 00:10:46,220
对吧

302
00:10:46,220 --> 00:10:47,540
谁放着这种大钱

303
00:10:47,540 --> 00:10:49,780
就算去搞短线的

304
00:10:49,780 --> 00:10:52,360
你短线这才几个多少钱吗

305
00:10:52,360 --> 00:10:53,200
对吧

306
00:10:53,200 --> 00:10:54,400
你成交额才多少钱

307
00:10:54,400 --> 00:10:55,940
像我说这种东西

308
00:10:55,940 --> 00:10:59,220
你在头一天这已经放天亮了

309
00:10:59,220 --> 00:11:00,180
放天亮

310
00:11:00,180 --> 00:11:02,680
它的成交额是24亿

311
00:11:02,680 --> 00:11:05,700
你不超过1%的金额进去

312
00:11:05,700 --> 00:11:07,680
也就是说你不能超过2000万

313
00:11:07,680 --> 00:11:10,600
这种钱这都已经放天亮了

314
00:11:10,600 --> 00:11:11,520
如果你没放天亮

315
00:11:11,520 --> 00:11:12,620
你可能这一个票

316
00:11:12,620 --> 00:11:14,180
你只能打进去几百万

317
00:11:14,180 --> 00:11:15,620
但是含5G

318
00:11:15,620 --> 00:11:18,060
你能打进去几个亿

319
00:11:18,060 --> 00:11:18,480
对吧

320
00:11:18,480 --> 00:11:19,680
这对于他们来讲

321
00:11:19,680 --> 00:11:21,060
是能上仓位的事情

322
00:11:21,060 --> 00:11:23,180
我1000万吃了

323
00:11:23,200 --> 00:11:25,300
就是你十个七个跌停板

324
00:11:25,300 --> 00:11:26,920
我1000万变2000万

325
00:11:26,920 --> 00:11:27,840
但我含5G

326
00:11:27,840 --> 00:11:29,480
我买进去两个亿

327
00:11:29,480 --> 00:11:30,840
我吃10%

328
00:11:30,840 --> 00:11:32,800
我赚2000万

329
00:11:32,800 --> 00:11:33,340
对吧

330
00:11:33,340 --> 00:11:36,160
谁会在现在去做趋势的时候

331
00:11:36,160 --> 00:11:37,360
再回去做短线

332
00:11:37,360 --> 00:11:38,420
没有意义

333
00:11:38,420 --> 00:11:40,780
所以就这么一个情况好吧

334
00:11:40,780 --> 00:11:42,040
最近最近呢

335
00:11:42,040 --> 00:11:47,460
我们因为虽然说在15在120分钟也好

336
00:11:47,460 --> 00:11:48,100
60分钟

337
00:11:48,100 --> 00:11:48,940
90分钟也好

338
00:11:48,940 --> 00:11:51,340
有一个顶部的结构

339
00:11:51,340 --> 00:11:52,700
但是仍然

340
00:11:52,700 --> 00:11:56,260
我们不用太过于担心这一部分的结

341
00:11:56,260 --> 00:11:57,260
这一部分好吧

342
00:11:57,260 --> 00:12:01,700
我整体不会行情不会说跌的有多厉害

343
00:12:01,700 --> 00:12:05,600
那么顶多就是说退二进一这种样子

344
00:12:05,600 --> 00:12:06,760
退一进二对吧

345
00:12:06,760 --> 00:12:09,860
退一进一退二进一这种结构去往上走

346
00:12:11,000 --> 00:12:13,220
那么走到什么时候呢

347
00:12:13,220 --> 00:12:17,600
这一轮走到我们科创武林打到1800附近好吧

348
00:12:17,600 --> 00:12:19,120
就1800附近了

349
00:12:19,120 --> 00:12:20,840
基本上也都是47天线

350
00:12:20,840 --> 00:12:21,920
那我该走走

351
00:12:21,920 --> 00:12:22,680
那对于我们来讲呢

352
00:12:22,700 --> 00:12:25,580
还有15%到21%个空间

353
00:12:26,700 --> 00:12:28,520
那这一轮做完

354
00:12:28,520 --> 00:12:31,940
我那无论半导体也好

355
00:12:31,940 --> 00:12:33,620
二线光也罢

356
00:12:33,620 --> 00:12:36,700
所有的科技该撤撤该走走

357
00:12:37,700 --> 00:12:38,380
好吧

358
00:12:38,380 --> 00:12:41,660
不看了不看了不看了之后

359
00:12:41,660 --> 00:12:45,380
因为中秋节是25号25号

360
00:12:45,380 --> 00:12:48,500
然后28 29 30三天交易

361
00:12:48,500 --> 00:12:50,780
然后金四就开始放假

362
00:12:50,780 --> 00:12:51,920
金四放假

363
00:12:51,920 --> 00:12:54,360
港股那边也是星期四放假

364
00:12:54,360 --> 00:12:57,760
然后港股是正常2号开始继续

365
00:12:57,760 --> 00:13:01,280
那所以港股中间有几天应该会表现的

366
00:13:01,280 --> 00:13:02,840
我觉得可能会ok

367
00:13:02,840 --> 00:13:08,300
但是但是还是要看月中的一个会议

368
00:13:08,300 --> 00:13:10,800
包括说我们上证指数

369
00:13:10,800 --> 00:13:12,920
这个月能够涨到多高

370
00:13:12,920 --> 00:13:13,580
我们要去看

371
00:13:13,580 --> 00:13:18,160
因为昨天晚上我给你们发了一个投资日历

372
00:13:18,160 --> 00:13:20,240
这个是我用AI做的

373
00:13:20,240 --> 00:13:21,560
AI真好用真的现在

374
00:13:21,560 --> 00:13:26,320
如果没AI我压根都不会出来做这个短视频博主

375
00:13:26,320 --> 00:13:26,940
你们知道吗

376
00:13:26,940 --> 00:13:29,300
因为录视频是一个非常麻烦的事情

377
00:13:29,300 --> 00:13:31,760
他要剪录完之后还要剪视频

378
00:13:31,760 --> 00:13:34,120
我这个事情非常非常麻烦

379
00:13:34,120 --> 00:13:35,840
我我巨讨厌这个事情

380
00:13:35,840 --> 00:13:38,060
但是现在有AI一键剪辑

381
00:13:38,060 --> 00:13:39,860
哇那那我录一下

382
00:13:39,860 --> 00:13:40,760
ok没问题

383
00:13:40,760 --> 00:13:41,780
你别让我剪

384
00:13:41,780 --> 00:13:45,500
所以我但大家对大家真要用好这种AI对吧

385
00:13:45,500 --> 00:13:48,320
那我们今天PMS数据ok出来了

386
00:13:49,340 --> 00:13:51,560
然后9号的时候是我们的

387
00:13:51,560 --> 00:13:53,960
我们国家的PPI数据

388
00:13:53,960 --> 00:13:55,160
那基本上

389
00:13:55,160 --> 00:13:58,100
然后这周五是美国的飞龙

390
00:13:58,100 --> 00:13:58,700
也就是说

391
00:13:58,700 --> 00:14:02,060
如果我们这两天涨上去了

392
00:14:02,060 --> 00:14:02,380
对吧

393
00:14:03,400 --> 00:14:05,840
那我们要警惕周四周五

394
00:14:05,840 --> 00:14:07,580
我们要去警惕周四周五

395
00:14:07,580 --> 00:14:11,180
120分钟每两天一根K线嘛

396
00:14:12,200 --> 00:14:15,360
星期四对星期五对差不多

397
00:14:15,360 --> 00:14:17,400
周四周五的时候我们要小心一点

398
00:14:17,400 --> 00:14:20,380
包括周五本身也要公布飞龙数据了

399
00:14:20,380 --> 00:14:21,560
基本就这种的情况

400
00:14:21,560 --> 00:14:24,560
后面两天越涨越买了

401
00:14:24,560 --> 00:14:26,240
越涨越卖了

402
00:14:26,240 --> 00:14:27,800
后面两天越涨越卖了

403
00:14:27,800 --> 00:14:31,160
然后卖完之后等飞龙数据公布对吧

404
00:14:31,160 --> 00:14:32,660
但你也不是一件轻仓

405
00:14:32,660 --> 00:14:35,000
现在阶段不要一件轻仓

406
00:14:35,000 --> 00:14:36,500
因为我们来回做替嘛

407
00:14:36,500 --> 00:14:39,500
我跟你说我们目标位对吧

408
00:14:39,500 --> 00:14:40,520
已经看到了

409
00:14:40,520 --> 00:14:43,160
看到大概还有个15%左右空间

410
00:14:43,160 --> 00:14:44,960
那就看他怎么震荡上去嘛

411
00:14:44,960 --> 00:14:47,000
如果说他慢慢上去

412
00:14:47,000 --> 00:14:49,600
我们通过做替你有可能最终的收益

413
00:14:49,600 --> 00:14:50,540
他不是15%

414
00:14:50,540 --> 00:14:51,560
你可能是20%

415
00:14:51,560 --> 00:14:52,880
是30%对吧

416
00:14:52,880 --> 00:14:54,120
这都有可能的

417
00:14:54,120 --> 00:14:55,160
就这我想跟你说的

418
00:14:55,160 --> 00:14:58,400
然后到下周的9号

419
00:14:58,400 --> 00:14:59,540
我们就要看PPI了

420
00:14:59,540 --> 00:15:05,000
那么PPI决定了我们这个月的上证的月线

421
00:15:05,000 --> 00:15:08,420
是要收一根中央线还是收一根上影

422
00:15:08,420 --> 00:15:09,200
好吧

423
00:15:09,200 --> 00:15:11,600
如果PPI数据整体很好的话

424
00:15:11,600 --> 00:15:14,600
那么我们这个九月的上证指数的表现

425
00:15:14,600 --> 00:15:16,280
应该会比八月份要好

426
00:15:16,280 --> 00:15:17,240
八月份四个点

427
00:15:19,160 --> 00:15:21,320
因为昨天是二连级嘛

428
00:15:21,320 --> 00:15:24,260
昨天二连级今天收了零点八六四个点

429
00:15:24,260 --> 00:15:27,380
然后我之前说我之前推演的吗

430
00:15:27,380 --> 00:15:30,380
我昨天我给你们推的上证

431
00:15:30,380 --> 00:15:33,320
如果收一把再收五个点

432
00:15:33,320 --> 00:15:35,060
那这边不就没了吗

433
00:15:35,060 --> 00:15:36,800
你死叉不就没了吗

434
00:15:36,800 --> 00:15:37,640
是不是这个意思

435
00:15:39,020 --> 00:15:41,360
对你说四五个点死叉就没了

436
00:15:43,120 --> 00:15:46,580
那基本上就这个就取决于PMI数据好吧

437
00:15:46,580 --> 00:15:48,500
PPI数据就取决于PPI数据

438
00:15:49,460 --> 00:15:50,360
嗯

439
00:15:50,360 --> 00:15:54,140
然后到16号就是FOMC会议了嘛

440
00:15:54,140 --> 00:15:55,640
那基本上就是这么个节奏

441
00:15:55,640 --> 00:15:58,160
我们上半个月先好好的做好吧

442
00:15:58,160 --> 00:16:00,020
上半个月我不悲观

443
00:16:00,020 --> 00:16:01,820
我们先好好的做

444
00:16:01,820 --> 00:16:04,820
然后如果上半个月已经达到目标了

445
00:16:04,820 --> 00:16:08,860
那我们下半个月就该走走该干嘛干嘛

446
00:16:08,860 --> 00:16:12,260
那你如果觉得最近这种GPU

447
00:16:12,260 --> 00:16:16,940
这几天你如果是没有抄到底的话

448
00:16:16,940 --> 00:16:19,220
看一下已经涨百分之二十几了

449
00:16:19,220 --> 00:16:19,460
对吧

450
00:16:19,460 --> 00:16:20,360
已经涨百分之二十几了

451
00:16:20,360 --> 00:16:23,120
你没有抄到底你不太敢做的话

452
00:16:23,120 --> 00:16:26,100
我认为你明天肯定这种东西不要追

453
00:16:26,100 --> 00:16:26,960
这种东西不要追

454
00:16:26,960 --> 00:16:29,420
因为他短期整个上涨太高了

455
00:16:29,420 --> 00:16:30,980
你不要去追

456
00:16:30,980 --> 00:16:32,100
然后我们看一下

457
00:16:32,100 --> 00:16:33,140
因为最近对吧

458
00:16:33,140 --> 00:16:34,440
阳光电源这个事情

459
00:16:34,440 --> 00:16:36,920
但阳光电源性价比不高

460
00:16:36,920 --> 00:16:38,500
因为你看这个东西

461
00:16:38,500 --> 00:16:42,020
他们都是因为周四那件事情一起下来的

462
00:16:42,020 --> 00:16:44,060
对周四那件事情一起下来的

463
00:16:44,060 --> 00:16:47,660
这是直接从顶轨干到敌轨了

464
00:16:47,660 --> 00:16:49,520
直接从顶轨干到敌轨好吧

465
00:16:49,520 --> 00:16:51,740
你们如果是觉得你不想做GPU

466
00:16:51,740 --> 00:16:52,980
你可以去抄底这种东西

467
00:16:52,980 --> 00:16:54,200
你做一个反弹

468
00:16:54,200 --> 00:16:57,500
反弹什么时候反弹到四轨

469
00:16:57,500 --> 00:16:57,760
好吧

470
00:16:57,760 --> 00:17:00,020
拿布林线去做就好了

471
00:17:00,020 --> 00:17:05,300
所以今天有一个朋友还问了一个抄节点的票吗

472
00:17:05,300 --> 00:17:06,920
问了一个华擎对吧

473
00:17:06,920 --> 00:17:07,960
华擎技术

474
00:17:07,960 --> 00:17:10,760
其实这个票为什么我当时不太想说

475
00:17:10,760 --> 00:17:12,800
你直接拿布林线去做就好了

476
00:17:12,800 --> 00:17:13,400
对吧

477
00:17:13,400 --> 00:17:14,360
太标准了

478
00:17:14,360 --> 00:17:15,980
太标准了

479
00:17:15,980 --> 00:17:17,660
兄弟太标准了

480
00:17:17,660 --> 00:17:18,080
好吧

481
00:17:18,080 --> 00:17:19,520
你去拿布林线直接做就好了

482
00:17:19,520 --> 00:17:24,080
因为抄节点这个事

483
00:17:24,080 --> 00:17:25,100
我给你们发东西

484
00:17:25,100 --> 00:17:28,640
你们一定要看我们很早之前提抄节点的时候

485
00:17:28,640 --> 00:17:30,860
这是6月30号对吧

486
00:17:30,860 --> 00:17:32,540
6月30号的复盘

487
00:17:32,540 --> 00:17:34,220
然后当时

488
00:17:34,220 --> 00:17:35,600
当然比这更早

489
00:17:35,600 --> 00:17:37,940
因为抄节点整个开始走的时候

490
00:17:37,940 --> 00:17:41,960
他是从六月底七月底七月初开始走的嘛

491
00:17:41,960 --> 00:17:45,020
就是我们整体开始科技开始下来的时候

492
00:17:45,020 --> 00:17:47,280
抄节点在七月份的表现非常好

493
00:17:47,280 --> 00:17:48,200
对吧

494
00:17:48,200 --> 00:17:49,520
所以你们骂子

495
00:17:49,520 --> 00:17:50,060
子光吗

496
00:17:50,060 --> 00:17:51,200
子光最近是个区

497
00:17:51,200 --> 00:17:54,020
他七月份都走成这个样子了

498
00:17:54,020 --> 00:17:56,960
你让他再往上去走不合适吧

499
00:17:56,960 --> 00:17:57,260
对吧

500
00:17:57,260 --> 00:18:00,700
他七月份在我们很难受的时候

501
00:18:00,700 --> 00:18:02,800
他涨了百分之七十五耶哥

502
00:18:02,800 --> 00:18:04,640
那这东西我们也都是

503
00:18:04,640 --> 00:18:06,320
你们看嘛

504
00:18:06,320 --> 00:18:08,300
具体你们要去看呀

505
00:18:08,300 --> 00:18:12,140
七月内部测试完送样

506
00:18:12,140 --> 00:18:15,560
然后测试周期是二到三个月

507
00:18:15,560 --> 00:18:18,260
九到十月陆续下单

508
00:18:18,260 --> 00:18:26,000
然后我们的整个算力卡也是我们的国产算力的放量

509
00:18:26,000 --> 00:18:28,100
也是在那个时候的

510
00:18:28,100 --> 00:18:33,440
就GPU和这些抄节点是一起的

511
00:18:33,440 --> 00:18:35,480
都是在那个时候放量

512
00:18:35,480 --> 00:18:38,960
那么这个就说明一个什么问题呢

513
00:18:38,960 --> 00:18:44,120
说明我们后面真正一轮大的行情

514
00:18:44,120 --> 00:18:46,400
他是在三级报

515
00:18:46,400 --> 00:18:48,100
三级报是十月底

516
00:18:48,260 --> 00:18:52,300
那么这整个周期对我来讲

517
00:18:52,300 --> 00:18:54,520
他也和海外比较契合

518
00:18:54,520 --> 00:18:56,900
也和海外比较契合

519
00:18:56,900 --> 00:18:59,440
因为我刚才做了个表

520
00:18:59,440 --> 00:19:01,400
我做了一个表

521
00:19:01,400 --> 00:19:04,280
这个是统计选举年的时候

522
00:19:04,280 --> 00:19:09,320
选举年的时候的一个废尘半导体的表现

523
00:19:09,320 --> 00:19:13,180
中期选举也好

524
00:19:13,180 --> 00:19:14,300
大选也好

525
00:19:14,300 --> 00:19:16,200
在十一月的时候

526
00:19:16,200 --> 00:19:18,000
基本上表现会非常好

527
00:19:18,000 --> 00:19:21,140
就他们九月都不太好

528
00:19:21,140 --> 00:19:23,540
九月都不太好

529
00:19:23,540 --> 00:19:25,000
如果九月不好

530
00:19:25,000 --> 00:19:27,400
十月也不太行情况下

531
00:19:27,400 --> 00:19:29,620
他们十一月就会非常的好

532
00:19:29,620 --> 00:19:32,120
这个整个胜率很高

533
00:19:32,120 --> 00:19:34,100
整个胜率很高

534
00:19:34,100 --> 00:19:37,860
所以刚好对应的整个美股来讲

535
00:19:37,860 --> 00:19:40,860
因为美股现在我认为他们是要补跌的

536
00:19:40,860 --> 00:19:42,480
就他们要补跌

537
00:19:42,480 --> 00:19:45,460
那么补跌完了之后

538
00:19:45,460 --> 00:19:47,200
月临近中期选举

539
00:19:47,200 --> 00:19:47,980
那么一年之后

540
00:19:48,000 --> 00:19:50,520
我们一定要来拉股市

541
00:19:50,520 --> 00:19:55,360
那个时候整个我们伴随着美股半导体

542
00:19:55,360 --> 00:19:57,520
废尘半导体一起表现

543
00:19:57,520 --> 00:19:58,920
好吧

544
00:19:58,900 --> 00:20:01,860
那个时候是属于整个科创50

545
00:20:01,860 --> 00:20:03,040
我们国产半导体

546
00:20:03,040 --> 00:20:04,120
国产GPU

547
00:20:04,120 --> 00:20:06,240
国产的交换机

548
00:20:06,240 --> 00:20:07,420
芯片

549
00:20:07,420 --> 00:20:08,400
各种东西

550
00:20:08,400 --> 00:20:10,160
最大的一波行情

551
00:20:10,160 --> 00:20:13,360
是在10月中下旬开始

552
00:20:13,360 --> 00:20:14,580
那么那个时候

553
00:20:14,580 --> 00:20:16,500
我们的上证指数

554
00:20:16,500 --> 00:20:19,360
该化解的也都化解了

555
00:20:19,360 --> 00:20:19,640
好吧

556
00:20:19,640 --> 00:20:21,340
该磨的也都磨了

557
00:20:21,340 --> 00:20:22,240
因为我们现在

558
00:20:22,240 --> 00:20:23,700
你可以说4000

559
00:20:23,700 --> 00:20:25,820
是一个我们的压力位

560
00:20:25,820 --> 00:20:27,100
那么到那个时候

561
00:20:27,100 --> 00:20:29,940
4000就能磨成我们的一个支撑位

562
00:20:29,940 --> 00:20:31,520
借使整个指数

563
00:20:31,520 --> 00:20:32,380
金融

564
00:20:32,380 --> 00:20:32,920
对吧

565
00:20:32,920 --> 00:20:35,300
跟着科技一起往上攻

566
00:20:35,300 --> 00:20:37,360
然后像这种大光

567
00:20:37,360 --> 00:20:38,080
好

568
00:20:38,080 --> 00:20:40,060
那个时候肯定也会有机会

569
00:20:40,060 --> 00:20:40,960
也会有行情

570
00:20:40,960 --> 00:20:42,780
但是你能不能破钱高

571
00:20:42,780 --> 00:20:43,580
我不知道了

572
00:20:43,580 --> 00:20:45,740
所以今天我留言说

573
00:20:45,740 --> 00:20:47,800
这里是历史顶部

574
00:20:47,800 --> 00:20:49,340
然后有朋友问

575
00:20:49,340 --> 00:20:49,620
对吧

576
00:20:49,620 --> 00:20:50,660
那你可不可以做空

577
00:20:50,660 --> 00:20:52,620
这个位置做空没有意义

578
00:20:52,620 --> 00:20:54,500
性价比已经很低了

579
00:20:54,500 --> 00:20:55,760
你要做空

580
00:20:55,760 --> 00:20:57,860
等他和我们下一轮

581
00:20:57,860 --> 00:20:59,340
打上去打完之后

582
00:20:59,340 --> 00:21:00,500
他破不了钱高

583
00:21:00,500 --> 00:21:01,520
你做空

584
00:21:01,520 --> 00:21:01,880
好吧

585
00:21:01,880 --> 00:21:02,960
现阶段不要做空

586
00:21:02,960 --> 00:21:04,000
没有意义

587
00:21:04,000 --> 00:21:05,800
基本就是这样一个情况了

588
00:21:05,800 --> 00:21:08,200
然后二线光什么的

589
00:21:08,200 --> 00:21:09,660
这种光线什么的

590
00:21:09,660 --> 00:21:10,780
我们这一波不看

591
00:21:10,780 --> 00:21:12,560
我们这一波反弹

592
00:21:12,560 --> 00:21:15,920
我们只看我们的国产的GPU

593
00:21:15,920 --> 00:21:18,680
然后超级点和GPU是同步的

594
00:21:18,680 --> 00:21:19,620
但因为超级点

595
00:21:19,620 --> 00:21:20,900
它表现很强

596
00:21:20,900 --> 00:21:22,000
有些超级点

597
00:21:22,000 --> 00:21:23,360
已经创新高了

598
00:21:23,360 --> 00:21:26,180
那你整个周期就跟着去做

599
00:21:26,180 --> 00:21:27,000
好吧

600
00:21:27,000 --> 00:21:27,940
但超级点

601
00:21:27,940 --> 00:21:29,940
它也有可能是会患者长的

602
00:21:29,940 --> 00:21:31,520
是有可能会患者长的

603
00:21:31,520 --> 00:21:32,660
因为短线

604
00:21:32,660 --> 00:21:34,040
今天我们能看见

605
00:21:34,040 --> 00:21:34,580
对吧

606
00:21:34,580 --> 00:21:36,120
有些短线已经死了

607
00:21:36,120 --> 00:21:39,160
就看有没有人在这上面去参与了

608
00:21:39,160 --> 00:21:39,980
就是抱团

609
00:21:39,980 --> 00:21:42,580
他们有可能会抱团超级点

610
00:21:42,580 --> 00:21:43,600
但我不知道

611
00:21:43,600 --> 00:21:44,460
我不清楚

612
00:21:44,460 --> 00:21:46,680
我没有下百分百的定论

613
00:21:46,680 --> 00:21:48,360
你们如果去干这种东西

614
00:21:48,360 --> 00:21:49,300
到时候被埋了

615
00:21:49,300 --> 00:21:50,620
别来找我

616
00:21:50,620 --> 00:21:50,900
好吧

617
00:21:52,000 --> 00:21:53,000
我不清楚

618
00:21:53,000 --> 00:21:54,280
好

619
00:21:54,280 --> 00:21:57,460
今天基本上就把我们最近好吧

620
00:21:57,460 --> 00:21:59,020
要做的东西要干嘛的

621
00:21:59,020 --> 00:22:00,360
基本也都给你们说了吧

622
00:22:00,360 --> 00:22:02,440
也都说明白了

623
00:22:02,440 --> 00:22:02,920
对吧

624
00:22:02,920 --> 00:22:04,100
我这些动态

625
00:22:04,100 --> 00:22:06,720
你们多翻一翻

626
00:22:06,720 --> 00:22:10,100
把资料好好的去整理一下

627
00:22:10,100 --> 00:22:11,160
很关键的

628
00:22:11,160 --> 00:22:12,220
很关键的

629
00:22:12,220 --> 00:22:14,000
时间证明不了光模块

630
00:22:14,000 --> 00:22:14,640
对吧

631
00:22:14,640 --> 00:22:16,340
这东西说很久了

632
00:22:16,340 --> 00:22:16,920
来吧

633
00:22:16,920 --> 00:22:18,240
把昨天没改完的作业

634
00:22:18,240 --> 00:22:19,160
我们改一下

635
00:22:19,160 --> 00:22:20,040
我们来看一下

636
00:22:20,040 --> 00:22:21,960
因为他们是我们在上周

637
00:22:21,960 --> 00:22:22,760
不光是规避

638
00:22:22,760 --> 00:22:25,880
我们就说从18号开始

639
00:22:25,880 --> 00:22:27,360
19号开始

640
00:22:27,360 --> 00:22:29,440
我们一直在做一个动作

641
00:22:29,440 --> 00:22:32,400
就是我们要去观察后面起行情之后

642
00:22:32,400 --> 00:22:33,640
我们要做什么

643
00:22:33,640 --> 00:22:37,480
这些东西都是在今天出现过的

644
00:22:37,480 --> 00:22:38,960
十年期国债又飙了

645
00:22:38,960 --> 00:22:39,320
是吧

646
00:22:39,320 --> 00:22:39,900
又飙了

647
00:22:41,240 --> 00:22:43,560
那有可能明天跌是好事

648
00:22:43,560 --> 00:22:44,480
明天跌是好事

649
00:22:44,480 --> 00:22:46,040
十年期国债飙的话

650
00:22:46,040 --> 00:22:47,460
明天跌是好事

651
00:22:47,460 --> 00:22:50,340
反而明天上涨其实不是好事

652
00:22:50,340 --> 00:22:51,940
明天跌下来是好事

653
00:22:51,960 --> 00:22:53,440
那你跌下来你就做倒替

654
00:22:53,440 --> 00:22:54,440
对吧

655
00:22:54,440 --> 00:22:56,000
就跌下来就做倒替

656
00:22:56,000 --> 00:22:57,000
无所谓的

657
00:22:57,000 --> 00:22:59,040
那所以善劣者必善等待

658
00:22:59,040 --> 00:23:00,040
就是这么个意思

659
00:23:00,040 --> 00:23:02,100
我们在卖出的那一刻开始

660
00:23:02,100 --> 00:23:05,340
我们就要去想下一次要做什么了

661
00:23:06,360 --> 00:23:08,800
那我们今天涨的这些东西

662
00:23:08,800 --> 00:23:11,940
它其实都是我们这段时间有表现过的东西

663
00:23:11,940 --> 00:23:13,080
对吧

664
00:23:13,080 --> 00:23:14,340
夜冷

665
00:23:14,340 --> 00:23:15,660
这些都是有表现过的东西

666
00:23:15,660 --> 00:23:16,680
上周二

667
00:23:16,680 --> 00:23:18,360
这是上周二一个涨天

668
00:23:18,360 --> 00:23:20,040
然后周四开的比较高

669
00:23:20,040 --> 00:23:20,960
上周二的时候

670
00:23:20,960 --> 00:23:21,240
对吧

671
00:23:21,960 --> 00:23:23,820
我们也是开始抄底的时候

672
00:23:23,820 --> 00:23:24,540
对吧

673
00:23:24,540 --> 00:23:27,300
然后新瑞杰就不说了

674
00:23:27,300 --> 00:23:28,220
圣科这

675
00:23:29,520 --> 00:23:33,360
这是也是周二周三的时候有过表现

676
00:23:33,360 --> 00:23:36,000
然后今天铜罐铜箔呢

677
00:23:36,000 --> 00:23:37,680
他也是周四的时候表现

678
00:23:37,680 --> 00:23:40,740
包括今天他有一个利好嘛

679
00:23:40,740 --> 00:23:42,340
就是整个涨价了嘛

680
00:23:42,340 --> 00:23:44,100
同别同波类天涨价

681
00:23:44,100 --> 00:23:45,480
所以呢

682
00:23:45,480 --> 00:23:50,520
他们能够反复的在247天线这个位置去走

683
00:23:50,520 --> 00:23:51,740
那么能不能走起来

684
00:23:51,960 --> 00:23:53,220
包括也对吧

685
00:23:53,220 --> 00:23:55,860
那他如果再往下走的话

686
00:23:55,860 --> 00:23:58,780
基本上就是走出比较好的趋势了嘛

687
00:23:58,780 --> 00:24:00,460
走出比较好的趋势情况下

688
00:24:00,460 --> 00:24:02,900
我们后面大盘涨的情况下

689
00:24:02,900 --> 00:24:04,300
这些东西都会有表现

690
00:24:04,300 --> 00:24:07,460
但是他们涨到什么时候涨多高

691
00:24:07,460 --> 00:24:08,660
不太好测算

692
00:24:08,660 --> 00:24:11,380
这种东西对我来讲是好测算的

693
00:24:11,380 --> 00:24:13,480
我知道他这一波能涨到多高

694
00:24:13,480 --> 00:24:15,620
并且对我而言

695
00:24:15,620 --> 00:24:18,540
他从底部再上去整个空间是很大

696
00:24:18,540 --> 00:24:19,540
因为已经涨20%

697
00:24:19,540 --> 00:24:20,540
他还有20%空间

698
00:24:20,540 --> 00:24:21,160
对我来讲

699
00:24:21,160 --> 00:24:21,540
这一波是20%空间的空间

700
00:24:21,540 --> 00:24:21,940
所以他能涨到多少

701
00:24:21,940 --> 00:24:22,780
可能40%一个空间

702
00:24:22,780 --> 00:24:24,080
对我来讲已经够大了

703
00:24:24,080 --> 00:24:26,980
所以我去找的确定性相对来讲

704
00:24:26,980 --> 00:24:28,120
对我更高的东西

705
00:24:28,120 --> 00:24:30,560
这就是我观察到的猎物

706
00:24:30,560 --> 00:24:33,080
这些方式方法我都是教给你们的

707
00:24:33,080 --> 00:24:35,520
所以你们在卖出的那一刻

708
00:24:35,520 --> 00:24:37,120
你们就要去找你们的猎物

709
00:24:37,120 --> 00:24:37,960
对吧

710
00:24:37,960 --> 00:24:39,840
善猎者必善等待

711
00:24:39,840 --> 00:24:41,520
善猎者必善等待

712
00:24:41,520 --> 00:24:43,340
不是让你光等

713
00:24:43,340 --> 00:24:45,720
你要去找你的猎物

714
00:24:45,720 --> 00:24:47,380
然后等你的猎物

715
00:24:47,380 --> 00:24:48,620
这个胜率很高

716
00:24:48,620 --> 00:24:50,440
这个胜率很高

717
00:24:50,440 --> 00:24:51,480
胜率很高

718
00:24:51,480 --> 00:24:51,840
但是

719
00:24:51,940 --> 00:24:53,740
盈利不是很好

720
00:24:53,740 --> 00:24:54,140
对吧

721
00:24:54,140 --> 00:24:54,980
11%

722
00:24:54,980 --> 00:24:57,580
今天再赚一点15%

723
00:24:57,580 --> 00:24:58,220
还可以

724
00:24:58,220 --> 00:25:00,380
没有问题

725
00:25:00,380 --> 00:25:02,200
这三天

726
00:25:02,200 --> 00:25:05,100
这三天是将近五个点

727
00:25:05,100 --> 00:25:06,500
还有两个点

728
00:25:06,500 --> 00:25:06,980
差不多

729
00:25:06,980 --> 00:25:07,680
OK

730
00:25:07,680 --> 00:25:09,200
没有问题

731
00:25:09,200 --> 00:25:11,020
如果这一天能再规避掉

732
00:25:11,020 --> 00:25:13,600
那就是八个多点收益

733
00:25:13,600 --> 00:25:14,660
八个多点收益

734
00:25:14,660 --> 00:25:15,520
OK

735
00:25:15,520 --> 00:25:16,160
及格的

736
00:25:16,160 --> 00:25:16,720
好吧

737
00:25:16,720 --> 00:25:17,360
没有问题

738
00:25:17,360 --> 00:25:18,000
及格的

739
00:25:18,000 --> 00:25:19,980
这个户要相对来讲

740
00:25:19,980 --> 00:25:20,880
要好一点

741
00:25:20,880 --> 00:25:21,520
嗯

742
00:25:21,940 --> 00:25:23,420
这个收益就要高一点

743
00:25:23,420 --> 00:25:24,880
看着OK没问题好吧

744
00:25:24,880 --> 00:25:25,700
问题不大

745
00:25:25,700 --> 00:25:27,440
这是14%

746
00:25:27,440 --> 00:25:29,120
14%可以吗

747
00:25:29,120 --> 00:25:34,660
14%这两天就是将近4.77

748
00:25:34,660 --> 00:25:35,500
嗯

749
00:25:35,500 --> 00:25:36,460
这就三个点

750
00:25:36,460 --> 00:25:37,380
三个点

751
00:25:37,380 --> 00:25:38,420
OK14

752
00:25:38,420 --> 00:25:40,380
然后今天再赚一点几点

753
00:25:40,380 --> 00:25:43,100
可能20甚至有可能会20个点收益

754
00:25:43,100 --> 00:25:43,460
对吧

755
00:25:43,460 --> 00:25:44,180
还可以

756
00:25:44,180 --> 00:25:44,820
没有问题

757
00:25:44,820 --> 00:25:45,700
没有问题

758
00:25:45,700 --> 00:25:46,780
宣发财

759
00:25:46,780 --> 00:25:50,580
我还以为你这个月可能做的不是太好

760
00:25:50,580 --> 00:25:51,780
没想到还可以

761
00:25:51,780 --> 00:25:53,300
那你们都是装堂高手

762
00:25:53,300 --> 00:25:55,340
都装堂

763
00:25:55,340 --> 00:25:56,500
这个蛮好的嘛

764
00:25:56,500 --> 00:25:58,100
这个挺好的

765
00:25:58,100 --> 00:26:03,420
6.25对6.25对你的整个收益率来讲就OK了

766
00:26:03,420 --> 00:26:04,920
但盈亏比不是很好

767
00:26:04,920 --> 00:26:06,180
盈亏比不是很好

768
00:26:06,180 --> 00:26:07,620
那是仓位没上上去

769
00:26:07,620 --> 00:26:09,560
还是开超市开太厉害的吧

770
00:26:09,560 --> 00:26:11,540
那就是把你收益提上来吗

771
00:26:11,540 --> 00:26:13,160
盈亏比其实不太好做的

772
00:26:13,160 --> 00:26:15,000
你对于你们大多数人来讲

773
00:26:15,000 --> 00:26:16,980
胜率和收益反而是很好

774
00:26:16,980 --> 00:26:21,220
比较好做盈亏比是不太容易的一件事情

775
00:26:21,220 --> 00:26:26,060
因为盈亏比对于找节点来讲会比较难一点

776
00:26:27,060 --> 00:26:28,300
所以我给你讲

777
00:26:28,300 --> 00:26:30,580
就是你们尽量不要分太多的仓位

778
00:26:31,580 --> 00:26:31,860
好吧

779
00:26:31,860 --> 00:26:33,420
你们尽量不要分太多仓位

780
00:26:34,380 --> 00:26:38,180
你还是要去拿技术去做替的

781
00:26:38,180 --> 00:26:40,020
那我教你们的方法去做替

782
00:26:40,020 --> 00:26:43,140
做替你如果本身资金可能也不是很多

783
00:26:43,140 --> 00:26:44,900
然后时间也不是很充足

784
00:26:44,900 --> 00:26:46,260
你做实质票

785
00:26:46,260 --> 00:26:47,540
你一下做替做实质票

786
00:26:47,540 --> 00:26:48,260
你做得过来吗

787
00:26:48,260 --> 00:26:49,020
你做不过来的呀

788
00:26:50,300 --> 00:26:51,020
我都没办法做实质票

789
00:26:51,220 --> 00:26:56,900
所以我建议你们去控制在两三支票就OK了

790
00:26:56,900 --> 00:26:58,100
这个胜率不够

791
00:26:58,100 --> 00:26:59,740
这个胜率比较低

792
00:26:59,740 --> 00:27:01,340
胜率比较低

793
00:27:01,340 --> 00:27:04,020
盈亏比做的也不是很好

794
00:27:04,020 --> 00:27:06,900
5.21

795
00:27:06,900 --> 00:27:09,380
那你其实要小心一点了

796
00:27:09,380 --> 00:27:11,180
31号的话再赚一点

797
00:27:11,180 --> 00:27:15,340
那你可能这个月能有个5个点10个点收益

798
00:27:15,340 --> 00:27:15,580
对吧

799
00:27:15,580 --> 00:27:17,260
你可能今天看看情况

800
00:27:17,260 --> 00:27:19,900
今天如果赚多的话还是蛮多的

801
00:27:19,900 --> 00:27:20,740
那你就

802
00:27:20,740 --> 00:27:22,700
因为你胜率不高的情况下

803
00:27:22,700 --> 00:27:24,820
你整个盈亏比也不高

804
00:27:24,820 --> 00:27:27,300
那就说明你在择时上面有点问题

805
00:27:27,300 --> 00:27:28,780
择时上面有点问题

806
00:27:28,780 --> 00:27:31,060
那你要下点功夫的

807
00:27:31,060 --> 00:27:32,260
你要下点功夫的

808
00:27:33,380 --> 00:27:34,300
26级

809
00:27:35,420 --> 00:27:36,020
26级

810
00:27:36,020 --> 00:27:37,860
你要在股市上面多下点功夫

811
00:27:37,860 --> 00:27:38,620
好吧

812
00:27:38,620 --> 00:27:41,900
这个胜率一般盈亏比也不好

813
00:27:41,900 --> 00:27:43,300
收益也不高

814
00:27:43,300 --> 00:27:44,540
-1.69

815
00:27:44,540 --> 00:27:45,220
就这个样子

816
00:27:46,180 --> 00:27:48,380
这就有点难受了

817
00:27:48,380 --> 00:27:50,580
那我建议你尽量去做ETF吧

818
00:27:50,740 --> 00:27:54,260
就是先慢慢做ETF

819
00:27:54,260 --> 00:27:57,180
慢慢来开超市来着

820
00:27:57,180 --> 00:27:58,100
两个账户是吧

821
00:27:58,100 --> 00:27:59,260
这个不太行

822
00:27:59,260 --> 00:28:00,620
负的是主账户

823
00:28:00,620 --> 00:28:03,060
就这个你做的要好一点是吧

824
00:28:03,060 --> 00:28:05,940
对胜率就比这个要好

825
00:28:05,940 --> 00:28:08,900
那是为什么原因呢

826
00:28:08,900 --> 00:28:10,140
开超市是吧

827
00:28:10,140 --> 00:28:12,300
开超市但是没有开好

828
00:28:12,300 --> 00:28:15,060
然后我觉得你也没有

829
00:28:15,060 --> 00:28:16,260
因为你收益不高

830
00:28:16,260 --> 00:28:18,980
收益不高是做个股是吧

831
00:28:18,980 --> 00:28:19,460
做个股

832
00:28:19,460 --> 00:28:20,380
你也是开好

833
00:28:20,380 --> 00:28:21,900
两个都是开超市

834
00:28:22,740 --> 00:28:24,340
但这个胜率就要高一点

835
00:28:25,740 --> 00:28:26,660
你如果开超市

836
00:28:26,660 --> 00:28:29,180
你胜率这个胜率肯定是太低了

837
00:28:29,180 --> 00:28:31,620
胜率开超市肯定是不够的

838
00:28:31,620 --> 00:28:33,180
是7.45

839
00:28:33,180 --> 00:28:35,340
可以像这种胜率就够的

840
00:28:35,340 --> 00:28:37,740
这种收益肯定也是开超市的

841
00:28:37,740 --> 00:28:39,780
但这种胜率就够了

842
00:28:39,780 --> 00:28:41,060
对吧

843
00:28:41,060 --> 00:28:43,180
你基本上能吃到

844
00:28:43,180 --> 00:28:45,180
也不说开超市

845
00:28:45,180 --> 00:28:48,460
就是没有像你们开的那么厉害

846
00:28:48,460 --> 00:28:50,340
这个应该是没你了

847
00:28:50,380 --> 00:28:52,380
你们开的那么厉害的

848
00:28:52,380 --> 00:28:54,340
所以这个约17.45

849
00:28:54,340 --> 00:28:55,660
ok的没问题

850
00:28:55,660 --> 00:28:56,660
胜率也可以

851
00:28:56,660 --> 00:28:58,260
胜率也可以

852
00:28:58,260 --> 00:29:00,940
该赚钱的时候也都能赚到一些

853
00:29:00,940 --> 00:29:02,140
那你想提高的话

854
00:29:02,140 --> 00:29:03,500
其实就是仓位

855
00:29:03,500 --> 00:29:05,340
仓位控制一下

856
00:29:05,340 --> 00:29:07,700
就是就比如说你现在买四个票

857
00:29:07,700 --> 00:29:07,940
对吧

858
00:29:07,940 --> 00:29:09,780
你集中到两个票或者怎么样

859
00:29:09,780 --> 00:29:11,060
怎样

860
00:29:11,060 --> 00:29:12,260
都这个样子的

861
00:29:12,260 --> 00:29:14,940
对这个胜率就要相对来讲更高一点

862
00:29:14,940 --> 00:29:18,740
就两个人胜率差不多

863
00:29:18,740 --> 00:29:20,340
差不多两个胜率是一样的

864
00:29:20,380 --> 00:29:21,740
两个胜率是一样的

865
00:29:21,740 --> 00:29:23,220
两个胜率是一样的

866
00:29:23,220 --> 00:29:27,060
但他的有几天的收益会比你高一点

867
00:29:27,060 --> 00:29:27,620
对吧

868
00:29:27,620 --> 00:29:29,940
4号5号收益就要比你高一点

869
00:29:29,940 --> 00:29:31,340
所以差距就在这里

870
00:29:31,340 --> 00:29:32,660
你们俩胜率是一样的

871
00:29:32,660 --> 00:29:34,260
所以就收益率的问题

872
00:29:34,260 --> 00:29:35,220
对

873
00:29:35,220 --> 00:29:37,140
所以你如果这种收益的话

874
00:29:37,140 --> 00:29:38,860
这几天不应该亏这么多

875
00:29:38,860 --> 00:29:41,140
就还是仓位的情况

876
00:29:41,140 --> 00:29:42,780
如果你这几天就亏这么多

877
00:29:42,780 --> 00:29:43,620
的话

878
00:29:43,620 --> 00:29:47,500
你这两天应该要赚更多才合适

879
00:29:47,500 --> 00:29:50,140
但是能卡我住也还行吧

880
00:29:50,140 --> 00:29:53,460
合理反正就及格

881
00:29:54,220 --> 00:29:58,580
但你这个胜率可以再稍微把收益再做高一点

882
00:29:58,580 --> 00:30:01,020
再做高个三五个点

883
00:30:01,020 --> 00:30:01,860
我觉得是ok的

884
00:30:01,860 --> 00:30:02,860
没有问题

885
00:30:02,860 --> 00:30:03,980
这个就胜率不够

886
00:30:04,740 --> 00:30:06,100
胜率不够

887
00:30:06,100 --> 00:30:07,700
这个胜率只有40%

888
00:30:08,420 --> 00:30:10,100
胜率40%

889
00:30:10,100 --> 00:30:11,820
然后盈亏比不够

890
00:30:11,820 --> 00:30:14,300
收益凑合做个股的是吧

891
00:30:14,300 --> 00:30:15,180
做个股

892
00:30:15,180 --> 00:30:18,580
反正你们如果这个月亏钱了

893
00:30:18,580 --> 00:30:19,780
我建议

894
00:30:20,140 --> 00:30:22,020
就你们把周一的视频好好看

895
00:30:22,020 --> 00:30:25,260
然后把技术课好好去学

896
00:30:25,260 --> 00:30:26,540
花点时间

897
00:30:26,540 --> 00:30:27,580
错上加错

898
00:30:27,580 --> 00:30:29,420
长飞跌两天把他洗出去了

899
00:30:29,420 --> 00:30:30,380
不然还好

900
00:30:30,380 --> 00:30:32,780
对你们把技术课多看

901
00:30:32,780 --> 00:30:33,700
好吧

902
00:30:33,700 --> 00:30:36,260
周一的视频复盘视频多看

903
00:30:36,260 --> 00:30:37,260
不要做股票

904
00:30:37,260 --> 00:30:38,980
不要太随心所欲了

905
00:30:38,980 --> 00:30:40,100
九个点

906
00:30:40,100 --> 00:30:42,780
7.5

907
00:30:42,780 --> 00:30:45,900
但这两天整个盈亏比就很差

908
00:30:45,900 --> 00:30:46,180
对吧

909
00:30:46,180 --> 00:30:48,580
基本上这个盈亏比就不好

910
00:30:48,580 --> 00:30:50,100
导致你胜率还行

911
00:30:50,140 --> 00:30:51,660
胜率还凑合

912
00:30:51,660 --> 00:30:53,460
然后盈亏比的问题

913
00:30:53,460 --> 00:30:54,180
7个点

914
00:30:54,180 --> 00:30:55,260
然后今天再赚点

915
00:30:55,260 --> 00:30:56,020
可能10个点

916
00:30:56,020 --> 00:30:56,780
还行

917
00:30:56,780 --> 00:30:58,340
及格好吧

918
00:30:58,340 --> 00:30:59,260
及格

919
00:30:59,260 --> 00:31:02,100
这个跟股票跟选股没有问题

920
00:31:02,100 --> 00:31:03,980
因为你的盈利并不高

921
00:31:03,980 --> 00:31:05,340
对吧

922
00:31:05,340 --> 00:31:06,100
你盈利并不高

923
00:31:06,100 --> 00:31:06,860
亏损也不高

924
00:31:06,860 --> 00:31:09,300
说明你是分了好几个仓的

925
00:31:09,300 --> 00:31:10,500
对吧

926
00:31:10,500 --> 00:31:11,780
你是开了超市了

927
00:31:11,780 --> 00:31:13,260
开超市

928
00:31:13,260 --> 00:31:14,380
你这个胜率也不高

929
00:31:14,380 --> 00:31:16,940
你也没有满仓单调

930
00:31:16,940 --> 00:31:19,820
你如果满仓单调紫光股份

931
00:31:20,140 --> 00:31:21,620
也不是这个情况

932
00:31:21,620 --> 00:31:24,300
满仓单调紫光

933
00:31:24,300 --> 00:31:27,340
人紫光这个月的收益是11.64

934
00:31:27,340 --> 00:31:31,540
你怎么怪都没办法怪到人家紫光头上去

935
00:31:31,540 --> 00:31:32,740
对吧

936
00:31:32,740 --> 00:31:34,380
11.64是今天

937
00:31:34,380 --> 00:31:36,900
今天多了8.55

938
00:31:36,900 --> 00:31:39,620
所以紫光这个月是2点几

939
00:31:39,620 --> 00:31:39,940
对

940
00:31:39,940 --> 00:31:42,340
如果看你周五的话是2点几

941
00:31:42,340 --> 00:31:44,660
2点几的收益

942
00:31:44,660 --> 00:31:46,980
那也比你这个高

943
00:31:46,980 --> 00:31:49,060
也比你这个高

944
00:31:49,060 --> 00:31:50,100
我觉得

945
00:31:50,140 --> 00:31:51,900
因为你这个收益的话

946
00:31:51,900 --> 00:31:53,340
哪怕紫光今天

947
00:31:53,340 --> 00:31:54,620
对吧

948
00:31:54,620 --> 00:31:57,900
你从-2将近-3

949
00:31:57,900 --> 00:31:59,460
然后拉到8.53

950
00:31:59,460 --> 00:32:02,500
这将近11个点的正负

951
00:32:02,500 --> 00:32:04,900
你也吃不到11个点

952
00:32:04,900 --> 00:32:08,320
你这个收益率是今天不可能吃到11个点的

953
00:32:08,320 --> 00:32:10,940
因为你整个胜率不高

954
00:32:10,940 --> 00:32:12,540
50%的胜率

955
00:32:12,540 --> 00:32:15,460
然后收益也比较低

956
00:32:15,460 --> 00:32:17,780
盈亏比OK

957
00:32:17,780 --> 00:32:18,340
没有问题

958
00:32:18,340 --> 00:32:19,740
但收益不高

959
00:32:20,140 --> 00:32:23,340
胜率不高

960
00:32:23,340 --> 00:32:24,940
收益率就不会高

961
00:32:26,060 --> 00:32:26,900
是这个情况

962
00:32:28,260 --> 00:32:28,500
好吧

963
00:32:28,500 --> 00:32:29,380
是这个情况

964
00:32:29,380 --> 00:32:30,980
就跟紫光没有太大关系

965
00:32:30,980 --> 00:32:32,740
你如果真的选不出来股票

966
00:32:32,740 --> 00:32:37,340
或者是你特别容易受到盘中的扰乱

967
00:32:37,340 --> 00:32:38,380
那我建议

968
00:32:38,380 --> 00:32:41,020
首先你肯定是要在技术上多下功夫的

969
00:32:41,020 --> 00:32:45,420
其次你可以先从先拿ETF去做嘛

970
00:32:45,420 --> 00:32:46,180
OK吧

971
00:32:46,180 --> 00:32:47,820
盈亏比不是很好

972
00:32:47,820 --> 00:32:49,980
但因为这两天

973
00:32:50,140 --> 00:32:52,300
也就是说仓位慢慢的上去了

974
00:32:52,300 --> 00:32:52,500
是吧

975
00:32:52,500 --> 00:32:54,540
上去之后吃了两个大的

976
00:32:55,540 --> 00:32:57,300
就前面仓位没上去

977
00:32:57,300 --> 00:32:58,580
后面仓位上去

978
00:32:58,580 --> 00:32:59,820
那还是那个问题

979
00:33:00,780 --> 00:33:03,740
但后面仓位上去之后又听我的减仓了

980
00:33:03,740 --> 00:33:04,020
是吧

981
00:33:05,020 --> 00:33:06,180
嗯

982
00:33:06,180 --> 00:33:08,500
但我这回也没叫你加仓呀

983
00:33:08,500 --> 00:33:09,260
很难受

984
00:33:09,260 --> 00:33:10,260
但也还行

985
00:33:10,260 --> 00:33:11,540
18.10

986
00:33:11,540 --> 00:33:12,660
但你能优化

987
00:33:12,660 --> 00:33:13,140
能优化

988
00:33:13,140 --> 00:33:14,700
因为你胜率OK的

989
00:33:14,700 --> 00:33:16,100
你胜率蛮高的

990
00:33:16,100 --> 00:33:17,500
这个胜率是蛮高的

991
00:33:17,500 --> 00:33:18,660
胜率75%

992
00:33:18,660 --> 00:33:19,100
嗯

993
00:33:19,100 --> 00:33:19,900
挺高的

994
00:33:19,900 --> 00:33:22,340
所以你如果能把这种对吧

995
00:33:22,340 --> 00:33:23,460
这这种东西

996
00:33:23,460 --> 00:33:27,180
你前期如果就是节奏他对了的话

997
00:33:27,180 --> 00:33:30,460
你这个月应该有36个点的收益

998
00:33:30,460 --> 00:33:32,460
30-40个点收益

999
00:33:32,460 --> 00:33:34,340
因为你胜率很高

1000
00:33:34,340 --> 00:33:34,940
嗯

1001
00:33:34,940 --> 00:33:35,940
胜率很高

1002
00:33:35,940 --> 00:33:37,460
就是这一天

1003
00:33:37,460 --> 00:33:39,740
因为你这一天没减仓硬扛

1004
00:33:39,740 --> 00:33:41,060
这一天应该来讲

1005
00:33:41,060 --> 00:33:42,140
如果做好的话

1006
00:33:42,140 --> 00:33:43,980
这天收益是比较高的

1007
00:33:43,980 --> 00:33:46,860
应该能回个3-4个点

1008
00:33:46,860 --> 00:33:48,020
回3-4个点

1009
00:33:48,020 --> 00:33:49,860
27号再多赚两个点

1010
00:33:49,900 --> 00:33:53,140
这就24个点

1011
00:33:53,140 --> 00:33:55,540
然后今天再来个4-5个点

1012
00:33:55,540 --> 00:33:57,340
就20

1013
00:33:57,340 --> 00:33:58,540
27了

1014
00:33:58,540 --> 00:33:59,340
278了

1015
00:33:59,340 --> 00:33:59,740
对吧

1016
00:33:59,740 --> 00:34:01,740
这一下就不一样了

1017
00:34:01,740 --> 00:34:02,260
嗯

1018
00:34:02,260 --> 00:34:03,460
就这个样子

1019
00:34:03,460 --> 00:34:06,700
因为麦菲是很正常的事情

1020
00:34:06,700 --> 00:34:07,980
我跟你们讲

1021
00:34:07,980 --> 00:34:10,340
我我特发服务

1022
00:34:10,340 --> 00:34:11,860
我我特发服务

1023
00:34:11,860 --> 00:34:13,820
周二我走掉了

1024
00:34:13,820 --> 00:34:15,540
我特发周二走了

1025
00:34:15,540 --> 00:34:17,780
因为这一天我肯定是要走的

1026
00:34:17,780 --> 00:34:19,860
我周三我肯定是要走的

1027
00:34:19,900 --> 00:34:22,020
然后周二哪怕周二不走

1028
00:34:22,020 --> 00:34:23,140
我周三肯定也要走

1029
00:34:23,140 --> 00:34:23,420
好

1030
00:34:23,420 --> 00:34:24,660
你走掉的就对吧

1031
00:34:24,660 --> 00:34:26,820
这多少2 6 8

1032
00:34:26,820 --> 00:34:27,260
好

1033
00:34:27,260 --> 00:34:27,860
20

1034
00:34:27,860 --> 00:34:29,220
这就30个点

1035
00:34:29,220 --> 00:34:31,700
这东西我肯定早上卖掉

1036
00:34:32,060 --> 00:34:32,940
早上卖掉

1037
00:34:32,940 --> 00:34:34,460
然后我们再去抄底

1038
00:34:34,460 --> 00:34:35,940
你算一下这多少点

1039
00:34:35,940 --> 00:34:36,340
对吧

1040
00:34:36,340 --> 00:34:38,140
你麦菲是很正常的事情

1041
00:34:38,140 --> 00:34:39,740
不用担心麦菲

1042
00:34:39,740 --> 00:34:41,060
麦菲是很正常的事情

1043
00:34:41,060 --> 00:34:41,820
太正常了

1044
00:34:41,820 --> 00:34:44,260
我天你做交易一定会麦菲的

1045
00:34:44,260 --> 00:34:44,620
好吧

1046
00:34:44,620 --> 00:34:46,180
不要去想太多

1047
00:34:46,180 --> 00:34:49,860
就是你要去把你该赚到的钱

1048
00:34:49,860 --> 00:34:50,820
你要赚的

1049
00:34:50,820 --> 00:34:51,860
该赚到的钱对吧

1050
00:34:51,860 --> 00:34:55,100
4号5号27号31号

1051
00:34:55,100 --> 00:34:57,100
然后14 17

1052
00:34:58,100 --> 00:35:00,140
这我们这个月你应该能赚到

1053
00:35:00,140 --> 00:35:04,100
并且你是能够相对应赚点大钱的时候

1054
00:35:04,100 --> 00:35:05,820
你把这种节点吃到

1055
00:35:05,820 --> 00:35:07,500
你收益就不会差的

1056
00:35:07,500 --> 00:35:09,860
所以21号又亏了

1057
00:35:09,860 --> 00:35:12,700
21号还亏的有点多

1058
00:35:12,700 --> 00:35:13,660
减仓减碗了

1059
00:35:13,660 --> 00:35:13,940
对吧

1060
00:35:13,940 --> 00:35:15,540
24号25号才开始减

1061
00:35:15,540 --> 00:35:18,740
如果这一天去掉

1062
00:35:18,740 --> 00:35:19,700
那你就是

1063
00:35:19,860 --> 00:35:21,620
9个点的收益

1064
00:35:21,620 --> 00:35:23,700
那你这个月9个点

1065
00:35:23,700 --> 00:35:25,340
你再加31号

1066
00:35:25,340 --> 00:35:26,780
你再赚个三五个点

1067
00:35:26,780 --> 00:35:28,820
那你十二三个点了

1068
00:35:28,820 --> 00:35:30,920
就将近翻倍了

1069
00:35:30,920 --> 00:35:31,940
对吧

1070
00:35:31,940 --> 00:35:33,680
是不是这个意思

1071
00:35:33,680 --> 00:35:36,680
所以这两个优化一下

1072
00:35:36,680 --> 00:35:39,840
因为你的胜率相对来讲

1073
00:35:39,840 --> 00:35:41,740
50%不是很高

1074
00:35:41,740 --> 00:35:43,460
但你的收益还不错

1075
00:35:43,460 --> 00:35:44,740
那你就要去

1076
00:35:44,740 --> 00:35:48,580
你只需用把你的胜率提高一天到两天

1077
00:35:48,580 --> 00:35:49,540
也就是说

1078
00:35:49,860 --> 00:35:54,220
把你的胜率提高一成到两成的胜率

1079
00:35:54,220 --> 00:35:56,300
你的收益会翻倍

1080
00:35:56,300 --> 00:35:57,720
你的收益会翻倍

1081
00:35:57,720 --> 00:35:59,320
因为你收益已经可以

1082
00:35:59,320 --> 00:36:00,540
你这个收益已经可以

1083
00:36:00,540 --> 00:36:03,140
你下面就是去提高胜率

1084
00:36:03,140 --> 00:36:05,840
提高胜率就是该空的时候就要空

1085
00:36:05,840 --> 00:36:07,080
你要有主动意识

1086
00:36:07,080 --> 00:36:08,580
能不做的时候就不做

1087
00:36:08,580 --> 00:36:09,400
好吧

1088
00:36:09,400 --> 00:36:10,840
能不做的时候就不做

1089
00:36:10,840 --> 00:36:14,220
这几天能cover掉19号

1090
00:36:14,220 --> 00:36:16,120
然后该赚钱的赚了

1091
00:36:16,120 --> 00:36:18,140
虽然说4号5号没有赚太多

1092
00:36:18,140 --> 00:36:19,700
但是你能够做到19号了

1093
00:36:19,700 --> 00:36:21,620
你24号25号又亏掉

1094
00:36:21,620 --> 00:36:23,020
又亏掉有点多

1095
00:36:23,020 --> 00:36:28,940
这样算下来胜率好像60%

1096
00:36:28,940 --> 00:36:31,420
胜率凑合

1097
00:36:31,420 --> 00:36:34,220
但是你这种盈亏比做的不好

1098
00:36:34,220 --> 00:36:35,740
收益5.39

1099
00:36:35,740 --> 00:36:37,900
是这个样子

1100
00:36:37,900 --> 00:36:38,980
盈亏比做的不好

1101
00:36:38,980 --> 00:36:40,740
胜率凑合盈亏比做的不好

1102
00:36:40,740 --> 00:36:42,620
这两天都可惜

1103
00:36:42,620 --> 00:36:43,620
你要能减掉

1104
00:36:44,620 --> 00:36:46,260
你这就10个点收益了

1105
00:36:46,260 --> 00:36:47,380
11个点收益了

1106
00:36:48,500 --> 00:36:49,680
然后31号再赚一半了

1107
00:36:49,700 --> 00:36:51,220
15个点收益了

1108
00:36:51,220 --> 00:36:51,880
三倍

1109
00:36:51,880 --> 00:36:53,140
对吧

1110
00:36:53,140 --> 00:36:55,060
你今天重新发过

1111
00:36:55,060 --> 00:36:55,340
对吧

1112
00:36:55,340 --> 00:36:56,100
重新发过

1113
00:36:56,100 --> 00:36:56,980
你现在挣了8个点

1114
00:36:56,980 --> 00:36:58,320
你看你多可惜

1115
00:36:58,320 --> 00:36:59,480
你今天挣了8个点

1116
00:36:59,480 --> 00:37:02,160
然后你再把这两天去掉

1117
00:37:02,160 --> 00:37:03,080
这6个点

1118
00:37:03,080 --> 00:37:05,540
这就14个点

1119
00:37:05,540 --> 00:37:06,880
你这个有可能

1120
00:37:06,880 --> 00:37:08,560
有可能能做到20个点收益

1121
00:37:08,560 --> 00:37:09,680
就这种时候

1122
00:37:09,680 --> 00:37:12,020
不该亏大钱的时候

1123
00:37:12,020 --> 00:37:13,000
一定不要去亏

1124
00:37:13,000 --> 00:37:14,940
因为你通过模式交易

1125
00:37:14,940 --> 00:37:16,520
你是能够去规避

1126
00:37:16,520 --> 00:37:18,740
没有必要亏掉的大钱的

1127
00:37:18,740 --> 00:37:21,120
它有可能会让你卖飞

1128
00:37:21,120 --> 00:37:22,680
没有让你赚到大钱

1129
00:37:22,680 --> 00:37:25,840
但是一定会让你规避掉

1130
00:37:25,840 --> 00:37:28,000
你有可能亏掉的大钱

1131
00:37:28,000 --> 00:37:28,560
懂吧

1132
00:37:28,560 --> 00:37:30,660
我在7月8月这两个月

1133
00:37:30,660 --> 00:37:31,940
主要给你们讲的

1134
00:37:31,940 --> 00:37:33,160
其实就是模式交易

1135
00:37:33,160 --> 00:37:36,800
我们就是要根据模式去交易

1136
00:37:36,800 --> 00:37:38,180
能做的时候做

1137
00:37:38,180 --> 00:37:39,300
不能做的时候不做

1138
00:37:39,300 --> 00:37:40,380
好吧

1139
00:37:40,380 --> 00:37:42,700
这很重要的

1140
00:37:42,700 --> 00:37:44,120
胜率50%

1141
00:37:44,120 --> 00:37:45,180
胜率50%

1142
00:37:45,180 --> 00:37:47,080
基本上这个月的收益

1143
00:37:47,080 --> 00:37:48,580
就是10号到17号的时候了

1144
00:37:48,580 --> 00:37:49,220
收益了

1145
00:37:49,220 --> 00:37:50,660
这加起来差不多

1146
00:37:50,660 --> 00:37:52,360
就是6个多点

1147
00:37:52,360 --> 00:37:53,600
6个点差不多

1148
00:37:53,600 --> 00:37:56,860
然后再加上31号来一个10个点

1149
00:37:56,860 --> 00:37:57,640
OK

1150
00:37:57,640 --> 00:37:58,440
及格

1151
00:37:58,440 --> 00:37:59,640
合理

1152
00:37:59,640 --> 00:38:00,020
好吧

1153
00:38:00,020 --> 00:38:01,700
合理

1154
00:38:01,700 --> 00:38:02,840
9.29

1155
00:38:02,840 --> 00:38:04,300
60%胜率

1156
00:38:04,300 --> 00:38:07,400
第一周这第一周就很舒服

1157
00:38:07,400 --> 00:38:10,480
但后面11号亏的有点多

1158
00:38:10,480 --> 00:38:11,540
11号24号

1159
00:38:11,540 --> 00:38:13,220
11号24号

1160
00:38:13,220 --> 00:38:15,860
这两天就10个点了

1161
00:38:15,860 --> 00:38:17,740
10个点多一点

1162
00:38:17,740 --> 00:38:18,160
对吧

1163
00:38:18,160 --> 00:38:18,560
10个点

1164
00:38:18,580 --> 00:38:22,360
不然你这个月是不是能做到20个点以上

1165
00:38:22,360 --> 00:38:24,160
有点可惜

1166
00:38:24,160 --> 00:38:24,560
好吧

1167
00:38:24,560 --> 00:38:25,200
有点可惜

1168
00:38:25,200 --> 00:38:26,180
有点可惜

1169
00:38:26,180 --> 00:38:29,660
这跟日类买卖点没有太大问题的

1170
00:38:29,660 --> 00:38:32,340
你们老是觉得跟日类有关系

1171
00:38:32,340 --> 00:38:34,060
跟日类没有那么大关系

1172
00:38:34,060 --> 00:38:38,360
你们老是想把自己的技术提高在没有意义的事情上面

1173
00:38:38,360 --> 00:38:42,600
你们老是想着日类能够高买低卖

1174
00:38:42,600 --> 00:38:43,360
能够对吧

1175
00:38:43,360 --> 00:38:45,100
做到非常好的

1176
00:38:45,100 --> 00:38:46,360
不现实

1177
00:38:46,360 --> 00:38:46,940
你日类

1178
00:38:46,940 --> 00:38:48,560
如果你能把日类做好

1179
00:38:48,580 --> 00:38:52,120
你每天哪怕做出1%的差价

1180
00:38:52,120 --> 00:38:54,160
你一年下来

1181
00:38:54,160 --> 00:38:57,780
这个收益会非常非常非常非常的夸张

1182
00:38:57,780 --> 00:39:01,100
这本身就不是一件现实的事情

1183
00:39:01,100 --> 00:39:03,320
每天1%的收益

1184
00:39:03,320 --> 00:39:03,880
对吧

1185
00:39:03,880 --> 00:39:05,120
你做1%的差价

1186
00:39:05,120 --> 00:39:08,000
你250个交易日

1187
00:39:08,000 --> 00:39:09,560
一年有250

1188
00:39:09,560 --> 00:39:10,760
可能没有对吧

1189
00:39:10,760 --> 00:39:11,240
可能没有

1190
00:39:11,240 --> 00:39:12,160
但差不太多

1191
00:39:12,160 --> 00:39:14,300
你一年下来12倍

1192
00:39:14,300 --> 00:39:15,860
你两年下来是多少

1193
00:39:15,860 --> 00:39:17,820
想过这个问题吗

1194
00:39:17,820 --> 00:39:18,560
你两年下来是多少

1195
00:39:18,580 --> 00:39:19,280
下来100多倍

1196
00:39:19,280 --> 00:39:22,760
你们老是去纠结于日类

1197
00:39:22,760 --> 00:39:26,640
日类是不可能会做到完美的

1198
00:39:26,640 --> 00:39:28,260
不要去想这种事情

1199
00:39:28,260 --> 00:39:30,760
跟日类没有任何关系

1200
00:39:30,760 --> 00:39:31,900
你股票做的好不好

1201
00:39:31,900 --> 00:39:33,220
跟你买卖点

1202
00:39:33,220 --> 00:39:35,600
没有那么大的关系

1203
00:39:35,600 --> 00:39:37,560
你日类的追高

1204
00:39:37,560 --> 00:39:39,180
那种东西跟你有关系

1205
00:39:39,180 --> 00:39:44,060
但是你想通过日类的非常好的买点和卖点

1206
00:39:44,060 --> 00:39:47,100
去把你这一年的收益

1207
00:39:47,100 --> 00:39:48,560
拿出来的收益

1208
00:39:48,580 --> 00:39:50,520
这个难度是很大的

1209
00:39:50,520 --> 00:39:53,740
因此我跟你们讲的都是

1210
00:39:53,740 --> 00:39:55,640
不是分时图这样的东西

1211
00:39:55,640 --> 00:39:58,120
我跟你们讲的都是周期上的东西

1212
00:39:58,120 --> 00:39:58,480
对吧

1213
00:39:58,480 --> 00:39:59,760
时间周期上的东西

1214
00:39:59,940 --> 00:40:02,420
这是相对来讲比较容易掌握

1215
00:40:02,420 --> 00:40:05,560
且能够对你们真正有帮助的

1216
00:40:05,560 --> 00:40:07,020
这是个股选手

1217
00:40:07,020 --> 00:40:09,240
个股选手是个股的话

1218
00:40:09,240 --> 00:40:10,300
胜率60

1219
00:40:10,300 --> 00:40:10,860
OK

1220
00:40:10,860 --> 00:40:11,720
没有问题

1221
00:40:11,720 --> 00:40:15,820
但是0亏比不太好

1222
00:40:15,820 --> 00:40:17,840
0亏比不太好

1223
00:40:17,840 --> 00:40:18,880
2.88

1224
00:40:18,880 --> 00:40:20,660
主要就这两天

1225
00:40:20,660 --> 00:40:21,840
这两天亏太多了

1226
00:40:21,840 --> 00:40:22,560
亏太多

1227
00:40:22,560 --> 00:40:23,580
后面该赚的

1228
00:40:23,580 --> 00:40:25,480
这天又赚的太少了

1229
00:40:25,480 --> 00:40:26,340
0亏比有问题

1230
00:40:26,340 --> 00:40:27,500
14 17

1231
00:40:27,500 --> 00:40:29,000
0亏比有问题

1232
00:40:29,000 --> 00:40:31,720
主要就0亏比上

1233
00:40:31,720 --> 00:40:34,740
因为你做个股的话

1234
00:40:34,740 --> 00:40:36,260
很难避免

1235
00:40:36,260 --> 00:40:37,960
就是说你的择时

1236
00:40:37,960 --> 00:40:39,020
你做个股

1237
00:40:39,020 --> 00:40:40,520
你一定要择时

1238
00:40:40,520 --> 00:40:46,640
这个择时一定不是体现在你日内的分时图上的

1239
00:40:46,640 --> 00:40:50,280
它更多的是会体现在大级别的周期

1240
00:40:50,280 --> 00:40:51,140
60分钟

1241
00:40:51,140 --> 00:40:51,940
对吧

1242
00:40:51,940 --> 00:40:52,780
30分钟

1243
00:40:52,780 --> 00:40:55,100
因为我当时教你们做T

1244
00:40:55,100 --> 00:40:56,480
恩杰当时教你们做T的时候

1245
00:40:56,480 --> 00:40:58,660
我跟你说你们是用15分钟周期

1246
00:40:58,660 --> 00:41:01,560
所以那其实对你们来讲就是一个择时

1247
00:41:01,560 --> 00:41:02,040
对吧

1248
00:41:02,040 --> 00:41:02,900
你有一个边界

1249
00:41:02,900 --> 00:41:04,640
择时就会很好

1250
00:41:04,640 --> 00:41:06,280
所以还是努力吧

1251
00:41:06,280 --> 00:41:06,640
加油

1252
00:41:06,640 --> 00:41:07,100
好吧

1253
00:41:07,100 --> 00:41:08,760
50%胜率

1254
00:41:08,760 --> 00:41:09,760
3.64

1255
00:41:09,760 --> 00:41:14,640
你们今天很多人想要再去发一下自己的成绩

1256
00:41:14,640 --> 00:41:16,680
像对吧

1257
00:41:16,680 --> 00:41:17,620
今天可能一下

1258
00:41:17,620 --> 00:41:19,680
然后你们就这个月就及格了

1259
00:41:19,680 --> 00:41:21,060
所以正常来讲

1260
00:41:21,060 --> 00:41:22,480
你们这个月收益会

1261
00:41:22,480 --> 00:41:23,760
是会稍微高一点的

1262
00:41:23,760 --> 00:41:24,680
没有问题

1263
00:41:24,680 --> 00:41:29,960
但是你们的问题其实就在前面的20个交易日里面已经全暴露出来了

1264
00:41:29,960 --> 00:41:30,980
对吧

1265
00:41:30,980 --> 00:41:34,300
那最后一天是等于说也是给机会了

1266
00:41:34,300 --> 00:41:34,900
嗯

1267
00:41:34,900 --> 00:41:36,880
这有盈亏比不是太好

1268
00:41:36,880 --> 00:41:37,780
盈亏比不太好

1269
00:41:37,780 --> 00:41:41,660
加上胜率一般就是又这个样子

1270
00:41:41,660 --> 00:41:43,060
因为你这个收益率

1271
00:41:43,060 --> 00:41:45,700
我没办法就说让你再去提高收益率了

1272
00:41:45,700 --> 00:41:47,960
因为你盈亏比已经做这么差情况下

1273
00:41:47,960 --> 00:41:50,380
你要再把收益提高

1274
00:41:50,380 --> 00:41:51,840
那可能就更危险了

1275
00:41:52,480 --> 00:41:53,400
对吧

1276
00:41:53,400 --> 00:41:54,880
可能就更危险了

1277
00:41:54,880 --> 00:41:56,160
更危险了

1278
00:41:56,160 --> 00:41:58,160
失败的仓位管理

1279
00:41:58,160 --> 00:41:58,760
嗯

1280
00:41:58,760 --> 00:41:59,880
是的

1281
00:41:59,880 --> 00:42:00,700
差不多

1282
00:42:00,700 --> 00:42:02,140
一个是仓位管理

1283
00:42:02,140 --> 00:42:02,780
一个胜率

1284
00:42:02,780 --> 00:42:04,280
因为你胜率并不高

1285
00:42:04,280 --> 00:42:05,980
胜率只有50%

1286
00:42:05,980 --> 00:42:06,260
好吧

1287
00:42:06,260 --> 00:42:08,360
还想办法去提高你的一个胜率

1288
00:42:08,360 --> 00:42:09,340
这个可以啊

1289
00:42:09,340 --> 00:42:10,480
这盈亏比可以啊

1290
00:42:10,480 --> 00:42:12,480
可以啊

1291
00:42:12,480 --> 00:42:13,840
虽然胜率不是那么高

1292
00:42:13,840 --> 00:42:15,860
但盈亏比可以啊

1293
00:42:15,860 --> 00:42:17,260
这个盈亏比很好

1294
00:42:17,260 --> 00:42:19,740
那说明你配置配的OK

1295
00:42:19,740 --> 00:42:22,460
那就是说你如果能够再把你盈亏比提高的话

1296
00:42:22,480 --> 00:42:24,920
你胜率稍微提那么一两成的话

1297
00:42:24,920 --> 00:42:27,120
你收益应该是很好的

1298
00:42:27,120 --> 00:42:28,780
对你这个嗯

1299
00:42:28,780 --> 00:42:29,780
哦

1300
00:42:29,780 --> 00:42:30,980
做二线光是吧

1301
00:42:30,980 --> 00:42:31,500
二线光

1302
00:42:31,500 --> 00:42:32,540
嗯

1303
00:42:32,540 --> 00:42:34,460
如果把二线光在

1304
00:42:34,460 --> 00:42:37,940
因为这里面有一定的运气成分

1305
00:42:37,940 --> 00:42:40,980
二线光涨的确实太高了

1306
00:42:40,980 --> 00:42:45,060
所以如果是你再去把它平摊到一些不太可能

1307
00:42:45,060 --> 00:42:46,820
你如果没有抓到涨停板

1308
00:42:46,820 --> 00:42:47,120
对吧

1309
00:42:47,120 --> 00:42:49,840
你可能收益要去打折扣

1310
00:42:49,840 --> 00:42:50,480
嗯

1311
00:42:50,480 --> 00:42:52,320
但这些

1312
00:42:52,320 --> 00:42:54,340
你也都没有大亏

1313
00:42:54,340 --> 00:42:57,120
但是该大赚的时候要大赚

1314
00:42:57,120 --> 00:42:58,380
对对对

1315
00:42:58,380 --> 00:43:00,900
所以你的收益主要体现在这两天

1316
00:43:00,900 --> 00:43:02,300
没有体现在这两天

1317
00:43:02,300 --> 00:43:04,860
如果收益能够体现在这两天的话

1318
00:43:04,860 --> 00:43:08,700
也就是说你把每个月该赚大钱的地方

1319
00:43:08,700 --> 00:43:10,320
你要吃到

1320
00:43:10,320 --> 00:43:15,060
即使你没有吃到那种很牛逼的票

1321
00:43:15,060 --> 00:43:16,700
很牛的趋势票

1322
00:43:16,700 --> 00:43:19,500
你这个月的收益也OK

1323
00:43:19,500 --> 00:43:22,160
但如果你这个月吃到很牛的那种

1324
00:43:22,320 --> 00:43:22,920
票对吧

1325
00:43:22,920 --> 00:43:24,460
你可能涨天之类的

1326
00:43:24,460 --> 00:43:27,300
但这个东西你没有办法每个月都能复制

1327
00:43:27,300 --> 00:43:28,800
你每个月能复制

1328
00:43:28,800 --> 00:43:30,460
就是说你能够吃到每个月

1329
00:43:30,460 --> 00:43:34,040
它整体行情很好的时候你要吃到

1330
00:43:34,040 --> 00:43:36,480
这是问题的关键

1331
00:43:36,480 --> 00:43:38,180
所以还这个问题好吧

1332
00:43:38,180 --> 00:43:39,040
还这个问题

1333
00:43:39,040 --> 00:43:40,380
嗯

1334
00:43:40,380 --> 00:43:43,320
就这种东西你是没办法复制的

1335
00:43:43,320 --> 00:43:48,080
这这天这两天收益你是在永远你都能发有办法复制

1336
00:43:48,080 --> 00:43:50,660
这种是看情况给的

1337
00:43:50,660 --> 00:43:52,080
市场好的能给的

1338
00:43:52,080 --> 00:43:53,220
市场不好给不到

1339
00:43:53,220 --> 00:43:56,220
可以你看这两天对吧

1340
00:43:56,220 --> 00:43:57,660
我们该空仓就不空

1341
00:43:58,740 --> 00:43:59,160
不空

1342
00:43:59,160 --> 00:44:00,240
这就是九个点

1343
00:44:01,440 --> 00:44:02,520
你九个点加进来

1344
00:44:02,520 --> 00:44:04,020
十一个点

1345
00:44:04,020 --> 00:44:06,300
这天再再吃几个点

1346
00:44:06,300 --> 00:44:06,900
十五个点

1347
00:44:06,900 --> 00:44:08,400
这个月很轻松

1348
00:44:08,400 --> 00:44:10,680
因为你胜率还可以啊

1349
00:44:10,680 --> 00:44:11,340
胜率还可以

1350
00:44:11,340 --> 00:44:12,540
十九月大亏

1351
00:44:12,540 --> 00:44:13,340
你都没吃上

1352
00:44:13,340 --> 00:44:15,660
你24号25号吃上

1353
00:44:15,660 --> 00:44:16,500
可惜

1354
00:44:16,500 --> 00:44:17,580
有点可惜

1355
00:44:17,580 --> 00:44:21,540
因为你这个收益率前面空仓的把后面加仓

1356
00:44:21,540 --> 00:44:21,960
可惜

1357
00:44:22,080 --> 00:44:24,000
做交易不要上头

1358
00:44:24,000 --> 00:44:29,700
特别是我们都说了后面几天有危险说你在上头没有意见

1359
00:44:29,700 --> 00:44:30,900
总说没有意义

1360
00:44:30,900 --> 00:44:31,440
这个可以

1361
00:44:31,440 --> 00:44:32,280
盈亏比可以

1362
00:44:33,420 --> 00:44:37,220
盈亏比可以胜率六十凑合

1363
00:44:39,140 --> 00:44:40,200
该吃的吃了

1364
00:44:41,160 --> 00:44:42,120
18.5

1365
00:44:42,120 --> 00:44:43,320
这个月二十几个点

1366
00:44:43,320 --> 00:44:43,680
OK

1367
00:44:43,680 --> 00:44:44,700
没问题

1368
00:44:44,700 --> 00:44:45,000
好吧

1369
00:44:45,000 --> 00:44:45,660
没问题

1370
00:44:45,660 --> 00:44:46,680
胜率不够

1371
00:44:46,680 --> 00:44:47,760
盈亏比不好

1372
00:44:47,760 --> 00:44:50,760
你盈利太弱太小

1373
00:44:50,760 --> 00:44:51,780
想办法不要开超市吧

1374
00:44:51,780 --> 00:44:53,500
先不要开超市

1375
00:44:53,500 --> 00:44:55,440
然后安慰你们还是得控制住

1376
00:44:55,440 --> 00:44:56,580
然后不要开超市

1377
00:44:56,580 --> 00:44:56,940
好吧

1378
00:44:58,200 --> 00:45:01,680
因为我发现你们很多人开超市真的开不好

1379
00:45:01,680 --> 00:45:03,320
你们胜率开的太低了

1380
00:45:03,320 --> 00:45:05,340
该赚钱说没赚到对吧

1381
00:45:05,340 --> 00:45:09,000
然后这波也没吃够

1382
00:45:09,000 --> 00:45:10,380
钱倒没少亏

1383
00:45:12,540 --> 00:45:14,880
负的百分四

1384
00:45:14,880 --> 00:45:17,480
那今天应该能赚四个点以上吧

1385
00:45:17,480 --> 00:45:18,800
不亏不赚就好了

1386
00:45:18,800 --> 00:45:19,740
嗯

1387
00:45:19,740 --> 00:45:20,040
对吧

1388
00:45:20,040 --> 00:45:21,120
你空掉了最赚钱的人呢

1389
00:45:21,120 --> 00:45:21,660
对吧

1390
00:45:21,660 --> 00:45:24,780
这两天就导致你没有利润电

1391
00:45:24,780 --> 00:45:27,240
你没有利润电的情况下

1392
00:45:27,240 --> 00:45:33,180
你这中间这一周节奏也没就是你节奏可能踩对了

1393
00:45:33,180 --> 00:45:34,940
因为你这一天也有两个点

1394
00:45:34,940 --> 00:45:36,720
但是你仓位没上上去

1395
00:45:36,720 --> 00:45:38,480
你的收益没起来

1396
00:45:38,480 --> 00:45:40,200
你的收益没起来情况下

1397
00:45:40,200 --> 00:45:44,000
你在这一天就不应该能亏这么多

1398
00:45:44,000 --> 00:45:47,100
他你14号在吃到一些东西情况下

1399
00:45:47,100 --> 00:45:48,360
你能赚两个点

1400
00:45:48,360 --> 00:45:48,820
三个点

1401
00:45:48,820 --> 00:45:51,360
你顶多这一天你亏三个多点

1402
00:45:51,360 --> 00:45:54,000
你不应该亏到五五点七六对吧

1403
00:45:54,000 --> 00:45:55,960
因为你没有利润电

1404
00:45:55,960 --> 00:46:00,000
所以这个情况跟我们这个月期也是一样的

1405
00:46:00,000 --> 00:46:04,680
如果我们这一周你31号这一波大的你没吃到

1406
00:46:04,680 --> 00:46:07,200
那你后面比如说我们到

1407
00:46:08,400 --> 00:46:13,080
就是下半下半个月之后行情可能不太好的情况下

1408
00:46:14,360 --> 00:46:14,640
对吧

1409
00:46:14,640 --> 00:46:17,400
你整个收益不就全下来了吗

1410
00:46:17,400 --> 00:46:20,840
但问题是你并不知道下半个月的行情

1411
00:46:20,840 --> 00:46:22,960
一定是不好或者一定是好对吧

1412
00:46:22,960 --> 00:46:24,120
你没办法去猜行情

1413
00:46:24,120 --> 00:46:25,620
我们也没办法说

1414
00:46:25,620 --> 00:46:28,220
以至于可能他不好

1415
00:46:28,220 --> 00:46:29,280
你也有可能做对

1416
00:46:29,280 --> 00:46:29,820
可能好

1417
00:46:29,820 --> 00:46:30,980
你也有可能做错

1418
00:46:30,980 --> 00:46:33,740
这都是不知道的

1419
00:46:33,740 --> 00:46:36,240
不知道情况下就是你该赚到的钱

1420
00:46:36,240 --> 00:46:37,860
你要赚到该吃到的钱

1421
00:46:37,860 --> 00:46:40,440
你要吃到什么叫该赚到该吃到钱

1422
00:46:40,440 --> 00:46:43,800
也就是说整个涨跌加速

1423
00:46:43,800 --> 00:46:47,240
明显他在比较好的一个情况下

1424
00:46:47,240 --> 00:46:48,180
对吧

1425
00:46:48,180 --> 00:46:49,880
我们整个整个指数

1426
00:46:49,880 --> 00:46:52,960
全体指数都很好的一个情况下

1427
00:46:52,960 --> 00:46:55,560
你是能够把该吃到的吃到的

1428
00:46:55,560 --> 00:46:59,160
这种就是行情比较好的情况

1429
00:46:59,160 --> 00:47:00,800
今天收了一根对吧

1430
00:47:00,800 --> 00:47:02,400
比较高的一根阳线

1431
00:47:02,400 --> 00:47:05,780
17号这一天也是收一根比较高的阳线

1432
00:47:05,780 --> 00:47:07,040
7号对吧

1433
00:47:07,040 --> 00:47:09,800
5号4号5号是两根最大的

1434
00:47:09,800 --> 00:47:13,580
这就是相对来讲行情比较好的时候

1435
00:47:13,580 --> 00:47:17,920
你就这种收这种跟今天这种是一样的

1436
00:47:17,920 --> 00:47:19,100
整个政府

1437
00:47:19,100 --> 00:47:19,700
这个今天

1438
00:47:19,700 --> 00:47:22,180
这个政府也是将近3.5了

1439
00:47:22,180 --> 00:47:23,680
将近3.5到4个点对吧

1440
00:47:23,680 --> 00:47:25,240
那今天整体收益

1441
00:47:25,240 --> 00:47:30,140
其实至少是跟2月4号那一天是差不多的

1442
00:47:30,140 --> 00:47:31,680
这就好挣钱的时候

1443
00:47:31,680 --> 00:47:32,300
嗯

1444
00:47:32,300 --> 00:47:33,360
60

1445
00:47:33,360 --> 00:47:34,980
挣率还凑合

1446
00:47:34,980 --> 00:47:37,340
盈亏比还凑合

1447
00:47:37,340 --> 00:47:39,600
就是收益率有点低

1448
00:47:39,600 --> 00:47:41,180
7.14

1449
00:47:41,180 --> 00:47:44,180
收益如果提高一点的话就高很多了

1450
00:47:44,180 --> 00:47:46,740
因为盈亏比还行

1451
00:47:46,740 --> 00:47:49,200
这一天这一天亏4.3

1452
00:47:49,700 --> 00:47:50,660
能够对吧

1453
00:47:50,660 --> 00:47:55,460
你这这几天你加在一起也差不多将近三四个点

1454
00:47:55,460 --> 00:47:57,700
那你这天亏4.3是合理的

1455
00:47:57,700 --> 00:48:03,740
你这两天像你这两天你加在一起本身就三点几

1456
00:48:03,740 --> 00:48:07,160
你这天还负的可能就更少3.3

1457
00:48:07,160 --> 00:48:10,860
然后你亏5个点就是不合理的

1458
00:48:10,860 --> 00:48:11,120
对吧

1459
00:48:11,120 --> 00:48:13,960
你就等于说你多亏了2.7几

1460
00:48:13,960 --> 00:48:15,540
2.7几你再一扣

1461
00:48:15,540 --> 00:48:17,060
然后你就2.7几

1462
00:48:17,060 --> 00:48:18,700
你4.16再减2.7几

1463
00:48:18,700 --> 00:48:19,580
你就只有1点几

1464
00:48:19,700 --> 00:48:21,660
1点几你今天随便再赚一点

1465
00:48:21,660 --> 00:48:22,860
你就可能红了

1466
00:48:22,860 --> 00:48:24,440
但你如果亏4.6的话

1467
00:48:24,440 --> 00:48:27,620
你今天在大概率可能不会今天赚4.6

1468
00:48:27,620 --> 00:48:28,960
就这么个情况

1469
00:48:28,960 --> 00:48:30,480
这个可以啊

1470
00:48:30,480 --> 00:48:31,800
这可以啊

1471
00:48:31,800 --> 00:48:33,020
这胜率可以啊

1472
00:48:33,020 --> 00:48:34,000
这胜率可以啊

1473
00:48:34,000 --> 00:48:34,760
胜率可以

1474
00:48:34,760 --> 00:48:36,700
就收益率不是很高啊

1475
00:48:36,700 --> 00:48:37,920
收益率不是很高

1476
00:48:37,920 --> 00:48:38,600
你胜率可以

1477
00:48:38,600 --> 00:48:39,460
收益率不是很好

1478
00:48:39,460 --> 00:48:41,960
那就去把收益率提起来

1479
00:48:41,960 --> 00:48:43,600
这个收益率要高一点啊

1480
00:48:43,600 --> 00:48:44,640
这个收益率高很多

1481
00:48:44,640 --> 00:48:46,000
也没有高很多

1482
00:48:46,000 --> 00:48:46,780
其实也就是说

1483
00:48:46,780 --> 00:48:48,480
其实也就是4号5号吃到了

1484
00:48:49,700 --> 00:48:52,540
你这个收益会比这个要多很多

1485
00:48:52,540 --> 00:48:57,440
但其实平时的话并没有差距太大

1486
00:48:57,440 --> 00:48:58,660
虽然也有点差距

1487
00:48:59,840 --> 00:49:02,480
那我觉得你可以相应的去把你收益提高

1488
00:49:03,520 --> 00:49:05,020
提高好吧

1489
00:49:05,020 --> 00:49:06,500
你应该不止15个点

1490
00:49:06,500 --> 00:49:07,040
这个月

1491
00:49:07,040 --> 00:49:08,180
如果做好的话

1492
00:49:08,180 --> 00:49:09,200
嗯

1493
00:49:09,200 --> 00:49:12,040
这就是收益不太好啊

1494
00:49:12,040 --> 00:49:13,880
收益不太高的情况下

1495
00:49:13,880 --> 00:49:14,480
嗯

1496
00:49:14,480 --> 00:49:15,920
收益不太高

1497
00:49:15,920 --> 00:49:18,100
然后胜率55%

1498
00:49:18,100 --> 00:49:18,740
就这个月

1499
00:49:18,740 --> 00:49:19,700
可能表现不会太好

1500
00:49:19,700 --> 00:49:22,520
不得0.37

1501
00:49:22,520 --> 00:49:23,160
嗯

1502
00:49:23,160 --> 00:49:24,940
那看一下你是仓位太低

1503
00:49:24,940 --> 00:49:27,180
还是说全部给炸了

1504
00:49:27,180 --> 00:49:29,840
还是不想分数

1505
00:49:29,840 --> 00:49:31,800
那你就自己过你自己那一关吧

1506
00:49:31,800 --> 00:49:33,100
好吧

1507
00:49:33,100 --> 00:49:38,120
但是你要分清时间分清什么时候想明白最重要好吧

1508
00:49:38,120 --> 00:49:41,840
我基本上每周一都给你们把行情梳理的

1509
00:49:41,840 --> 00:49:43,580
我觉得是比较清楚的

1510
00:49:43,580 --> 00:49:44,700
明白了

1511
00:49:44,700 --> 00:49:45,880
那你就按照我说的

1512
00:49:45,880 --> 00:49:47,600
其实去动就好了

1513
00:49:47,600 --> 00:49:49,460
这两天收益比较高

1514
00:49:49,460 --> 00:49:50,940
这一天这一天卡我掉了

1515
00:49:51,080 --> 00:49:54,900
那你基本上就是8.78%的一个收益

1516
00:49:54,900 --> 00:49:56,560
7.64

1517
00:49:56,560 --> 00:49:57,060
嗯

1518
00:49:57,060 --> 00:49:58,640
再来一天10个点以上

1519
00:49:58,640 --> 00:49:59,600
可以吧

1520
00:49:59,600 --> 00:50:00,020
及格

1521
00:50:00,020 --> 00:50:00,760
好吧

1522
00:50:00,760 --> 00:50:01,320
及格

1523
00:50:01,320 --> 00:50:02,640
ETF

1524
00:50:02,640 --> 00:50:03,060
对

1525
00:50:03,060 --> 00:50:03,820
没有问题

1526
00:50:03,820 --> 00:50:05,780
ETF这个月是这个收益的

1527
00:50:05,780 --> 00:50:07,680
所以你们正常来讲

1528
00:50:07,680 --> 00:50:10,200
如果实在不会开超市

1529
00:50:10,200 --> 00:50:10,480
对吧

1530
00:50:10,480 --> 00:50:11,060
做不了

1531
00:50:11,060 --> 00:50:11,880
则是

1532
00:50:11,880 --> 00:50:13,320
你们去买ETF

1533
00:50:13,320 --> 00:50:13,900
真没有

1534
00:50:13,900 --> 00:50:15,040
真OK的

1535
00:50:15,040 --> 00:50:16,160
真OK的

1536
00:50:16,160 --> 00:50:18,940
哪怕先让自己不处于亏钱的状态

1537
00:50:18,940 --> 00:50:19,560
对吧

1538
00:50:19,560 --> 00:50:20,780
或者说

1539
00:50:20,780 --> 00:50:22,540
哪怕亏钱是少亏的状态

1540
00:50:22,540 --> 00:50:22,780
嘛

1541
00:50:22,780 --> 00:50:24,180
准率不是很高

1542
00:50:24,180 --> 00:50:26,180
然后这一天亏的有点太多了

1543
00:50:26,180 --> 00:50:31,740
就导致你这个月的收益就来自于五六个点

1544
00:50:31,740 --> 00:50:33,380
五六个点吗

1545
00:50:33,380 --> 00:50:34,180
七个点

1546
00:50:34,180 --> 00:50:35,780
嗯

1547
00:50:35,780 --> 00:50:38,780
其实有点有有一点危险

1548
00:50:38,780 --> 00:50:39,580
对

1549
00:50:39,580 --> 00:50:41,180
有点危险的

1550
00:50:41,180 --> 00:50:43,060
你看啊

1551
00:50:43,060 --> 00:50:45,660
4号5号你赚的法没有他多

1552
00:50:45,660 --> 00:50:48,780
但是你19号亏的比他多

1553
00:50:48,780 --> 00:50:50,760
也就你14号和17号

1554
00:50:50,780 --> 00:50:53,020
其实是因为做对了方向嘛

1555
00:50:53,020 --> 00:50:53,260
对吧

1556
00:50:53,260 --> 00:50:54,700
会会高很多

1557
00:50:54,700 --> 00:50:56,220
但如果没做对方向呢

1558
00:50:56,220 --> 00:50:57,460
其实就很危险了

1559
00:50:57,460 --> 00:50:58,860
一下差距就在这

1560
00:50:58,860 --> 00:51:01,100
那差距其实就出在14号

1561
00:51:01,100 --> 00:51:01,740
17号

1562
00:51:01,740 --> 00:51:03,180
嗯

1563
00:51:03,180 --> 00:51:05,600
有几天收益都资金贡献的

1564
00:51:05,600 --> 00:51:06,120
嗯

1565
00:51:06,120 --> 00:51:06,980
上个月

1566
00:51:06,980 --> 00:51:09,180
上个月金属还可以

1567
00:51:09,180 --> 00:51:09,480
对吧

1568
00:51:09,480 --> 00:51:10,640
因为金价涨得很好

1569
00:51:10,640 --> 00:51:11,340
嗯

1570
00:51:11,340 --> 00:51:13,340
那你如果知道自己在做什么

1571
00:51:13,340 --> 00:51:14,200
也OK的

1572
00:51:14,200 --> 00:51:14,780
没有问题

1573
00:51:14,780 --> 00:51:17,340
但你只要不是躺着里面就行

1574
00:51:17,340 --> 00:51:19,540
这个配置OK的

1575
00:51:19,540 --> 00:51:22,140
你这个配置胜率是OK的

1576
00:51:22,140 --> 00:51:22,900
对吧

1577
00:51:22,900 --> 00:51:24,220
首先胜率OK

1578
00:51:24,220 --> 00:51:27,220
其次亏的时候也没有亏太多

1579
00:51:27,220 --> 00:51:28,040
没有问题

1580
00:51:28,040 --> 00:51:28,760
好吧

1581
00:51:28,760 --> 00:51:29,780
7.31

1582
00:51:29,780 --> 00:51:30,580
没有问题

1583
00:51:30,580 --> 00:51:32,100
因为配置嘛

1584
00:51:32,100 --> 00:51:33,580
你这个收益正常

1585
00:51:33,580 --> 00:51:34,740
盈亏比OK

1586
00:51:34,740 --> 00:51:35,800
盈亏比OK

1587
00:51:35,800 --> 00:51:36,820
胜率也OK

1588
00:51:36,820 --> 00:51:37,500
没有问题

1589
00:51:37,500 --> 00:51:39,880
可以继续就好了

1590
00:51:39,880 --> 00:51:40,460
挺好

1591
00:51:40,460 --> 00:51:41,400
挺好

1592
00:51:41,400 --> 00:51:42,240
好

1593
00:51:42,240 --> 00:51:42,980
讲完了

1594
00:51:42,980 --> 00:51:44,100
讲完了

1595
00:51:44,100 --> 00:51:45,000
看一下

1596
00:51:45,000 --> 00:51:46,220
能不叫做

1597
00:51:46,220 --> 00:51:47,960
刚刚就谈到8.71

1598
00:51:47,960 --> 00:51:49,520
以下14.55

1599
00:51:49,540 --> 00:51:50,500
就这个问题

1600
00:51:50,500 --> 00:51:51,540
不然的话

1601
00:51:51,540 --> 00:51:53,320
其实能做更高的吧

1602
00:51:53,320 --> 00:51:53,960
就这两天

1603
00:51:53,960 --> 00:51:54,580
这两天如果

1604
00:51:54,580 --> 00:51:56,980
这两天把它划一下的话

1605
00:51:56,980 --> 00:51:59,020
这个月不就20个点了吗

1606
00:51:59,020 --> 00:51:59,500
对吧

1607
00:51:59,500 --> 00:52:00,380
20个点

1608
00:52:00,380 --> 00:52:01,200
慢慢来吧

1609
00:52:01,200 --> 00:52:02,040
加油吧

1610
00:52:02,040 --> 00:52:03,620
我叫18个点

1611
00:52:03,620 --> 00:52:05,340
这个胜率可以

1612
00:52:05,340 --> 00:52:06,700
这个胜率还行

1613
00:52:06,700 --> 00:52:08,320
今天没有赚太多

1614
00:52:08,320 --> 00:52:09,800
今天没有赚太多

1615
00:52:09,800 --> 00:52:10,440
是什么原因

1616
00:52:10,440 --> 00:52:11,880
今天正常情况下

1617
00:52:11,880 --> 00:52:13,340
不会赚这么少的

1618
00:52:13,340 --> 00:52:15,140
这一天和这一天

1619
00:52:15,140 --> 00:52:17,960
主要就贡献这一天贡献

1620
00:52:17,960 --> 00:52:18,640
哦

1621
00:52:18,640 --> 00:52:18,980
嗯

1622
00:52:19,540 --> 00:52:21,840
对称55胜率

1623
00:52:21,840 --> 00:52:25,840
你后面这几天还是择时问题

1624
00:52:25,840 --> 00:52:29,360
你们个股选手择时一定要控制好

1625
00:52:29,360 --> 00:52:30,900
你们如果择时控制不好的话

1626
00:52:30,900 --> 00:52:32,560
还是有问题的

1627
00:52:32,560 --> 00:52:33,700
还是会出现问题

1628
00:52:33,700 --> 00:52:34,000
对吧

1629
00:52:34,000 --> 00:52:38,200
你这种这种波动不应该这种波动不应该太大了

1630
00:52:38,200 --> 00:52:38,740
哇

1631
00:52:38,740 --> 00:52:39,700
基本上差不多

1632
00:52:39,700 --> 00:52:41,080
那么今天视频就到这里吧

1633
00:52:41,080 --> 00:52:41,680
谢谢大家
