{ "conclusion": { "base_midpoint": "9.13499999980222913553571970", "price_label": "当前价格处于基准合理区间", "price_position": "WITHIN_BASE_RANGE", "safety_margin_to_base_midpoint": "-0.03119868639342540291652523496" }, "engine_version": "1.0.0", "holding_period": { "cumulative_dividend_per_share": "0", "required_exit_price": "15.1710042", "required_profit_by_exit_pe": [ { "exit_pe": "20", "required_profit": "575325045.01213038" }, { "exit_pe": "25", "required_profit": "460260036.009704304" }, { "exit_pe": "30", "required_profit": "383550030.00808692" }, { "exit_pe": "35", "required_profit": "328757168.5783602171428571429" }, { "exit_pe": "40", "required_profit": "287662522.50606519" }, { "exit_pe": "50", "required_profit": "230130018.004852152" }, { "exit_pe": "60", "required_profit": "191775015.00404346" }, { "exit_pe": "75", "required_profit": "153420012.003234768" }, { "exit_pe": "100", "required_profit": "115065009.002426076" } ], "required_return": "0.1", "years": 5 }, "institutions": { "coverage_status": "available", "detail": [ { "core_assumption": "汇总接口未提供逐家报告日期;估值日仅作为C1汇总快照日期,不替代单家研报。", "estimates": { "2026": { "eps": "0.29", "profit": "219951508.61999997" }, "2027": { "eps": "0.32", "profit": "242705112.96" } }, "included": true, "institution": "东方财富公开一致预期汇总(覆盖池1家)", "report_date": "2026-08-06", "source_id": "SRC-EM-CONSENSUS-20260806", "statuses": [ "CURRENT" ] } ], "summary": { "2026": { "eps_mean": "0.29", "eps_profit_reconciliation_gap": "0.0000000000000001363936996305381562597758231", "institution_count": 1, "pe_on_mean": "32.48275862068965960285741559", "profit_max": "219951508.61999997", "profit_mean": "219951508.61999997", "profit_median": "219951508.61999997", "profit_min": "219951508.61999997" }, "2027": { "eps_mean": "0.32", "eps_profit_reconciliation_gap": "0.0", "institution_count": 1, "pe_on_mean": "29.4375", "profit_max": "242705112.96", "profit_mean": "242705112.96", "profit_median": "242705112.96", "profit_min": "242705112.96" } } }, "meta": { "as_of_date": "2026-08-06", "code": "300525.SZ", "company": "博思软件", "currency": "CNY", "latest_operating_info_date": "2026-04-29", "market": "深圳证券交易所", "report_period_end": "2026-03-31" }, "metrics": { "annual_cash_conversion": "1.716982079979220845659666185", "annual_fcf": "182807380.79", "book_value_per_share": "3.297036733688760274891903126", "current_fcf": "-291070208.29", "deduct_pe": "48.32835688312017569184857882", "diluted_shares": "758453478.0", "enterprise_value": "7112799857.410", "market_cap": "7144631762.760", "normalized_eps": "0.1949166205418864253662239782", "normalized_pe": "48.32835688312017438422061053", "normalized_profit": "147835188.770000004", "pb": "2.857111024498899759564629283", "price": "9.42", "ps": "3.560303885265760842665140467", "reported_pe": "40.87003083152579757467829763", "ttm_attributable_profit": "174813466.43", "ttm_deduct_profit": "147835188.77", "ttm_eps": "0.2304867358390569605905347302", "ttm_revenue": "2006747736.43" }, "normalization_adjustments": [ { "amount": "-26978277.659999996", "basis": "2025年报加2026年最新累计期减上年同期比较数", "description": "以TTM扣非归母利润替代TTM归母利润作为核心盈利代理" } ], "qa": { "error_count": 0, "info_count": 0, "issues": [], "status": "PASS", "warning_count": 0 }, "reverse_pe": [ { "implied_eps": "0.471", "implied_margin": "0.1780151942632880421332570233", "implied_profit": "357231588.138", "pe": "20" }, { "implied_eps": "0.3768", "implied_margin": "0.1424121554106304337066056187", "implied_profit": "285785270.5104", "pe": "25" }, { "implied_eps": "0.314", "implied_margin": "0.1186767961755253614221713489", "implied_profit": "238154392.092", "pe": "30" }, { "implied_eps": "0.2691428571428571428571428571", "implied_margin": "0.1017229681504503097904325847", "implied_profit": "204132336.0788571428571428571", "pe": "35" }, { "implied_eps": "0.2355", "implied_margin": "0.08900759713164402106662851167", "implied_profit": "178615794.069", "pe": "40" }, { "implied_eps": "0.1884", "implied_margin": "0.07120607770531521685330280933", "implied_profit": "142892635.2552", "pe": "50" }, { "implied_eps": "0.157", "implied_margin": "0.05933839808776268071108567444", "implied_profit": "119077196.046", "pe": "60" }, { "implied_eps": "0.1256", "implied_margin": "0.04747071847021014456886853956", "implied_profit": "95261756.8368", "pe": "75" }, { "implied_eps": "0.0942", "implied_margin": "0.03560303885265760842665140467", "implied_profit": "71446317.6276", "pe": "100" } ], "scenarios": [ { "assumption": "需求、验收或价格低于预期,利润下修且估值回归低位。", "cagr_high": "-0.1397836255922339", "cagr_low": "-0.26016321928344044", "equity_value_high": "3365258082.00", "equity_value_low": "1583650862.08", "method": "pe", "name": "悲观", "price_high": "4.437000000150305856992853028", "price_low": "2.088000000021095558876189899", "role": "pessimistic", "upside_to_high": "-0.5289808917037891871557480862", "upside_to_low": "-0.7783439490423465436437165712" }, { "assumption": "以TTM归一化利润与1家机构覆盖池预期为锚,按行业成长和周期属性定价。", "cagr_high": "0.06736245392043738", "cagr_low": "-0.11136396553036065", "equity_value_high": "9897817887.72", "equity_value_low": "3959127155.04", "method": "pe", "name": "基准", "price_high": "13.04999999976267496264286364", "price_low": "5.219999999841783308428575760", "role": "base", "upside_to_high": "0.385350318446143838921747732", "upside_to_low": "-0.4458598726282607952835906837" }, { "assumption": "订单、产品结构和规模效应超预期,利润与估值中枢同步上移。", "cagr_high": "0.2191889831170437", "cagr_low": "0.08790371251991247", "equity_value_high": "19245757004.00", "equity_value_low": "10887599676.60", "method": "pe", "name": "乐观", "price_high": "25.37499999967038189255953283", "price_low": "14.35499999988133748132143182", "role": "optimistic", "upside_to_high": "1.693736730325942876067890959", "upside_to_low": "0.523885350305874467231574503" } ] }