{ "conclusion": { "base_midpoint": "109.5281363635841101859503690", "price_label": "当前价格处于基准合理区间", "price_position": "WITHIN_BASE_RANGE", "safety_margin_to_base_midpoint": "-0.3199348112716231758052246425" }, "engine_version": "1.0.0", "holding_period": { "cumulative_dividend_per_share": "0", "required_exit_price": "232.8314307", "required_profit_by_exit_pe": [ { "exit_pe": "20", "required_profit": "11919290921.396513655" }, { "exit_pe": "25", "required_profit": "9535432737.117210924" }, { "exit_pe": "30", "required_profit": "7946193947.59767577" }, { "exit_pe": "35", "required_profit": "6811023383.65515066" }, { "exit_pe": "40", "required_profit": "5959645460.6982568275" }, { "exit_pe": "50", "required_profit": "4767716368.558605462" }, { "exit_pe": "60", "required_profit": "3973096973.798837885" }, { "exit_pe": "75", "required_profit": "3178477579.039070308" }, { "exit_pe": "100", "required_profit": "2383858184.279302731" } ], "required_return": "0.1", "years": 5 }, "institutions": { "coverage_status": "available", "detail": [ { "core_assumption": "汇总接口未提供逐家报告日期;估值日仅作为C1汇总快照日期,不替代单家研报。", "estimates": { "2026": { "eps": "3.712818181818", "profit": "3801390552.322814" }, "2027": { "eps": "5.858681818182", "profit": "5998445553.236687" }, "2028": { "eps": "8.019444444444", "profit": "8210754971.863434" } }, "included": true, "institution": "东方财富公开一致预期汇总(覆盖池22家)", "report_date": "2026-08-06", "source_id": "SRC-EM-CONSENSUS-20260806", "statuses": [ "CURRENT" ] } ], "summary": { "2026": { "eps_mean": "3.712818181818", "eps_profit_reconciliation_gap": "0.00000000000000004093396820406101277335269397", "institution_count": 1, "pe_on_mean": "38.93807693249621241051402700", "profit_max": "3801390552.322814", "profit_mean": "3801390552.322814", "profit_median": "3801390552.322814", "profit_min": "3801390552.322814" }, "2027": { "eps_mean": "5.858681818182", "eps_profit_reconciliation_gap": "0.0000000000000001407688029350162969362405743", "institution_count": 1, "pe_on_mean": "24.67619926914913258087930823", "profit_max": "5998445553.236687", "profit_mean": "5998445553.236687", "profit_median": "5998445553.236687", "profit_min": "5998445553.236687" }, "2028": { "eps_mean": "8.019444444444", "eps_profit_reconciliation_gap": "0.00000000000000001926107898018399281882842760", "institution_count": 1, "pe_on_mean": "18.02743332178832122857110440", "profit_max": "8210754971.863434", "profit_mean": "8210754971.863434", "profit_median": "8210754971.863434", "profit_min": "8210754971.863434" } } }, "meta": { "as_of_date": "2026-08-06", "code": "002353.SZ", "company": "杰瑞股份", "currency": "CNY", "latest_operating_info_date": "2026-04-17", "market": "深圳证券交易所", "report_period_end": "2026-03-31" }, "metrics": { "annual_cash_conversion": "2.006525352495386229780993816", "annual_fcf": "4505333472.27", "book_value_per_share": "22.94467430610418761954740946", "current_fcf": "-1448720001.13", "deduct_pe": "52.84202879923414254970097102", "diluted_shares": "1023855833.0", "enterprise_value": "143526560060.420", "market_cap": "148018837776.810", "normalized_eps": "2.735890413089046967416163561", "normalized_pe": "52.84202879923413715449523793", "normalized_profit": "2801157357.890000286", "pb": "6.300808548044575314276211560", "price": "144.57", "ps": "8.796530902690162303184881546", "reported_pe": "52.80635040855746942343607529", "ttm_attributable_profit": "2803049948.19", "ttm_deduct_profit": "2801157357.89", "ttm_eps": "2.737738906049676234056284368", "ttm_revenue": "16826955923.22" }, "normalization_adjustments": [ { "amount": "-1892590.299999714", "basis": "2025年报加2026年最新累计期减上年同期比较数", "description": "以TTM扣非归母利润替代TTM归母利润作为核心盈利代理" } ], "qa": { "error_count": 0, "info_count": 0, "issues": [], "status": "PASS", "warning_count": 0 }, "reverse_pe": [ { "implied_eps": "7.2285", "implied_margin": "0.4398265451345081151592440773", "implied_profit": "7400941888.8405", "pe": "20" }, { "implied_eps": "5.7828", "implied_margin": "0.3518612361076064921273952618", "implied_profit": "5920753511.0724", "pe": "25" }, { "implied_eps": "4.819", "implied_margin": "0.2932176967563387434394960515", "implied_profit": "4933961259.227", "pe": "30" }, { "implied_eps": "4.130571428571428571428571429", "implied_margin": "0.2513294543625760658052823299", "implied_profit": "4229109650.766", "pe": "35" }, { "implied_eps": "3.61425", "implied_margin": "0.2199132725672540575796220386", "implied_profit": "3700470944.42025", "pe": "40" }, { "implied_eps": "2.8914", "implied_margin": "0.1759306180538032460636976309", "implied_profit": "2960376755.5362", "pe": "50" }, { "implied_eps": "2.4095", "implied_margin": "0.1466088483781693717197480258", "implied_profit": "2466980629.6135", "pe": "60" }, { "implied_eps": "1.9276", "implied_margin": "0.1172870787025354973757984206", "implied_profit": "1973584503.6908", "pe": "75" }, { "implied_eps": "1.4457", "implied_margin": "0.08796530902690162303184881546", "implied_profit": "1480188377.7681", "pe": "100" } ], "scenarios": [ { "assumption": "需求、验收或价格低于预期,利润下修且估值回归低位。", "cagr_high": "-0.16360940664770052", "cagr_low": "-0.2694968314765188", "equity_value_high": "60584661927.75", "equity_value_low": "30791263473.90", "method": "pe", "name": "悲观", "price_high": "59.17303977282707925931208715", "price_low": "30.07382727280902251791927819", "role": "pessimistic", "upside_to_high": "-0.5906962732736592705311469382", "upside_to_low": "-0.7919774000635745831229212272" }, { "assumption": "以TTM归一化利润与22家机构覆盖池预期为锚,按行业成长和周期属性定价。", "cagr_high": "0.006649488438587703", "cagr_low": "-0.13597689806221958", "equity_value_high": "153005969730.95", "equity_value_low": "71276072856.00", "method": "pe", "name": "基准", "price_high": "149.4409318181322506564261572", "price_low": "69.61534090903596971547458088", "role": "base", "upside_to_high": "0.033692549063652560395837015", "upside_to_low": "-0.5184662038525560647750253795" }, { "assumption": "订单、产品结构和规模效应超预期,利润与估值中枢同步上移。", "cagr_high": "0.14693425259711357", "cagr_low": "0.02602233351390426", "equity_value_high": "293771461883.52", "equity_value_low": "168306566704.15", "method": "pe", "name": "乐观", "price_high": "286.9265890909076844610797856", "price_low": "164.3850250000480292228798583", "role": "optimistic", "upside_to_high": "0.984689694202861482057686834", "upside_to_low": "0.137061803970727185604757960" } ] }